Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction
| Game Time | 3:00 pm EST |
| Miami Heat Line | +2.5 |
| Atlanta Hawks Line | -2.5 |
| Total | 226.5 |
| TV: | NBA TV |
Below is a detailed analysis for Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks game.
PREGAME WARM-UP:
In this all-Eastern battle between two teams coming off back-to-back wins, the Atlanta Hawks are hosting the Miami Heat. The Hawks have two consecutive wins following a three-game losing streak and are playing their third straight home game, where they have been better than playing on the road. The Heat also following a three-game losing streak with two straight wins, and are playing their second consecutive road game. Miami also plays in Houston tomorrow, which makes this a tough scheduling spot for them.
Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction
Atlanta Hawks Injury Report: Dominick Barlow, Bogdan Bogdanovic are questionable, Onyeka Okongwu, Kobe Bufkin, Cody Zeller are out
Miami Heat Injury Report: Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler are day-to-day, Josh Richardson and Dru Smith are out
Atlanta Hawks Form and Trends
The Atlanta Hawks have a 16-15 record this season and are sitting on the 7th place of the East. The Hawks are 13-18 against the spread and 20-11 in over/under. Atlanta has a 9-7 home record, and are 6-10 against the spread, with a -1.9-point differential. The Hawks are coming off back-to-back wins, and are 3-5 against the spread in their last 8 games. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
The Hawks are coming off a 141-133 win against Chicago, as they utilized a massive 50-point fourth quarter to come back and get the win. Atlanta shot with 52% from the field and had six players in double digit scoring, led by Jalen Johnson with 30 points and a game-high 15 rebounds.
Trae Young leads the Hawks both in scoring with 22 points, and in assists made with 12.1 per game, which is the best in the league. De’Andre Hunter adds 20.3 points and 4.1 rebounds.
Miami Heat Recent Form and Trends
The Heat have a 15-13 record this season and are sitting on the 6th place of the East. Miami is 13-15 against the spread and 15-13 in over/under. The Heat have a 6-8 road record, and are 6-8 against the spread, with a -0.7-point differential. The Heat are 6-3 in their last 9 games, and are 2-4 against the spread in their last 6. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games.
Miami is coming off a hard-fought 89-88 win in Orlando, even though they shot worse than the Magic from the field (41% to 44%). Tyler Herro led Miami’s offense with 20 points and 3 rebounds.
Herro leads Miami in scoring with an average of 24.1 points, adding 5.3 rebounds and 4.8 assists. Jimmy Butler adds 19.4 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5 assists but he is questionable for today.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Hawks average 117.2 points per game, which ranks 8th in the NBA. They shoot with 46.5% from the field (16th), and with 35.1% from beyond the arc (18th). Defensively, they are the fourth-worst team in the NBA, allowing 119.5 points per game.
Offensively, the Heat are averaging 111.3 points per game, which is 16th in the league. Miami shoots with 45.3% from the field (22nd), and with 37.8% from beyond the arc (5th). Defensively, they allow 108.6 points per game, which is the 6th-best in the NBA.
The Heat are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Hawks, and are 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 meetings. The Heat are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Atlanta, and Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
Prediction
In this Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, the Hawks are coming as -2.5 home favorites. Both teams cannot be trusted, as they both ride two-game winning streaks, but the Hawks are just 6-10 against the spread at home, and the Heat 6-8 against the spread on the road. The Hawks are the second-best team with the most overs in the NBA, and the Heat are in the middle of the pack offensively, while having the 5th-best three-point percentage, so I’m expecting a lot of points in this game. Take the over the point total. Nick’s Free Pick: Over 226.5
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