Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction
| Game Time | 10:00 pm EST |
| Dallas Mavericks Line | -4 |
| Portland Trail Blazers Line | +4 |
| Total | 224.5 |
| TV: | NBA TV |
Below is a detailed analysis for Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers game.
PREGAME WARM-UP:
In this Western battle between two squads sitting on opposite sides of the conference table, the Portland Trail Blazers are hosting the Dallas Mavericks. The Blazers are coming off a rare win that snapped their previous two-game losing streak, and are playing their second consecutive game at home, where they have been significantly better than on the road. The Mavs are on the second leg of a back-to-back, and are coming off a loss on Christmas Day, that snapped their previous two-game winning streak. The Mavericks saw their star player Luka Doncic going down with an injury and he will be out for at least a month.
Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction
Portland Trail Blazers Injury Report: Robert Williams III is day-to-day, Matisse Thybulle is out
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report: Brandon Williams is questionable, Luka Doncic, Jaden Hardy, Dante Exum are out
Portland Trail Blazers Form and Trends
The Blazers have a 10-20 record this season and are sitting on the third to last place of the West. Portland is 15-14-1 against the spread and 14-16 in over/under. The Blazers have a 7-7 home record, but are 8-6 against the spread, with a -6.8-point differential. The Blazers are 3-10 in their last 13 games, and 0-3 against the spread in their last 3. Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games.
The Blazers are coming off a 122-120 win over Utah, as they shot with 51% from the field. Portland saw four of its players scoring 18+ points, led by Shaedon Sharpe and Deni Avdija with 27 points apiece.
Shaedon Sharpe leads the Blazers in scoring with an average of 17.9 points and 3.5 rebounds. Anfernee Simons adds 17 points and 4.8 assists.
Dallas Mavericks Recent Form and Trends
The Mavs have a 19-11 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the West. The Mavs are 17-12-1 against the spread and 15-14-1 in over/under. Dallas has a 9-6 road record, and are 8-6-1 against the spread, with a +3.6-point differential. The Mavs are 10-3 in their last 13 games but 3-4 against the spread in their last 7. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games.
The Mavericks are coming off a 99-105 loss by Minnesota, as they shot with just 41% from the field and saw Luka Doncic leave the game with an injury. Kyrie Irving led Dallas’ offense with 39 points with 5 triples and 5 rebounds.
Doncic leads the Mavs in scoring with 28.1 points, adding 8.3 rebounds and a team-high 7.8 assists per game. Kyrie Irving adds 24 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.1 assists.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Blazers average 107.6 point per game, ranking 26th in the league. Houston does not shoot the ball very well, with just 44.1% from the field (28th) and 33.3% from beyond the arc (26th). Defensively, they are allowing 116.9 points per game, which ranks 24th in the league.
Offensively, the Mavs average 118.2 points per game, which is the 5th-best in the NBA. They shoot 48.6% from the field, which is the 6th-best in the NBA, and 37.7% from beyond the arc (7th). Defensively, the Mavs allow 111.8 points per game, which is 12th in the league.
The Mavericks have won both previous meetings against the Blazers this season. At home by 132-108 and on the road by 137-131. Dallas is 6-0 in their last 6 meetings against Portland, and are 6-0 against the spread. Over is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings.
Prediction
In this Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction, the Mavericks are coming as -4 road favorites. The Mavericks are rightfully favored, as they are the better team, but they are missing Luka Doncic and are on the second leg of a road back-to-back, which makes it a terrible scheduling spot. I also cannot trust the Blazers at home against and decent team. In this matchup, the seventh-worst defense of the league is going up against the fifth-best offense, so I’m expecting a high scoring game. Both of their meetings this season went over the total, as it is a strong trend in this matchup. Take the over the point total once again. Nick’s Free Pick: Over 224.5
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