Free NFL Picks For Today 12/22/2024
Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals Free NFL Picks For Today 12/22/2024
Browns at Bengals Injuries
Cleveland receiver Tillman is out with tight end Njoku questionable. Backup QB Winston is questionable. On defense a tackle is out with corner questionable. Cincinnati left tackle and right guard are questionable. On defense an end and tackle are out. No significant injury advantage based on Dr. Chao rating.
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Browns at Bengals—Cleveland drops to 3-11 following their 21-7 home defeat to Kansas City. The Browns gained 266 yards with 139 rushing for 6.6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 311 yards to the Chiefs with 179 passing on 40 attempts. Jameis Winston completed 16 of 25 for 146 yards with three interceptions. Dorian Thompson Robinson relieved and hit 5 of 9 for 18 yards and a pick. Cincinnati improved to 6-8 after their 37-27 road win at Tennessee. The Bengals put up 370 yards with 101 rushing for 3.9 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 374 yards to the Titans with 291 passing on 38 attempts. Joe Burrow went 26 of 37 for 271 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
The weather is expected to be clear skies with 33 degrees and light wind. Dorian Thompson Robinson to start for Cleveland. He has been ineffective in his young career with 51.4% completion rate3.7 yards per pass attempt. The Browns defense in their past three games are allowing 30 points per game. The Cincinnati offense was in good form as in this period putting up 34 points game with 4.5 yards per run and 73% completions for 7.6 yards per pass attempt. Cleveland is 1-5 to the spread on the road against teams that average 235 yards passing per game or greater. The Bengals are 4-0 to the spread on the road facing teams that allow 5.65 yards per play or greater. Play Cincinnati -9.
Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Pick Prediction 12/22/2024
Titans at Colts Injuries
Tennessee running back Tony Pollard is questionable and on defense a linebacker is questionable. Indianapolis receiver Pierce is out and on defense a linebacker is out. Indianapolis has a slight injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. The Titans offense has the lowest rating at 81.9.
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Titans at Colts—Tennessee drops to 3-11 following their 37-27 home defeat to Cincinnati. The Titans put up 374 yards with 83 rushing for 3.2 yards per run. On defense they allowed 370 yards to the Bengals with 269 passing on 37 attempts. Mason Rudolph completed 21 of 26 for 209 yards with two touchdowns and a pick. Will Levis was 8 of 12 for 89 yards and three touchdowns. Indianapolis fell to 6-8 with their 31-13 road defeat at Denver. The Colts put up 310 yards with 149 rushing for 4.7 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 193 yards to the Broncos with 121 passing on 33 attempts. Anthony Ricardson hit 17 of 38 for 172 yards and two interceptions.
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Mason Rudolph to start at quarterback for the Titans. Rudolph this season is completing 63% of his passes with 6.6 yards per pass attempt. The Colts offense in their past three games is averaging 14.7 points per game with 44% completion rate for 4.9 yards per pass attempt. The Colts have failed to cover five of six. Play Tennessee +3.5.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders NFL Pick Prediction 12/22/2024
Eagles at Commanders Injuries
Philadelphia starters on offense and defense are healthy. Washington tight end Ertz is questionable with a safety questionable. The Eagles have an injury advantage based on Dr. Chao rating. They have a high health rating of 92.9 and are high on both sides.
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Eagles at Commanders 1PM ET—Philadelphia improved to 12-2 following their 27-13 home win to Pittsburgh. The Eagles posted 301 yards with 131 rushing for 3.1 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 163 yards to the Steelers with 107 passing on 22 attempts. Jalen Hurts completed 25 of 32 for 290 yards with two touchdowns. Washington is 9-5 with their 20-19 road win at New Orleans. They gained 326 yards with 137 rushing for 3.9 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 275 yards to the Saints with 176 passing on 32 attempts. Jayden Daniels went 25 of 31 for 226 yards and two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Eagles have covered 7 of 8 on the road. In their past three games they are averaging 160 rushing yards with 69% completions. Their defense in this period allowed 16 points per game with 5.4 yards per pass attempt. The Commanders defense against the division surrenders 5.1 yards per run with 68% completions for 6.9 yards per pass attempt. The Commanders had dropped three straight prior to beating the Saints and Titans. With a backup at quarterback the Commanders beat the Saints by only one point and have missed the cover in four of five. Play Philadelphia -3.5.
