Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction
Game Time | 7:30 pm EST |
Milwaukee Bucks Line | +7.5 |
Cleveland Cavaliers Line | -7.5 |
Total | 224 |
TV: | NBA TV |
Below is a detailed analysis for Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers game.
PREGAME WARM-UP:
In this high caliber duel between the recent winners of the NBA Cup and the team with the best record in the NBA, the Cleveland Cavaliers are hosting the Milwaukee Bucks. The Cavs have been red-hot after back-to-back losses to the Hawks three weeks ago, and have now lost just once in their last seven matches. The Bucks have also been red-hot, as they have lost only twice in their last twelve games, and are looking to climb up on the Eastern conference standings.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction
Cleveland Cavaliers Injury Report: Craig Porter is day-to-day, Emoni Bates and Max Strus are out
Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report: No injuries
Cleveland Cavaliers Form and Trends
The Cavaliers have a 23-4 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the East. They are 19-8 against the spread and 17-10 in over/under. Cleveland has a 14-1 home record, and are 11-4 against the spread with a +12.9-point differential. The Cavaliers are 6-1 in their last 7 games and 5-2 against the spread. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games.
The Cavaliers are coming off a 130-101 win in Brooklyn, as they shot with 53% from the field, while playing excellent defense and holding the Nets into just 42% from the field. All of Cleveland’s starters scored double digits, led by Evan Mobley with 21 points and 5 rebounds.
Donovan Mitchell leads the Cavaliers in scoring with 23.3 points, adding 4.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game. Darius Garland adds 20.3 points and a team-high 6.5 assists per game.
Milwaukee Bucks Recent Form and Trends
The Bucks have a 15-11 record this season and are sitting on the 5th place of the West. Milwaukee is 11-14-1 against the spread and 11-15 in over/under. The Bucks have a 4-7 road record, but are 5-6 against the spread, with a -3.1-point differential. The Bucks are 10-2 in their last 12 games.
The Bucks are coming off a 91-81 win over OKC in the NBA Cup Final, as they playing excellent defense, holding the Thunder into just 34% from the field and 16% from beyond the arc. The duo of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard led Milwaukee once again, with 26 and 23 points respectively, with Giannis adding a game-high 19 rebounds and 10 assists for a triple double.
Giannis leads the Bucks both in scoring with league-best 32.7 points and in rebounding with 11.5 per game, adding 6.1 assists per game. Damian Lillard adds 25.7 points, 4.5 rebounds and a team-high 7.5 assists.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Cavaliers are second-best in the league with 121.5 points per game. The Cavs boast the best percentages both in field goals, with 50.4%, and in 3-pointers, with 39.9%. Defensively, they rank 11th in the NBA, allowing 110.9 points per game.
Offensively, the Bucks average 112.7 points per game, which is 14th in the league. Milwaukee shoots with 48.1% from the field (7th) and 39% from beyond the arc, which is the third-best in the NBA. Defensively, they allow 111.7 points per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA.
The Cavaliers have won both previous meetings against the Bucks this season, at home by 116-114 and on the road by 114-113. Cleveland is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against Milwaukee. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.
Prediction
In this Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Cavaliers 76ers are coming as -7.5 home favorites. The Cavs are rightfully favored at home, where they have been almost perfect, having lost only once in their 15 home games this season, while winning by an average of 12.9 points. On the other hand, the Bucks are below average on the road, and they have a negative point differential, as they have been losing by an average of 3.1 points. The Bucks are a fade candidate after winning the NBA Cup, as I expect the Cavaliers to take advantage of the celebratory atmosphere in Milwaukee’s locker room and get away with the home victory. Nick’s Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers -7.5
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