Utah State vs San Diego State Prediction

Utah State vs San Diego State Prediction

No. 20 San Diego State (8-2, 1-0 in MWC) welcomes Utah State (11-1, 1-0 in MWC) to America’s Finest City on Saturday afternoon for a big early season Mountain West Conference (MWC) showdown. Combined, these two teams are an impressive 19-3 SU and the Aztecs have cracked the Top 25 rankings, something hard to do when seemingly 29 of the 25 spots are held by schools from the SEC. In their last 5 games, the Aggies have gone 4-1, beating Wyoming in their conference opener by 3 (70-67), Utah Tech by 30 (92-62), South Florida by 21 (88-67), losing to San Diego by 2 (75-73), and then knocking off St. Mary’s by 7 in their last outing (75-68), In their last 5, the Aztecs are a perfect 5-0, defeating Houston by 3 in OT (73-70), Fresno State by 22 (84-62), South Dakota by 17 (74-57), Cal Bakersfield by 6 (81-75), and California by 21 (71-50). San Diego State is currently priced at 200/1 longshot odds to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball championship at DraftKings with Utah State at even more massive 300/1 longshot odds.

Utah State is Nothing to Sneeze at on the Hardwood 

Utah State (6-5-0 ATS, 3-6-2 O/U) is always pretty good and pretty underrated at basketball (488-220 SU since 2003, 68.9%) and this 2024-25 NCAA Basketball season is no different. The Aggies (+172 Moneyline) are led by G Mason Falsev (17.3 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 3.3 apg), G Ian Martinez (17.0 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 3.4 apg), F Karson Templin (10.3 ppg, 5.3 rpg), G Dexter Akanno (8.7 ppg, 3.8 rpg), C Aubin Gateretse (8.5 ppg, 4.9 rpg), and G Drake Allen (6.3 ppg, 3.7 apg). Utah State averages 85.3 ppg (#26), allows 65.7 ppg and are No. 14 in the nation in Assists Per gamis18.4) and are tied for No. 70 in Rebounds Per Game (38.is so these may be the two best teams in the MWC.

Utah State Betting Trends

• Utah State 3-1 ATS in its last 4 games this season, after losing 3 straight ATS
• The Under is 5-1-2 in the Aggies last 8 games
• Aggie’sgies are 9-1 in their last 10 games overall
• USU is 26-7 on the Moneyline in its last 33 (+16.0 Units, 5% ROI)
• Utah State went 15-16-2 ATS last 2023-24 NCAAB season (48.4%)

San Diego State Returns to Past Glory in 2025?

San Diego State (4-5-0 ATS, 4-5-0 O/U) has beaten two ranked teams in No. 21 Creighton (71-53) and No. 6 Houston (73-70) and lost to No. 3 Gonzaga (80-67) and Oregon (78-68). The Aztecs are led in scoring, rebounds, and assists by G Miles Byrd (13.0 ppg, 4.8 rpg), G BJ Davis (11.2 ppg, RPG rpg), F Magoon Gwath (7.3 rpg, 3.8 rpg), G Wayne McKinney IRPG(7.2 ppRPG F Jared Coleman -Jones (7.0 ppg, 4.7 rpg), F Pharoah Compton (7.0 ppg, RPG rpg), and G Taj DeGourville (5.1 ppg, 3.1 rpg). San Diego State (-205 Moneyline) averages 75.2 ppg (#199) and gives up 63.2 and averages 38.3 Rebounds Per Game (#100) and 13.7 Assists Per Game (#231), so statistically, Utah State looks like the better team with the better Depth. But the Aztecs have held the upper hand in the series in recent years. This should be a really good game.

San Diego State Betting Trends

• San Diego State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 meetings
• The Aztecs are 3-7-0 ATS in the last 10 series meetings
• The Over is 5-3-0 in the last 8 series meetings
• The Aztecs are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games overall
• San Diego State has been the Favorite 4 straight games for heading in here

Utah State vs San Diego State Prediction

The last 10 series meetings have seen San Diego win 7 SU but also lose 7 ATS, so this is one of those series where the Point Spread can favor the Underdog. The Aztecs are 6-1 SU in the last 7 meetings and unbeaten in the last 5 at Home in San Diego winning by at least 5 points every time (11, 19, 10, 5, and 14). The two questions here will be how high will the oddsmakers make the Point Spread—Ken Pomeroy has SDS ranked No. 36 and USU at No. 46—and can the Aztecs stop the dynamic Guard duo of Falsev and Martinez? This Utah State vs San Diego State NCAAB pick will look at the Totals market and predict a game with around 138 points being scored. 

Kevin’s Utah State vs San Diego State Prediction: Under 143.5