Mississippi vs Memphis Prediction:

Kevin will be diving into this CBB action on Saturday when Memphis takes on Mississippi and Kevin also gives you a Mississippi vs Memphis Prediction.

Mississippi vs Memphis Prediction

No. 16 Mississippi (11-1, 1-0 on Road) heads to the Home of the Blues to meet Memphis (9-3, 3-2 at Home) on Saturday afternoon in an SEC-AAC collision. In their last 5 games, the Rebels are 5-0, dusting off Louisville by 23 (86-63), Linwood by 33 (86-53), Southern Miss by 33 (77-46), Southern by 13 (74-61), and Quinnipiac by 18 (80-62). In their last 5, the Tigers are 3-2, whopping Louisiana Tech by 10 (81-71), getting upset by Arkansas State by 13 (85-72), beating Clemson by 5 in OT (87-82), topping Virginia by 2 (64-62), and then losing to Mississippi State by 13 (79-66). Memphis currently sits at 60/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball championship at DraftKings with the odds for Ole Miss at 80/1.

No. 16 Ole Miss Looking For its 6th Straight Victory

Mississippi (8-4-0 ATS, 5-7-0 O/U) has been generous to its backers at the betting windows in November and December and the Rebels’ only Loss this season came to last year’s runners-up, Purdue by 2 (80-78) in the Championship Game of the Rady Children’s Invitational at LionTree Arena in San Diego on November 29. Ole Miss is led in scoring by G Sean Pedulla (14.8 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 3.8 apg), G Jaylen Murray (13.3 ppg, 4.5 apg), G Matthew Murell (12.3 ppg, 3.0 rpg), G Dre Davis (11.7 ppg, 5.1 rpg), F Jaemyn Brakefield (9.6 ppg, 5.0 rpg), G Davon Barnes (6.9 ppg, 3.8 rpg), F Malik Dia (6.8 ppg, 5.3 rpg), and F Mikeal Brown-Jones (6.5 ppg). This will only be the Rebels 2nd true Road game. Ole Miss Memphis (-101 Moneyline)  hasn’t made it to the Big Dance since 2019 (lost to Oklahoma in the First Round) and the farthest they have gone in the tourney (5-9 lifetime) is to the Sweet Sixteen (2001).

Mississippi Betting Trends

• Mississippi is 7-2-0 ATS in their last 9 games
• The Under is 5-0-0 in Ole Miss’s last 5 games overall
• The Rebels have been Favorites in their last 4 games
• Ole Miss is 12-0 in its last 12 games in December
• Mississippi started last season with a 13-game win streak

Memphis Has Beaten UConn, Lost to Arkansas State

Memphis (7-5-0 ATS, 7-5-0 O/U) is led by G PJ Haggerty (22.5 ppg, 5.8 RPG, 3.3 APG), G Tyrese Hunter (15.9 ppg, 3.8 RPG, 3.3 APG), G Colby Rogers (11.6 ppg), F Dain Dainja (10.6 ppg, 6.9 RPG), Nicholas Jourdain (6.6 ppg, 5.3 RPG), and C Moussa Cisse (5.1 RPG, 5.7 RPG). The bottom line is that this team could use some more depth and Bench scoring as it seems only these 6 ballers put the ball in the bucket. Memphis (-108 Moneyline) only averages 17.0 ppg from its Bench and is tied for No. 300 in the nation in that category. Depth batter in basketball at all levels. The Tigers (12.7 apg, Tied-#117) average 78.4 ppg (Tied-#117), 35.1 rpg (Tied-#268), and allow 76.0 ppg.

Memphis Betting Trends

• Memphis is a 7-3 SU in its last 10 overall
• The Tigers have already beaten UCONN, MICH ST, CLEM and VA
• Memphis is just 1-5-0 ATS its last 6 games
• The Over is 4-2-0 in the Tiger’s last 6 but has lost the last 2 
• Memphis is 11-21 in the First Half Moneyline in its last 32 (-35.05 units, -41% ROI)

Mississippi vs Memphis Prediction

Memphis played great in November (6-1 SU) but fell back to Earth in December (3-2 SU) and lost at Home to Arkansas State (as 11.5-Point Favorites) and Mississippi State (as 1.5-Point Underdogs), so this isn’t the same team that looked so great handing Connecticut (in Hawai’i) its first loss since Richard Nixon was President. These two met last year in Oxford where the Rebels won by 3 (80-77) as small 1-Point Home Favorites in a game that went over the closing Total of 137 by 20 points. Although Ole Miss is 5-3 SU in the last 8 series meetings, they are an even more impressive 7-0-1 ATS vs Memphis, so even if the Tigers go off as Unranked Home Favorites (UHF), this Mississippi vs Memphis NCAAB pick will stick with the Road team, Mississippi, who currently at 80/1 longshots to win the national championship, might be a good Futures bet right about now as well. The Tigers are in a mini-funk and their Bench is way too anemic. Ole Miss’s bench averages 24.5 ppg.

Kevin’s Pick: Mississippi +1.5