Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors 12-29-22

Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 12/26/2024: NBA Picks

Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

Game Time 8:00 pm EST
Toronto Raptors Line +12
Memphis Grizzlies Line -12
Total 237.5
TV: NBA TV

 

Below is a detailed analysis for Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies game.

 

PREGAME WARM-UP:

The Memphis Grizzlies are looking to bounce back after a rare home defeat, as they are hosting one of the weakest teams both in the East and in the whole NBA, the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors are coming off a home loss, that was their second in their last four games, and have lost the second place of the West to the Rockets. This will be the second consecutive home game for Memphis, where they are playing their best basketball of the season, as they are the second-best home team in the whole NBA. On the other hand, Toronto is currently on a seven-game losing streak, and are playing their second straight road game, where they have been the worst team in the East and the second-worst in the whole NBA.

 

Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report: GG Jackson, Zach Edey, Vince Williams are out.

Toronto Raptors Injury Report: Bruce Brown, Jacob Poeltl are day-to-day, Immanuel Quickley is out.

Memphis Grizzlies Form and Trends

The Grizzlies have a 20-10 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the Western Conference. Memphis is 20-10 against the spread and 18-12 in over/under. The Grizzlies have a 13-4 home record, and are 12-5 against the spread, with a +12.3-point differential. Memphis is 6-2 in their last 8 games and are 6-2 against the spread. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games.

 

The Grizzlies are coming off a 110-114 loss by the Clippers, as they struggled mightily with their shot, connecting to just 38% from the field. Memphis had three players with 21+ points, led by Jaren Jackson Jr with 24 points and 6 rebounds, but shot with just 1-7 from downtown.

 

Jaren Jackson leads the Grizzlies in scoring with 21.5 points and 5.8 rebounds. Ja Morant adds 21.3 points, 4.7 rebounds and a team-high 7.9 assists.

 

Toronto Raptors Recent Form and Trends

The Raptors have a 7-23 record this season and are sitting on the second to last place of the East. Toronto is 19-10-1 against the spread and 15-15 in over/under. The Raptors have a 1-13 road record but are 8-6 against the spread, with a -6.9-point differential. The Raptors are 0-7 in their last 7 games but 6-1-1 against the spread in their last 10. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 games.

 

The Raptors are coming off a 125-139 loss in New York, even though they shot with 55% from the field. Toronto had five players with 16+ points, led by Scottie Barnes with 24, adding a team-high 8 assists.

 

RJ Barrett leads the Raptors in scoring, with an average of 23.5 points, adding 6.7 rebounds and 6.1 assists. Scottie Barnes adds 19.6 points, 7.9 rebounds and a team-high 7.2 assists.

 

Statistical Breakdown

Offensively, the Grizzlies are the best team in the NBA, with 122.7 points per game. They have the 6th-best field goal percentage, with 48.6% and a 37% three-point percentage (13th). Defensively, they allow 113 points per game, which ranks 15th in the league.

 

Offensively, the Raptors are averaging 112.1 points per game, which ranks 17th in the NBA. They shoot 46.4% from the field (15th) and 34.5% from beyond the arc (22nd). Defensively, they rank just 26th in the league, allowing 117.3 points per game.

 

The Raptors are 6-4 in their last 10 meetings against the Grizzlies, and have won four consecutive games in Memphis. The Raptors are 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 meetings in Memphis. Under is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.

 

Prediction

In this Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, the Grizzlies are coming as -12 home favorites. The Grizzlies are rightfully favored as they are the superior team, but they have not been playing their best ball lately, and laying 12 points against the third-best covering team of the NBA is a bit tricky. The Grizzlies have the best offense in the league and are facing a terrible Raptors defense, that is the 5th-worst in the league. Memphis is mediocre offensively, while Toronto’s offense has not been terrible, so I expect the Raptors to contribute some points in what should be a high scoring game. Take the over the point total. Nick’s Free Pick: Over 237.5

 

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