Phoenix Suns vs. Dallas Mavericks 1/24/24

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction 12/27/2024: NBA Picks

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

Game Time 8:00 pm EST
Dallas Mavericks Line +2
Phoenix Suns Line -2
Total 225.5
TV: NBA TV

 

Below is a detailed analysis for Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns game.

 

 

 

PREGAME WARM-UP:

In this Texan battle between two teams that played on Christmas Day, the Phoenix Suns are hosting the Dallas Mavericks. The Suns are coming off a win that snapped their previous three-game losing streak, and are playing their second consecutive home game, where they are playing their best basketball of the season. On the other hand, the Mavs are coming off a loss on Christmas Day, that snapped their previous two-game winning streak, and saw their star player Luka Doncic going down with an injury and he will be out indefinitely.

 

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

Phoenix Suns Injury Report: Grayson Allen, Devin Booker, Bol Bol are out

Dallas Mavericks Injury Report: Brandon Williams is questionable, Jaden Hardy, Dante Exum are out

Phoenix Suns Form and Trends

The Suns have a 15-14 record this season and are tied with two more teams on the 8th place of the West. The Suns 10-19 against the spread and 16-13 in over/under. Phoenix has a 10-6 home record, but are 5-11 against the spread with a +1.8-point differential. The Suns are 1-3 in their last 4 games and 1-4 against the spread in their last 5. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 games.

 

The Suns are coming off a 110-100 win over Denver, as they shot with 47% from the field and were led in scoring by Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal with 27 points apiece.

 

Durant leads the Suns in scoring with 27.1 points, adding 6.6 rebounds and 3.9 assists. Devin Booker adds 25.1 points, 3.7 rebounds and 6.4 assists, but he is out with an injury.

 

Dallas Mavericks Recent Form and Trends

The Mavs have a 19-11 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the West. The Mavs are 17-12-1 against the spread and 15-14-1 in over/under. Dallas has a 9-6 road record, and are 8-6-1 against the spread, with a +3.6-point differential. The Mavs are 10-3 in their last 13 games but 3-4 against the spread in their last 7. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games.

 

The Mavericks are coming off a 99-105 loss by Minnesota, as they shot with just 41% from the field and saw Luka Doncic leave the game with an injury. Kyrie Irving led Dallas’ offense with 39 points with 5 triples and 5 rebounds.

 

Doncic leads the Mavs in scoring with 28.1 points, adding 8.3 rebounds and a team-high 7.8 assists per game. Kyrie Irving adds 24 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.1 assists.

 

Statistical Breakdown

Offensively, the Suns average 113.3 points per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. Phoenix shoots with 47.2% from the field (9th), and with 38.2% from beyond the arc (4th). Defensively, the Suns allow 114.6 points per game, which is 21st in the league.

 

Offensively, the Mavs average 118.2 points per game, which is the 5th-best in the NBA. They shoot 48.6% from the field, which is the 6th-best in the NBA, and 37.7% from beyond the arc (7th). Defensively, the Mavs allow 111.8 points per game, which is 12th in the league.

 

The Suns have won both previous meetings against the Mavericks this season. At home by 114-102 and on the road by 114-113. The Suns are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Mavs, but 2-3 in their last 5 meetings in Phoenix. Under is 5-0 in their last 5 meetings.

 

Prediction

In this Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, the Suns are coming as -2 home favorites. The Suns are rightfully favored as they are playing at home and the Mavs are without Luka Doncic. The Suns are playing their best at home, as they have 10 home wins compared to 5 road wins, and are playing their second straight game at home. On the other hand, the Mavericks are on their first stop of a four-game road trip, and have lost both meetings against the Suns this season. This is a Suns game all day, and I totally expect them to win easily in this one. Take the Phoenix Suns and lay the points at home. Nick’s Free Pick: Phoenix Suns -2

 

Also check out http://members.tonyspicks.com/cappers/71