Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers 12/16/23

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 12/23/2024: NBA Picks

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Game Time 8:30 pm EST
Portland Trail Blazers Line +9.5
Dallas Mavericks Line -9.5
Total 228
TV: NBA TV

 

Below is a detailed analysis for Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks game.

 

PREGAME WARM-UP:

One of the best teams of the West is facing one of the weakest, when the Dallas Mavericks are hosting the Portland Trail Blazers. The Mavs have been playing much better lately and have risen to the fourth place of the West. Dallas has lost just three times in their last sixteen games, and are playing their third consecutive home game. On the other hand, the Blazers are one of the worst teams of the West, and have just one win in their previous eight games. Portland is playing their second straight road game, where they have been extremely inefficient this season.

 

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Dallas Mavericks Injury Report: Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Brandon Williams are questionable, Jaden Hardy, Dante Exum are out

Portland Trail Blazers Injury Report: Scoot Henderson, Robert Williams III, Tumani Camara are day-to-day, Donovan Clingan and Matisse Thybulle are out

Dallas Mavericks Form and Trends

The Mavs have a 18-10 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the West. The Mavs are 16-11-1 against the spread and 14-13-1 in over/under. Dallas has a 9-4 home record, and are 8-5 against the spread, with a +9.2-point differential. The Mavs are 9-2 in their last 11 games and 8-3 against the spread. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games.

 

The Mavericks are coming off a 113-97 win over the Clippers, as they held them into just 42% shooting from the field and 27% from downtown. A grand total of eight Dallas players scored double figures, led by Quentin Grimes with 20 points and 7 rebounds off the bench.

 

Luka Doncic leads the Mavs in scoring with 28.9 points, adding 8.6 rebounds and a team-high 8.2 assists per game, but he is out with an injury. Kyrie Irving adds 23.5 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.4 assists.

 

Portland Trail Blazers Recent Form and Trends

The Blazers have a 9-19 record this season and are sitting on the third to last place of the West. Portland is 15-12-1 against the spread and 12-16 in over/under. The Blazers have a 3-12 road record, but are 7-7-1 against the spread, with a -10.7-point differential. The Blazers are 2-9 in their last 11 games. Over is 5-3 in their last 8 games.

 

The Blazers are coming off a 91-114 loss in San Antonio, as they shot with just 40% from the field and 28% from beyond the arc. Shaedon Sharpe led Portland’s offense with 25 points and 3 rebounds.

 

Anfernee Simons leads the Blazers in scoring with an average of 17.7 points and 4.8 assists. Shaedon Sharpe adds 17.7 points and 3.6 rebounds.

 

Statistical Breakdown

Offensively, the Mavs average 118.4 points per game, which is the 5th-best in the NBA. They shoot 48.6% from the field, which is the 5th-best in the NBA, and 37.8% from beyond the arc (8th). Defensively, the Mavs allow 112.2 points per game, which is 13th in the league.

 

Offensively, the Blazers average 107.1 point per game, ranking 25th in the league. Houston does not shoot the ball very well, with just 43.8% from the field (28th) and 33.2% from beyond the arc (25th). Defensively, they are allowing 116.3 points per game, which ranks 22nd in the league.

 

In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Mavericks won 137-131 on the road. Dallas is 5-0 in their last 5 meetings against Portland, and are 5-0 in their last 5 meetings in Dallas. Mavs are also 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Over is 8-1 in their last 9 meetings.

 

Prediction

In this Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, the Mavericks are coming as -9.5 home favorites. The Mavericks are rightfully favored, as they are the superior team and in far better form. But the Mavs have not been covering a lot lately, with just 2-3 against the spread in their last 5, while the Blazers are covering, with 3-1 in their last 4. This is still not enough to make a case for the Blazers as road dogs, so I’m going to pass on the side. In this game, the 5th-best offense is facing the 9th-worst defense, and most of their recent meetings between those two teams have been high scoring ones. I expect more of the same today, so take the over the point total. Nick’s Pick: Over 228

 

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