Free NFL Picks For Today 12/15/2024
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Pick Prediction 12/15/2024
Bengals at Titans Injuries
Cincinnati left tackle is out and on defense a tackle is out. Tennessee running back Pollard is questionable as is a nickel back on defense. No significant injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. The Bengals offense is the healthiest unit with a score of 87.2.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Bengals at Titans—Cincinnati improved to 5-8 after their 27-20 road win at Dallas on Monday night. The Bengals put up 433 yards with 74 rushing for 3.9 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 322 yards to the Cowboys with 156 rushing for 6.2 yards per run. Joe Burrow hit 33 of 44 for 269 yards with three touchdowns and a pick. Tennessee fell to 3-10 following their 10-6 home defeat to Jacksonville. The Titans gained 272 yards with 126 rushing for 4.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 291 yards to the Jaguars with 71 rushing for 2.7 yards per rush. Will Levis completed 19 of 32 for 168 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Bengals have covered six of seven on the road. Tennessee is 0-6 to the spread at home and 2-11 overall spread mark. The Bengals offense is in great form as in their past three games averaging 31 points with 4.7 yards per run and 7.4 yards per pass attempt. The Titans are offensively poor in this span with accuracy and efficiency issues at quarterback. Both pass defenses struggle. Burrow vs. Levis must play favorite against with Burrow. Play Cincinnati -5.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Pick Prediction 12/15/2024
Chiefs at Browns Injuries
KC left tackle is doubtful. Their defensive starters are healthy. Cleveland receiver Tillman is out with tight end Njoku and left guard questionable. On defense their starters are healthy. KC has a clear injury advantage based on Dr. Chao rating. The Browns offense has the lowest health score at 77.6. KC health score is 90.2.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Chiefs at Browns—KC improved to 12-1 following their 19-17 home win to LA Chargers. The Chiefs gained 298 yards with 96 rushing for 3.8 yards a carry. On defense they held LA to 288 yards with 94 rushing for 3.9 yards per run. Patrich Mahomes completed 24 of 37 for 210 yards and a touchdown. Cleveland fell to 3-10 after their 27-14 road defeat to Pittsburgh. The Browns put up 300 yards with 104 rushing for 4.2 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 267 yards to the Steelers with 147 passing on 26 attempts. Jameis Winston hit 24 of 41 for 212 yards with two touchdowns and two picks.
The Pick with the Explanation
The KC offense in their past three games is averaging 4.8 yards per run with 64% completions. On defense they allow 65% completions with 7.6 yards per pass attempt. The Browns defense is in poor form as in this period they are allowing 29 points with 7.7 yards per pass attempt. Rain is in the forecast with some wind but under 20MPH. Winston in his past six games is averaging 43 passing attempts per game with 7.3 yards per pass attempt. KC is 7-1 to the over on the road facing a team that allows 4.5 yards per run or greater. Play KC and Cleveland over 43.
Baltimore Ravens vs. NY Giants NFL Pick Prediction 12/15/2024
Ravens at Giants Injuries
Baltimore starters on offense and defense are healthy. NY quarterback Drew Lock is doubtful with a left guard questionable. On defense an end, linebacker and nickel back are out. The left corner is doubtful and right corner doubtful. The Ravens have a massive injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. The variance is +17.5 in the health ratings. The NY defense has the lowest health score at 69.8 with the Ravens offense being the highest rated at 93.3.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Ravens at Giants—Baltimore fell to 8-5 following their 24-19 home defeat to Philadelphia. The Ravens gained 372 yards with 166 rushing for 5.2 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 252 yards to the Eagles with 140 rushing for 4.2 yards per run. Lamar Jackson completed 23 of 36 for 237 yards with two touchdowns. NY drops to 2-11 with their 14-11 home defeat to New Orleans. The Giants put up 325 yards with 112 rushing for 4.9 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 292 yards to the Saints with 200 passing on 31 attempts. Drew Lock went 21 of 49 for 227 yards and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Tommy DeVito will likely start at quarterback for the Giants. NY is 6-1 to the under at home as they average 10.1 points per game. The Ravens in their past three games are averaging 5.7 yards per run. The weather should be fine with no precipitation and light wind. Would look for the Giants to keep it conservative and get out of NY healthy and with a win. No style points are needed in December. Build up a three score lead in the fourth quarterback and drain clock by controlling the ball. Play Baltimore and NY under 42.5.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Pick Prediction 12/15/2024
Cowboys vs. Panthers Injuries
Dallas center is out. On defense two linebackers and a nickel back are questionable. A corner is out. Carolina starters on offense are healthy. On defense a linebacker is out with two linebackers and a corner questionable. Carolina has a clear injury advantage based on Dr Chao rating by 8 health points. The Panthers offense is the healthiest unit at 90.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Cowboys at Panthers—Dallas drops to 5-8 after their 27-20 home defeat to Cincinnati. The Cowboys put up 322 yards with 156 rushing for 6.2 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 433 yards to the Bengals with 359 passing on 44 attempts. Cooper Rush went 16 of 31 for 183 yards with two touchdowns and a pick. Carolina is 3-10 with their 22-16 road defeat at Philadelphia. The Panthers posted 302 yards with 118 rushing for 3.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 291 yards to the Eagles with 209 rushing for 6.7 yards per run. Bryce Young completed 19 of 34 for 191 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Cowboys have won four of six on the road. Carolina has dropped five of six at home. The Panthers in their past three games rushed for 3.7 yards a carry with 57% completions. On defense in this period, they allow 6.4 yards per run with a 69% completion rate. The Cowboys rushing performance last week was encouraging. They have won two of three with Rush under center. Play Dallas +3.
