Northwestern State Demons vs Houston Baptist Huskies 2-3-22

Northwestern State vs Texas Prediction 12/29/2024: College Basketball Picks

Northwestern State vs Texas Game Information

What: 2024-25 NCAA Basketball Regular Season
When: Sunday December 29, 2024 at 12:00 EST/9:00 PST
Where Moody Center, Austin, Texas
Northwestern State vs Texas Line: Texas -26
Total: 137.5
TV: ESPN+, SECN+

Northwestern State vs Texas Preview

An early tip off on Sunday, Texas (10-2, 7-1 at Home) plays host to Northwestern State (5-6, 2-5 on Road) to Bat City for an SEC-Southland Conference mismatch. In their last 5 games, the Demons have gone 3-2, losing at LSU by 24 (77-53), topping UIW by 2 (72-70) and Houston Christian by 7 (64-57), losing at Cal by 18 (84-66), and then beating Southern-New Orleans by 10 in their last game (89-79). In their last 5, the Longhorns are 4-1, knocking off NC State by 4 (63-59), losing to 2-time defending national champions Connecticut by 11 in Austin (76-65), beating New Mexico State by 24 (91-67), Arkansas Pine Bluff by 64 (121-57), and New Orleans by 36 in their last outing (98-62). DraftKings has Texas currently priced at 75/1 longshot odds to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball championship.

Can Northwestern State Put up a Good Fight in Austin?

Northwestern State (6-3-0 ATS, 4-5-0 O/U) has been good Against The Spread (ATS) this year, despite getting blown out many times. The Demons only have two guys averaging double-digit scoring in F Addison Patterson (12.6 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 3.1 apg) and G Jon Sanders II (12.5 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 3.4 apg) but have 6 guys averaging between 5.0 ppg and 7.3 ppg who all get considerable minutes. Northwestern State averages 74.3 ppg (Tied-#224) while allowing 69.2 ppg and racking up an average of 16.1 Assists Per Game (Tied-#81) and 36.2 Rebounds Per Game (Tied-#204). The Demons (+3000 Moneyline) have made the NCAA Tournament 3 times (2001, 2006, 2013) and are 2-3, winning First Round games against No. 16-seed Winthrop in a Play-In game in 2001 (71-67) and upsetting No. 3-seed Iowa as a No. 14-seed in 2006 (64-63) in a  true Bracket Buster type of game.

Northwestern State Betting Trends

  • Northwestern State is 6-3-0 ATS this season
  • The Under is 4-2-0 in the Demons last 6 games
  • Northwestern State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • The Demons have been Underdogs in 7 of their last 9 games
  • Northwestern State was 15-15-0 ATS last 2023-24 season (50%)

Texas Looking For 4th Straight ATS Cover on Sunday

Texas (7-5-0 ATS, 6-5-1 O/U) fell out of the Top 25 but this is a strong team and is a squad nobody wants to face at Home or on the Road. The Longhorns are led by star G Tre Johnson (19.9 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 2.2 apg), F Arthur Kaluma (14.6 ppg, 8.1 rpg), G Jordan Pope (11.7 ppg), F Kadin Shedrick (9.7 ppg, 5.3 rpg), G Tramon Mark (8.8 ppg, 4.6 rpg), G Chendall Weaver (7.9 ppg, 5.9 rpg),  F Jayson Kent (6.5 ppg, 2.8 rpg), and G Julian Larry (6.4 ppg, 4.4 apg). Texas averages 85.1 ppg (#27) while allowing 62.8 ppg and averages 37.1 Rebounds Per Game (Tied-#158) and 15.5 Assists Per Game (Tied-#115).

Texas Betting Trends

  • Texas is 9-1 SU in the last 10 games overall
  • The Over is 3-0-0 in the last 3 Texas games
  • Texas is 22-11 in the last 33 on the First Half Moneyline (+9.60 Units, 0% ROI)
  • The Longhorns were 14-20-0 ATS last 2023-24 NCAAB season (41.2%)
  • Texas has scored 90+ 6 times already this season (90, 90, 91, 105, 121, 98)

Northwestern State vs Texas Prediction

The last time these two played ws on November 10, 2017 in Austin where Texas walloped Northwestern State, 105-59. With the Demons losing to Power 4 conference schools Texas Tech by 21, Oklahoma by 16, LSU by 24, and California by 18, we can expect a Texas win in the 15- to 25-point range here. This Northwestern State vs Texas NCAAB pick will look at the Totals market and with Texas scoring so many Points lately (91, 121, 98), and clicking on 3 straight Overs, let’s look for around 150 points being scored. 

Kevin’s Pick: Northwestern State-Texas Over 137.5