Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Prediction
| Game Time | 7:30 pm EST |
| Brooklyn Nets Line | +8.5 |
| Miami Heat Line | -8.5 |
| Total | 214 |
| TV: | NBA TV |
Below is a detailed analysis for Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat game.
PREGAME WARM-UP:
In this all-Eastern matchup between two teams that are looking to bounce back after their latest defeats, the Miami Heat are hosting the Brooklyn Nets. The Heat are on a three-game losing streak, following a lengthy winning run, where they had won four straight games. The Heat are back home following a short trip to Orlando, where they lost by the short-handed Magic, and will be looking to take advantage of their strong home court in order to get back to the winning ways. The Nets have been struggling once again lately, as they have won twice in their last nine games, and are on their first stop of a small two-game road trip.
Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Prediction
Miami Heat Injury Report: Jimmy Butler is day-to-day, Josh Richardson is out
Brooklyn Nets Injury Report: Trendon Watford and Zairie Williams Cam Thomas, Bojan Bogdanovic are out.
Miami Heat Form and Trends
The Heat have a 13-13 record this season and are sitting on the 6th place of the East. Miami is 11-15 against the spread and 15-11 in over/under. The Heat have an 8-5 home record, but are 6-7 against the spread, with a +5.5-point differential. The Heat have three consecutive losses, and are 0-4 against the spread in their last 4. Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games.
Miami is coming off a 114-121 loss in Orlando, as they played without their star player Jimmy Butler. In his absence, three Miami players scored 22+ points, led by Bam Adebayo and Terry Rozier with 23 points apiece.
Tyler Herro leads Miami in scoring with an average of 24.1 points, adding 5.3 rebounds and 4.8 assists. Jimmy Butler adds 19.4 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5 assists but he is questionable for today.
Brooklyn Nets Recent Form and Trends
The Nets have a 11-17 record this season and are sitting on the 11th place of the East. Brooklyn is 16-11-1 against the spread and 14-14 in over/under. The Nets have a 6-9 road record but are 10-4-1 against the spread, with a -3.5-point differential. The Nets are 2-7 in their last 9 games. Under is 5-3 in their last 8 games.
The Nets are coming off a 94-105 loss by Utah, as they struggled mightily with their shooting, making just 40% from the field and 18% from downtown. Four of five Brooklyn starters scored double figures, led by Cam Johnson with 18 points and 5 assists.
Cam Thomas leads the Nets in scoring with 24.7 points, adding 3.2 rebounds and 3.4 assists, but he is out with an injury. Cam Johnson adds 19.1 points and 4.4 rebounds.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Heat are averaging 112.2 points per game, which is 16th in the league. Miami shoots with 45.3% from the field (22nd), and with 37.3% from beyond the arc (6th). Defensively, they allow 109.9 points per game, which ranks 6th in the NBA.
Offensively, the Nets average 109.2 point per game, which ranks 24th in the league. Brooklyn shoot with 45.6% from the field (19th) and 37.2% from beyond the arc, which is 11th in the league. Defensively, they allow 114.1 points per game, which ranks 19th in the NBA.
The Nets are 6-2 in their last 8 overall meetings against the Heat and 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Miami. The Nets are 4-1-1 against the spread in their last 6 meetings. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.
Prediction
In this Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Prediction, the Heat are coming as -8.5 home favorites. The Heat are rightfully favored as they have been the better team throughout the season, and have been fairly strong at home. But on the other hand, the Nets are the best covering team in the NBA, and are constantly undervalued by the books, as they are the fourth-best covering team in the East. Brooklyn also got Miami’s number in their recent meetings, and have been dominating the Heat in their recent meetings. I expect Brooklyn to keep this somewhat close, so take the Brooklyn Nets and lay the plus points on the road. Nick’s Pick: Brooklyn Nets +8.5
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