LA Rams vs. NY Jets NFL Pick Prediction 12/22/2024
Rams at Jets Injuries
LA has healthy starters on offense and defense. NY right guard is questionable. On defense a nickel back is out with tackle questionable. Many players are on IR. The Rams have a clear injury advantage based on Dr Chao rating.
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Rams at Jets 1PM ET—LA improves to 8-6 following their 12-6 road win at San Francisco. The Rams gained 302 yards with 142 rushing for 3.7 yards per carry. On defense they allowed 191 yards to the 49ers with 128 passing on 31 attempts. Matthew Stafford completed 16 of 27 for 160 yards. NY is 4-10 with their 32-25 road win at Jacksonville. The Jets put up 400 yards with 125 rushing for 5.4 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 421 yards to the Jaguars with 136 rushing for 4.7 yards per run. Aaron Rodgers went 16 of 30 for 289 yards and three touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
LA form is excellent in their past three games as they rush for 145 yards with 65% completions for 8 yards per pass attempt. Their defense has held opponents in this span to 57% completion rate. NY defense in this period allowed 28 points with 68% completion rate. NY is 0-4 to the spread against the NFC as they are getting outscored by 12 points per game. LA is 6-1 to the spread as a road favorite. NY is 2-4 to the spread at home. Play LA -3.
NY Giants vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Pick Prediction 12/22/2024
Giants at Falcons Injuries
NY running back Tracy is questionable with their left guard out. On defense a linebacker and corner are questionable. The Giants have several players on IR. Atlanta fullback is out. Their defensive starters are healthy. Atlanta has a massive injury advantage based on the Chao ratings.
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Giants at Falcons—NY fell to 2-12 following their 35-14 home defeat to Baltimore. The Giants gained 236 yards with 55 rushing for 2.8 yards per run. On defense they allowed 445 yards to the Ravens with 275 passing on 25 attempts. Tommy DeVito hit 10 of 13 for 68 yards. Tim Boyle relieved, going 12 of 24 for 123 yards with a touchdown and a pick. Atlanta improved to 7-7 with their 15-9 road win at Las Vegas. The Falcons put up 261 yards with 168 rushing for 4.5 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 249 yards to the Raiders with 65 rushing for 3 yards per run. Kirk Cousins went 11 of 17 for 112 yards with a touchdown and pick.
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Rookie Michael Penix will start. Penix has thrown five passes in the year and was a first-round pick. Drew Lock to start for NY. On the year he is completing 51% of his passes with 4.6 yards per pass attempt. The Falcons have failed to cover five of seven at home. Their defense in their past three games is allowing 68% of completions for 7 yards per pass attempt. The Giants defense on the road is allowing 21.5 points per game with 6 yards per pass attempt. It is hard to lay this huge number with a rookie quarterback with no starting experience and has thrown five passes in mop up duty. Play NY +8.5.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Pick Prediction 12/22/2024
Cardinals at Panthers Injuries
Arizona left tackle is out with guard questionable. On defense a linebacker is out with tackle and corner questionable. Carolina receiver Legette is out with receiver Coker, left tackle and right guard are questionable. On defense an end and linebacker are questionable. Arizona has a clear injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. The Carolina defense has the lowest health rating at 78.9 with the Arizona offense the highest at 87.7.
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Cardinals at Panthers 1PM ET—Arizona improved to 7-7 following their 30-17 home win to New England. The Cardinals put up 395 yards with 163 rushing for 5.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 311 yards to the Patriots with 116 rushing for 4.8 yards per run. Kyle Murray completed 23 of 30 for 224 yards. Carolina fell to 3-11 with their 30-14 home defeat to Dallas. The Panthers put up 235 yards with 60 rushing for 3.8 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 410 yards to the Cowboys with 211 rushing for 5.3 yards a carry. Bryce Young hit 19 of 28 for 219 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
The temperature will be 39 degrees with no rain and light wind. Arizona defensive form poor as in their past five games allowing 5.1 yards per run with 76% completions for 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Offensively in this period they are rushing for 5.1 yards a carry with 70% completions. Carolina in this period allowing six yards pe run with 64% completion rate. The Panthers are 6-1 to the over at home. Play Arizona and Carolina over 47.5.
Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears NFL Pick Prediction 12/22/2024
Lions at Bears Injuries
The Detroit offensive guard is questionable. On defense a safety is out with several players on the IR. Chicago left tackle and guard are questionable. On defense a tackle and corner are questionable. The Bears have the injury advantage based on the Chao rating. The health rating for the Lions defense is 69.4 based on the IR.
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Lions at Bears 1PM ET—Detroit drops to 12-2 after their 48-42 home defeat to Buffalo. The Lions gained 521 yards with 48 rushing for 3.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 559 yards to the Bills with 362 passing on 34 attempts. Jared Goff hit 38 of 59 for 494 yards with five touchdowns. Chicago fell to 4-10 after their 30-12 road defeat in Minnesota. The Bears posted 284 yards with 113 rushing for 3.9 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 329 yards to the Vikings with 215 passing on 40 attempts. Caleb Williams was 18 of 31 for 191 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
The temperature will be 31 degrees with light winds and sunny skies. The Lions have covered 5 of 6 on the road. The Lions offense in their past three games is averaging 33 points with 4.3 yards per run with 68% completions for 7.2 yards per pass attempt. The Bears in this span put up 15 points and allowed 30. The offensive and defensive performance poor in this period. Play Detroit -6.5.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Pick Prediction 12/22/2024
Vikings at Seahawks Injuries
Minnesota fullback is questionable. On defense a safety is questionable. Seattle starters on offense and defense are healthy. No significant injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings.
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Vikings at Seahawks 4PM ET—Minnesota improved to 12-2 following their 30-12 home win to Chicago. The Vikings put up 329 yards with 114 rushing for 3.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 284 yards to the Bears with 171 passing on 32 attempts. Sam Darnold completed 24 of 40 for 231 yards with a touchdown and interception. Seattle drops to 8-6 after their 30-13 home defeat to Green Bay. The Seahawks gained 208 yards with 80 rushing for 5 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 369 yards to the Packers with 140 rushing for 4.1 yards per carry.
The Pick with the Explanation
The weather calls for 93% chance of rain with light wind with a temperature of 49 degrees. The Vikings offensive form has been good over their past five games but have been carried by the passing game. They are rushing for only 3.5 yards a carry on the road. Their defense in their past three games is allowing 4.6 yards per carry and 142 rushing yards. Seattle in their past three games have been rushing for 4.9 yards a carry. The Vikings are a dome team heading into rainy weather. Play Seattle +3.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Pick Prediction 12/22/2024
Jaguars at Raiders Injuries
Jacksonville starters on offense and defense are healthy. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence is in IR. Las Vegas starters on offense are healthy. A nickel back on defense is questionable. Quarterback Gardner Minshew is on IR. The Jaguars have a slight injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. The Raiders defense has the lowest health rating at 74.6.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Jaguars at Raiders—Jacksonville drops to 3-11 following their 32-25 home defeat to NY Jets. The Jaguars gained 421 yards with 136 rushing for 4.7 yards per run. On defense they allowed 400 yards to the Jets with 275 passing on 30 attempts. Mac Jones completed 31 of 46 for 294 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Las Vegas fell to 2-12 after their 15-9 home defeat to Atlanta. The Raiders posted 249 yards with 65 rushing for 3 yards a carry. Defensively the allowed 261 yards to the Falcons with 93 passing on 17 attempts. Desmon Ridder hit 23 of 39 for 208 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Jaguars defense in their past three games are allowing 20 points with 59% completion rate. In this period, they are averaging 260 yards passing with 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Las Vegas defense over this span is surrendering 4.8 yards per run with 6.8 yards per pass attempt. They are putting up 13 points per game in this span. The Jaguars have covered five of eight on the road. Play Jacksonville +2.5.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Pick Prediction 12/22/2024
49ers at Dolphins Injuries
San Francisco left tackle is out. On defense an end and linebacker are questionable. Miami receiver Waddle is doubtful with receiver Hill, and both tackles questionable. Miami has an significant injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings.
