Arlington Baptist vs Baylor Game Information

Arlington Baptist vs Baylor Preview

No. 25 Baylor (7-3, 5-0 at Home) plays host to tiny Arlington Baptist (1-9, 1-8 on Road) in Waco, Texas on Friday night for an NCAA-NCCAA mismatch and likely blowout of between 50 to 70 points. Arlington Baptist is a small Private Bible college who plays in the National Christian College Athletic association (NCCAA) In Arlington, Texas and the Patriots have lost 9 straight this season. In their last 5 games, the Bears have gone 3-2, losing to top-ranked Tennessee by 15 (77-62), beating New Orleans by 31 (91-60), losing to 2-time defending national champions Connecticut by 4 (76-72), beating Abilene Christian by 31 (88-57), and then topping Norfolk by 25 (94-69). The Patriots have been bombarded in their last 5 qualified by ESPN, going 0-5 and getting demolished by East Texas by 55, Abilene Christian by 46 (88-42), Sam Houston State by 81 (107-26), East Texas (again) by 77 (130-53), and Texas State by 48 (97-49), the last 4 either played in 2022 or 2023. If there ever was a game where a team could win by 100, this is it. Baylor is currently priced at 50/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball championship at DraftKings.

Arlington Baptist Cooked Like a Christmas Goose

Arlington Baptist is on a 9-game slide and plays schools most no one has ever heard of. In the last 5 non-exhibition games on the school’s website, the Patriots have lost to Howard Payne by 4 (124-120), Texas State by 48 (97-49), Lubbock Christian by 38 (95-57), the University of Dallas by 6 (89-83), and Angelo State by 43 (101-58). The team’s lone win this season  came against Centenary College (Louisiana) by 3 (78-75) on November 8. Arlington Baptist’s largest loss this season was that 43-Point loss to Angelo State. Bubba Jennings is the Head Coach for the Patriots. Arlington Baptist is led by Ahmad Webster, Gary Gray, Jonathan Gray, and Eric Conner.

Arlington Baptist Betting Trends

• Arlington Baptist is 0-9 SU in its last 9 games overall
• This will be the Patriots 10th straight game on the Road 
• Almost all Arlington Baptist games are non-lined affairs
• The last lined game (2022) vs SHSU saw the Patriots as 57.5-Point Road Underdogs
• Arlington Baptist lost that game by 81 points (Under 145.5)

Baylor May Treat This One More Like a Scrimmage

Baylor (4-6-0 ATS, 8-2-0 O/U) has been a strong Over team this season and the Bears have played two of the best teams in College Basketball in their last 4 games (Tennessee, UConn), so this one will seem more like a practice against a good High School team. Head Coach Scott Drew (21 years) and the program lost some key cogs from last year’s team to the NBA including Keyonte George (Utah Jazz), Adam Flagler (Oklahoma City Thunder), LJ Cryer ( transferred to Houston), Dale Bonner (transferred to Ohio State), and Jordan Turner (transferred to Louisiana Tech). Baylor went 24-11 (11-7 in the Big 12) and made it to the Big Dance where they beat Colgate in the First Round (92-67) before losing to Clemson in the Second Round (84-72). The Bears had a nice recruiting class and had two players transfer in. The Bears currently have five players in double-digits in F Norchad Omier (15.9 ppg, 9.3 rpg), G Robert Wright III (12.9 ppg, 5.4 apg), G Jeremy Roach (12.8 ppg, 4.1 apg), G Jayden Nunn (12.2 ppg, 3.1 rpg)—a Transfer from VCU—and G VJ Edgecombe (11.9 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 3.1 apg).

Baylor Betting Trends

• Baylor was 20-12-2 ATS last season (62.5%)
• The Bears have played 4 straight Overs
• Baylor is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games overall after covering 3 straight
• The Over is 8-2-0 in Baylor’s last 10 games
• The Bears went 20-12-0 ATS last 2-23-24 NCAAB season (62.5%)

Arlington Baptist vs Baylor Prediction

Baylor beat New Orleans and Abilene Christian by 31 points, and it wouldn’t surprise anyone if the host Bears actually lead by at least 31 points at Halftime of this mismatch-exhibition-scrimmage which may not even have a Point Spread posted on it. The Patriots may be a little bit better than they were in 2022 and 2023, but this NCCAA school has lost 9 straight and prioritizes studying the Bible more than dribbling Basketballs and popping 3-pointers. If Jesus was a basketball player, he would have surely been a Point Guard. Noah? Probably a Power Forward. David? A Shooting Guard as the man had mad slingshot skills. Goliath? A Center for sure. This Arlington Baptist vs Baylor NCAAB pick will predict a win from 60 to 90 points with Baylor topping 100 and Arlington Baptist peaking out around 40 points in Waco. This pummeling will be on ESPN+ if you need some hardwood humor on a holiday Friday night. We will update this if someone puts out a Point Spread and Total by game time. 

Kevin’s Pick: Baylor -55.5 (No Line)