Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
| Game Time | 8:00 pm EST |
| Los Angeles Lakers Line | +3.5 |
| Golden State Warriors Line | -3.5 |
| Total | 225 |
| TV: | NBA TV |
Below is a detailed analysis for Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors game.
PREGAME WARM-UP:
In the fourth game of the 2024 NBA Christmas Day, we have an all-Western battle, as the Golden State Warriors are hosting the Los Angeles Lakers. The Warriors are struggling lately, having just one win in their last five games, but are playing their second straight game at home. The Lakers are coming off a shocking home defeat by Detroit, that ended their previous three-game winning streak, and they are back on the road, where they have been playing their worst basketball of the season. This is perhaps the most interesting matchup of all Christmas Day card, as the veterans LeBron James and Steph Curry face off.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
Golden State Warriors Injury Report: Gary Payton II is out
Los Angeles Lakers Injury Report: Jalen Hood-Schifino, Jaxon Hayes, Jarred Vanderbilt and Christian Wood are out.
Golden State Warriors Form and Trends
The Warriors have a 15-13 record this season and are sitting on the 8th place of the West. They are 15-12-1 against the spread and 12-16 in over/under. Golden State has a 7-6 home record, and are 7-6 against the spread, with a +1.9-point differential. The Warriors are 1-4 in their last 5 games, and they are 1-3 against the spread in their last 4. Under is 12-3 in their last 15 games.
The Warriors are coming off a 105-111 defeat by Indiana, as they shot with just 43% from the field. Jonathan Kuminga led Golden State’s offense with 26 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists off the bench, as Steph Curry struggled once again, with just 10 points on 2-13 shooting from the field.
Curry leads the Warriors in scoring with 21.8 points, adding 5 rebounds and a team-high 6.6 assists per game. Andrew Wiggins adds 17.3 points and 4.1 rebounds per game.
Los Angeles Lakers Recent Form and Trends
The Lakers have a 16-13 record this season and are sitting on the 7th place of the West. LA is 13-16 against the spread and 12-17 in over/under. The Lakers have a 7-9 road record, but are 6-10 against the spread, with a -7.1-point differential. The Lakers are 3-1 in their last 4 games, and 5-2 against the spread in their last 7. Under is 5-1 in their last 6 games.
The Lakers are coming off a 114-117 loss by Detroit, even though they shot better than the Pistons from the field (54% to 51%). All of the Lakers’ starters scored double figures, led by LeBron James with 28 points, adding 11 rebounds and 11 assists for a triple double.
Anthony Davis leads the Lakers both in scoring with 26.6 points and in rebounding with 11.8 per game. LeBron James adds 23.2 points, 8 rebounds and a team-high 9 assists.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Warriors average 112.8 points per game, which is 14th in the league. Golden State shoots with 45% from the field (24th), and with 37.1% from beyond the arc (11th). Defensively, they are allowing 110.8 points per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA.
Offensively, the Lakers average 111.2 point per game, ranking 20th in the league. LA is shooting with 47.1% from the field (10th), and 34.8% from beyond the arc (23rd). Defensively, they have been less effective, allowing 113.8 points per game, which ranks 18th in the NBA.
The Warriors have three consecutive wins against the Lakers, and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Golden State. Golden State is 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 meetings, and over is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings.
Prediction
In this Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, the Warriors are coming as -3.5 home favorites. The Lakers are the third-worst covering team on the road, losing by an average of 7.1 points per game, and playing on the road on Christmas Day isn’t exactly ideal. The Warriors are above average in covering at home, but when they are 1-3 against the spread in their last 4 home games, they are hard to trust as well. Both teams have been involved in lower scoring games for a while now, going for 17-4 to the under in their last 21 games combined. Both teams are below average offensively, scoring just 224 points per game combined, which is just one point lower of today’s total of 225, while the Lakers are the 8th-worst team in the NBA in 3-point percentage and the Warriors the 7th-worst in field goal percentage. Expect another low scoring affair and take the under 225 points. Nick’s Pick: Under 225
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