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49ers at Dolphins 4:25PM ET—San Francisco drops to 6-8 following their 12-6 home defeat to LA Rams. The 49ers gained 191 yards with 63 rushing for 3.3 yards per run. On defense they allowed 302 yards to the Rams with 142 rushing for 3.7 yards per run. Brock Purdy completed 14 of 31 for 142 yards with an interception. Miami fell to 6-8 with their 20-12 road defeat to Houston. The Dolphins put up 214 yards with 52 rushing for 2.7 yards a carry. Defensively they held the Texans to 181 yards with 104 passing on 26 attempts. Tua hit 29 of 40 for 196 yards with a touchdown and three picks.
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Good weather is forecasted with sunshine, light winds and 73 degrees. San Francisco defense in their past three games is allowing 20 points with 4.4 yards per run and 5.9 yards per pass attempt. Miami over this period has rushed for only 2.6 yards a carry and defensively surrendering 71% completions for 7.5 yards per pass attempt. The Dolphins have failed to cover three straight. The pass defense is a concern here for Miami. Play San Francisco -1.5.
New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Pick Prediction 12/22/2024
Patriots at Bills Injuries
New England left guard is questionable. On defense an end, both safeties and a nickel back are questionable. Buffalo starters on offense are healthy. On defense a linebacker, both safeties and a corner are questionable. There is no injury advantage based on the Chao rating. Both offenses are the healthiest units.
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Patriots at Bills 4:25PM ET—New England fell to 3-11 following their 30-17 road defeat to Arizona. The Patriots gained 311 yards with 116 rushing for 4.8 yards per run. On defense they allowed 295 yards to the Cardinals with 163 rushing for 5.1 yards per run. Drake Maye completed 19 of 23 for 202 yards with at touchdown and interception. Buffalo improved to 11-3 with their 48-42 road win at Detroit. The Bills put up 559 yards with 197 rushing for 5.8 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 561 yards to the Lions with 473 passing on 59 attempts. Josh Allen hit 23 of 34 for 262 yards with two touchdowns.
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It will be 14 degrees in Buffalo with light wind and sunny skies. The Bills have gone over in 5 of 6 at home by averaging 35 points with 70% completions for 7.9 yards per pass attempt. Their defense in the past three games allowed 32 points with 293 yards passing for 8.2 yards per pass attempt. The Patriots defense over this three-game span is allowing 30 points with 69% completions for 6.8 yards per pass attempt. Drake Maye has been accurate over this three-game period with 71% completions with the team putting up 19 points per game. Play New England and Buffalo over 46.5.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Pick Prediction 12/22/2024
Buccaneers at Cowboys Injuries
Tampa Bay tight end Otton is out. On defense a safety is out and questionable. Dallas starters on offense are healthy. Dak Prescott is on IR. On defense an end, two linebackers and a nickel back are questionable. Tampa Bay has a slight injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. The Bucs offense is the healthiest unit at 89.5 rating.
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Buccaneers at Cowboys 8:20PM ET—Tampa Bay improved to 8-6 following their 40-17 road win at LA Chargers. The Buccaneers gained 506 yards with 223 rushing for 5.7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 206 yards to the Chargers with 32 rushing on 11 carries. Baker Mayfield completed 22 of 27 for 288 yards and four touchdowns. Dallas is 6-8 after their 30-14 road win at Carolina. The Cowboys put up 401 yards with 211 rushing for 5.3 yards a carry. Defensively they held the Panthers to 235 yards with 60 rushing for 3.8 yards per carry. Cooper Rush went 18 of 29 for 214 yards and three touchdowns.
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The Bucs offensive form good over their past three games by averaging 5.9 yards per run with 69% completions for 8.4 yards per pass attempt and putting up 31 points per game. Their defense in this period is allowing 3.5 yards per run with 5.6 yards per pass attempt. The Cowboys in this span allow 4.5 yards per run with 70% completions. Quarterback play has been subpar over this span with 57% completions for 5.8 yards per pass attempt. Dallas has failed to cover 6 of 7 at home. The Bucs won and covered 5 of 7 on the road. Play Tampa Bay -4.