Detroit Lions vs Chicago Beards Prediction 12/22/24 NFL

Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions Prediction 12/15/2024 NFL Picks

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Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions Prediction

On Sunday 12/15 the Buffalo Bills will take on the Detroit Lions at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan. This game features a match-up of the AFC East vs NFC North. The AFC East is the #6 ranked conference in the NFL with a 42.3% winning percentage while the NFC North is the #1 ranked conference with a winning percentage of 69.2%. The 10-3 Bills are ranked #1 in the AFC East and the 12-1 Lions are ranked #1 in the NFC North.Last week the Bills lost against the Rams 42 to 44 in which they allowed the Rams to gain a total of 457 yards of offense. Last week the Lions came out with the victory against the Packers 34 to 31 while allowing the Packers to gain 298 yards of total offense. The Bills come into this game having played the #11 toughest strength of schedule in the NFL compared to the Lions who have had the #12 toughest SOS in 2024.

Can the Bills Win Today?

The Bills will go with Josh Allen who has a record of 10-3 as starting quarterback this season. Josh Allen is ranked #11 for QB’s this week and he has completed 252 passes on 393 attempts and has averaged 233.3 yards per game with a completion percentage of 64.1% with 23 TD’s and 5 INT’s. His QBR is 29.6% above the league average and he has 0 fourth quarter comebacks and 2 game winning drives this season. The Bills running back James Cook is the #12 ranked RB this week and he is averaging 60.3 yards per game and 4.6 yards per rush attempt while scoring 11 TD’s, and having 0 fumbles. He has an advanced rushing success rate of 51% which is 1.6% more than the league average for this statistic. Wide receiver 1 for the Bills is Amari Cooper who is ranked #73 for WR\TE’s this week. He averages 3.6 receptions per game with a 12 yards per catch average to go along with 3 TD’s. The Bills can win this game by continuing to put up the points. The Bills offense has scored 397 points this season which is 33.8% more than the NFL average and have 7 turnovers which is an average of 0.5 turnovers per game. Plus Josh Allen has been their secret weapon all season.

More…

  • Josh Allen has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bills last 7 December games
  • Curtis Samuel has scored a touchdown in each of his last 3 appearances against the Lions
  • Josh Allen has recorded 253+ passing yards in each of the Bills last 4 games with a total points line of 50
  • James Cook has had 58+ rushing yards in his last 8 games following a loss
  • James Cook has had 17+ receiving yards following a loss

Can the Lions Win Today?

The Lions will go with Jared Goff who has a record of 12-1 as starting quarterback this season. Jared Goff is ranked #8 on the QB Rankings for this week and he has completed 276 passes on 381 attempts and has averaged 251.2 yards per game with a completion percentage of 72.4% with 25 TD’s and 10 INT’s. His QBR is 7.5% above the league average and he has 4 fourth quarter comebacks this season. The Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs is the #1 ranked RB this week and he is averaging 78.2 yards per game and 5.7 yards per rush attempt to go along with 10 TD’s and 1 fumble. He has an advanced rushing success rate of 53.4% which is 6.3% more than the league average for this statistic. For the Lions at wide receiver #1 is Amon-Ra St. Brown who is ranked #4 for all WR\TE’s this week in the NFL. He averages 6.2 catches per game and 10.7 yards per reception to go with 9 TD’s. The advanced receiving stats show he has a catch success rate of 82.7% which is 32.7% above league average combined with a receiving success rate of 72.4% which is 41.3% more than the wide receiver league averages. The Lions just need to keep scoring. This should be an epic matchup. The offense for the Lions has scored 417 points so far this year which is 40.5% more than the NFL average.

More…

  • Jahmyr Gibbs has scored at least 1 touchdown in each of the Lions last 7 games
  • Jared Goff has recorded 229+ passing yards in 13 of the Lions last 14 games vs the AFC
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has recorded 60+ receiving yards in 12 of the Lions last 13 games
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has recorded 63+ rushing yards in 11 of the Lions last 12 games
  • Jake Bates has recorded 10+ kicking points in each of the Lions last 4 home games

Bills vs. Lions (-4.0) – O/U 54.5 – Free Prediction for 12/15/24

The best bet for this match-up is on the total Over 54 points. My score projections for the total of this game is 60.45 so this pick has a variance of 6.45 points. The Bills are 8-5-0 on Over\Unders in 2024 overall and the over has come in 61.5% of their games with a +/- of 4.7 points. The Over\Unders in the Lions games this year are 6-7-0 and the over is at 46.2% with a +/- of 0.2 points. This should just be a giant shootout and a super fun game to watch.

Mindy’s Pick: OVER 54.5

Mindy has been in the business of picking winners for over 30 years. Her analytical mind has given her the insight to find the edges over Vegas in all the major sports. This is her 4th year at Tony’s Picks and loves to give out her Data Driven Picks. If you love Mindy’s free picks make sure you check out the link to her profile page here, to get her very best picks every day. Mindy has been crushing the books this NFL season and is 26-3 on her Moneyline predictions this year!!! Let’s get some wins!