Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings Prediction
Game Time | 6:00 pm EST |
Indiana Pacers Line | +3.5 |
Sacramento Kings Line | -3.5 |
Total | 235.5 |
TV: | NBA TV |
Below is a detailed analysis for Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings game.
PREGAME WARM-UP:
Two teams from opposing conference with below average record and the same number of wins this season are clashing today, when the Sacramento Kings are hosting the Indiana Pacers. The Kings are playing their second leg of a back-to-back, but both games are at home. The Kings have lost two straight, both at home, following a three-game winning streak, and are looking to bounce back. The Pacers on the other hand are playing good basketball lately, as they have won three straight, including a big road win in Phoenix. This is their second stop in their three-game road trip in the West.
Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings Prediction
Sacramento Kings Injury Report: Keegan Murray is questionable, Trey Lyles and Devin Carter are out
Indiana Pacers Injury Report: Aaron Nesmith, Isiah Jackson and James Wiseman are out.
Sacramento Kings Form and Trends
The Kings have a 13-14 record this season and are sitting on the 12th place of the West. The Kings are 10-16-1 against the spread and 15-12 in over/under. Sacramento has a 6-8 home record, but are 4-9-1 against the spread, with a +4.5-point differential. The Kings are 3-1 in their last 4 games, and 7-3 to the over in their last 10.
The Kings are coming off a 129-130 loss by Denver, as they allowed the Nuggets to shoot with 50% from the field. All of Sacramento’s starters scored double digits, and three of them had 25+ points, led by De’Aaron Fox with 29, adding 5 rebounds and 7 assists.
Fox leads the Kings in scoring with an average of 26.2 points, adding 5.1 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game. DeMar DeRozan adds 22.5 points, 3.9 rebounds and 4 assists.
Indiana Pacers Recent Form and Trends
The Pacers have a 13-15 record this season and are tied with the Bulls on the 8th place of the East. Indiana is 11-16-1 against the spread and 16-11-1 in over/under. The Pacers have a 5-11 road record, and are 6-10 against the spread, with a -5.6-point differential. Pacers are 4-1 in their last 5 games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games.
The Pacers are coming off a 120-111 win in Phoenix, even though they shot worse than the Suns from the field (49% to 44%). All of Indiana’s starter reached double digits in scoring, led by Pascal Siakam with 25 points and a game-high 18 rebounds.
Siakam leads the Pacers in scoring with 20.1 points, adding 7 rebounds and 3.5 assists. Tyrese Halliburton adds 18 points, 3.4 rebounds and a team-high 8.7 assists.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Kings average 116.7 points per game, which ranks 7th in the NBA. They shoot 48.3% from the field, which ranks 8th in the league, and 34.4% from beyond the arc (21st). Defensively, the Kings allow 113.7 points per game, ranking 17th in the league.
Offensively, the Pacers are averaging 114.6 points per game, which is 11th in the league. They shoot 48.7% from the field, which is the fourth-best in the NBA, and 37.6% from beyond the arc (11th). Defensively, the Pacers allow 117 points per game, which is just 26th in the league.
Both teams are 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 meetings. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.
Prediction
In this Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, the Kings are coming as -3.5 home favorites. The Kings are on their second leg of a back-to-back, but the Pacers are playing their second straight game on the road, so I don’t trust any of those teams in this particular scheduling spot. Both teams are almost top-10 in the league offensively, scoring 232.3 points per game combined, and both are top-10 in field goal percentage. Add to the fact the Pacers’ terrible defense that is the fifth-worst in the league, and I’m expecting a lot of points in this game. The Kings with tired legs will not play defense at all and this game will go over the point total. Nick’s Pick: Over 235.5
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