Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks 1-3-23

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 12/21/2024: NBA Picks

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

Game Time 8:00 pm EST
Washington Wizards Line +12.5
Milwaukee Bucks Line -12.5
Total 226.5
TV: NBA TV

 

Below is a detailed analysis for Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks game.

 

PREGAME WARM-UP:

The recently crowned winners of the NBA Cup Milwaukee Bucks, are visiting the worst team of the NBA this season, the Washington Wizards. The Bucks have been red-hot, as they have lost only twice in their last thirteen games, as they are looking to climb up on the Eastern conference standings. On the other hand, the Wizards are by far the worst team in the NBA this season, but are coming off a rare loss that snapped their previous three-game losing streak. The Bucks are on the second leg of a back-to-back, as they were playing in Cleveland the day before.

 

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report: Damian Lillard is out

Washington Wizards Injury Report: Kyle Kuzma, Saddiq Bey are out

 

Milwaukee Bucks Recent Form and Trends

The Bucks have a 15-11 record this season and are sitting on the 5th place of the West. Milwaukee is 11-14-1 against the spread and 11-15 in over/under. The Bucks have a 4-7 road record, but are 5-6 against the spread, with a -3.1-point differential. The Bucks are 10-2 in their last 12 games.

 

The Bucks are coming off a 91-81 win over OKC in the NBA Cup Final, as they playing excellent defense, holding the Thunder into just 34% from the field and 16% from beyond the arc. The duo of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard led Milwaukee once again, with 26 and 23 points respectively, with Giannis adding a game-high 19 rebounds and 10 assists for a triple double.

 

Giannis leads the Bucks both in scoring with league-best 32.7 points and in rebounding with 11.5 per game, adding 6.1 assists per game. Damian Lillard adds 25.7 points, 4.5 rebounds and a team-high 7.5 assists.

 

Washington Wizards Form and Trends

The Wizards have a 4-21 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the East. Washington is 9-15-1 against the spread and 12-12-1 in over/under. The Wizards have a 1-10 road record, and are 4-6-1 against the spread, with a -16-point differential. The Wizards are 1-3 in their last 4 games but 4-1 against the spread in their last 5.

 

Washington is coming off a 123-114 win over Charlotte, as they shot with 49% from the field, while holding the Hornets into just 41%. Six Washington players scored double digits, and were led in scoring by Jordan Poole with 27 points with 5 triples, 3 rebounds and 4 assists.

 

Poole leads Washington in scoring with an average of 20.6 points, adding a team-high 5.1 assists. Kyle Kuzma adds 15.8 points and 5.6 rebounds.

Statistical Breakdown

Offensively, the Bucks average 112.7 points per game, which is 14th in the league. Milwaukee shoots with 48.1% from the field (7th) and 39% from beyond the arc, which is the third-best in the NBA. Defensively, they allow 111.7 points per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA.

 

Offensively, the Wizards are averaging 107.8 points per game, which ranks 25th in the NBA. Washington shoots with 44.1% from the field (27th), and with just 31.8% from beyond the arc, which is the second-worst in the league. Defensively, they are dead last in the league, allowing 122.6 points per game.

 

In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Bucks won 124-114 at home, not covering the spread. The Bucks are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Wizards, but the Wizards are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Over is 5-0 in their last 5 meetings.

 

Prediction

In this Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, the Bucks are coming as -12.5 home favorites. The Cavs are rightfully favored, as they will most likely win, but the Wizards have been sneakily covering spreads, as the books are giving huge spreads against them. Washington has also covered both of their visits in Milwaukee last season, and they find the Bucks on the second leg of a back-to-back. Milwaukee also came back home after a two-game road trip, so this is a tough scheduling spot for them. I expect the Wizards to not get blown out, so take them to cover on the road. Nick’s Pick: Washington Wizards +12.5  

 

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