Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction
Game Time | 7:00 pm EST |
Miami Heat Line | +1 |
Orlando Magic Line | -1 |
Total | 210.5 |
TV: | NBA TV |
Below is a detailed analysis for Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic game.
PREGAME WARM-UP:
In this Florida battle, the Orlando Magic are hosting the Miami Heat, in a rematch of Saturday’s game, where the Magic emerged victorious. The Magic are back on track after a though stretch, where they lost three consecutive games, and have now won two straight. Orlando is enjoying their fifth straight home game, where they are the second-best team in the whole NBA. The Heat are coming off a win that snapped their previous three-game losing streak, and are visiting once again Orlando, looking for payback.
Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction
Orlando Magic Injury Report: Gary Harris is day-to-day, Paolo Banchero, Franz Wagner, Moritz Wagner are out.
Miami Heat Injury Report: Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler are day-to-day, Josh Richardson and Dru Smith are out
Orlando Magic Form and Trends
The Magic have a 19-12 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the East. The Magic are 18-12-1 against the spread and 14-17 in over/under. Orlando has a 12-2 home record, and are 11-2-1 against the spread, with a +10-point differential. The Magic have back-to-back wins and are 4-1-1 against the spread in their last 6 games. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games.
The Magic are coming off a 108-104 win over Boston, as they held the defending champions into 44% shooting from the field and 24% from beyond the arc. Three Orlando players scored 16+ points, led by Tristan Da Silva with 18.
Paolo Banchero leads the Magic both in scoring with 29 points, and in assists made with 5.6, adding 8.8 rebounds per game. Franz Wagner adds 24.4 points, 5.6 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game but both are out with injuries.
Miami Heat Recent Form and Trends
The Heat have a 14-13 record this season and are sitting on the 6th place of the East. Miami is 12-15 against the spread and 15-12 in over/under. The Heat have a 5-8 road record, and are 5-8 against the spread, with a -0.8-point differential. The Heat are 1-3 in their last 4 games, and are 1-4 against the spread in their last 5. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games.
Miami is coming off a 110-95 win over Brooklyn, as they held the Nets into just 39% shooting from the field. Miami saw four of its players scoring 17+ points, led by Bam Adebayo with 23, adding 7 rebounds and 7 assists.
Tyler Herro leads Miami in scoring with an average of 24.1 points, adding 5.3 rebounds and 4.8 assists. Jimmy Butler adds 19.4 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5 assists but he is questionable for today.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Magic average 107.3 points per game, which is just 26th in the league. They shoot 45.2% from the field (23rd) and are dead last in 3-point percentage, with 31.1%. Defensively, they are the second-best team in the NBA, allowing 103.9 points per game.
Offensively, the Heat are averaging 112.1 points per game, which is 16th in the league. Miami shoots with 45.4% from the field (22nd), and with 37.4% from beyond the arc (6th). Defensively, they allow 109.4 points per game, which ranks 7th in the NBA.
The Magic have won both previous meetings against the Heat this season. At home by 121-114 and on the road by 116-97. the Magic are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Heat, and 3-1 against the spread. Over is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.
Prediction
In this Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction, the Magic are coming as -1 home favorites. The Magic are rightfully favored as they are the third-best home team in the league, and second-best in the East. Orlando is the best covering home team in the whole NBA, winning by an average of 10 points, while on the other hand, Miami is the 6th-worst covering team on the road. The Magic are a different beast at home in the past two season, and they managed to win the defending champions without their two best players. Orlando keeps getting undervalued, especially at home, so let’s take advantage of this and get them to cover today. Nick’s Free Pick: Orlando Magic -1
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