NY Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Pick Prediction 12/15/2024
Jets at Jaguars Injuries
Running back Hall with the right guard and tackle questionable for NY. On defense a corner is doubtful. Jacksonville quarterback Trevor Lawrence is out with the rest of the starters healthy. Their defensive starters are healthy. Jacksonville has an injury advantage based on the Chao rating. The Jets offense has the lowest rating at 78. The Jaguar’s defense is the healthy unit with a 91.5 rating.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Jets at Jaguars 1PM ET—NY fell to 3-10 following their 32-26 road defeat to Miami. The Jets gained 402 yards with 83 rushing for 4 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 375 yards to the Dolphins with 44 rushing for 2.3 yards per run. Aaron Rodgers completed 27 of 39 for 338 yards with a touchdown. Jacksonville improved to 3-10 after their 10-6 road win at Tennessee. The Jaguars posted 291 yards with 71 rushing for 2.7 yards per run. Defensively they held the Titans to 272 yards with 126 rushing for 4.5 yards per run. Mac Jones hit 23 of 31 for 220 yards and two picks.
The Pick with the Explanation
NY has lost six of seven on the road. The Jets defense in their past three games is allowing 29 points per game with 249 yards passing per game. The Jaguars in this period are surrendering 27 points per game with 69% completion rate for 8.2 yards per pass attempt and 271 yards. Play NY and Jacksonville over 40.5.
Washington Commanders vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Pick Prediction 12/15/2024
Commanders at Saints Injuries
Washington starters on offense are healthy. On defense a tackle is questionable. New Orleans quarterback Derek Carr is doubtful. Jake Haener is expected to start. Their defensive starters are healthy. Washington has a slight injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. The Saints offense has the lowest rating at 76.5.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Commanders at Saints 1PM ET—Washington improved to 8-5 after their 42-19 home win to Tennessee. The Commanders gained 463 yards with 267 rushing for 5.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 245 yards to the Titans with 35 passing on 11 attempts. Jayden Daniels completed 25 of 30 for 206 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. New Orleans is 5-8 after their 14-11 home victory to NY Giants. The Saints put up 292 yards with 92 rushing for 2.8 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 325 yards to the Giants with 112 rushing for 4.9 yards per run. Derek Carr hit 20 of 31 for 219 yards with a touchdown and pick.
The Pick with the Explanation
Rookie Haener has seen limited work in six games and is completing 48% with 6.1 yards per pass attempt. The Saints defense is the healthiest unit with a rating of 89.6. In their past three games they allowed 15 points per game with only 54% completions for 6.3 yards per pass attempt. The Commanders defense on the road allows 27 points with 5.2 yards per run and 75% completions for 8.1 yards per pass attempt. Play New Orleans +7.5.
Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans NFL Pick Prediction 12/15/2024
Dolphins at Texans Injuries
Miami left tackle is doubtful with the right tackle questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. Houston left guard is out with a linebacker on defense suspended. Houston has a clear injury advantage based on the Chao rating. This is on each side of the football. The Texans offense is the healthiest with a rating of 90.9 and the Dolphins defense has the lowest rating at 82.1 based on their players on the IR.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Dolphins at Texans 1PM ET—Miami improved to 6-7 following their 32-26 home win to NY Jets. The Dolphins gained 375 yards with 44 rushing for 2.3 yards per run. On defense they allowed 402 yards to the Jets with 319 passing on 39 attempts. Tua completed 33 of 47 for 331 yards with two touchdowns. Houston is 8-5 after their 23-20 road win at Jacksonville. The Texans produced 316 yards with 108 rushing for 4.3 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 473 yards to the Jaguars with 276 passing on 42 attempts. C.J. Stroud hit 22 of 34 for 242 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Dolphins on the road are putting up only 15.8 points per game. In their past three games the Dolphins are surrendering 7.4 yards per pass attempt and rushing for only 2.6 yards a carry. Houston in this period is putting up 28 points per game with 4.3 yards per run and 6.8 yards per pass attempt. They are holding teams in this period to 3.9 yards pe run and 61% completions. The Dolphins are 1-5 to the spread on the road facing teams with a .600-to-.750-win percentage. Play Houston -2.5.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Pick Prediction 12/15/2024
Steelers at Eagles Injuries
Steelers receiver Pickens is out on offense with an end and safety out on defense. Philadelphia has healthy starters on offense and defense. The Eagles have an injury advantage based on the Chao rating.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Steelers at Eagles 4:25PM ET—Pittsburgh improved to 10-3 following their 27-14 home win to Cleveland. The Steelers gained 267 yards with 120 rushing for 3.4 yards per run. On defense they allowed 300 yards to the Browns with 196 passing on 41 attempts. Russell Wilson went 15 of 26 for 158 yards and two touchdowns. Philadelphia sits at 11-2 with their 22-16 home win to Carolina. The Eagles put up 202 points with 209 rushing for 6.7 yards per carry. Defensively they allowed 302 yards to the Panthers with 118 rushing for 3.5 yards per run.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Steelers have won and covered five of seven on the road. The Eagles have failed to cover four of five at home. The Steelers offense in their past three games are putting up 30 points with 70% completions for 8.7 yards per pass attempt. The Eagles in their past three games are throwing for 121 yards per game with 5.8 yards per pass attempt. Pittsburgh has a +17-turnover margin. Pittsburgh is 6-1 to the spread against the NFC. Play Pittsburgh +5.5.
Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions NFL Pick Prediction 12/15/2024
Bills at Lions Injuries
Buffalo tight end Kincaid is questionable. On defense a corner is out with both safeties are questionable. Detroit has healthy starters on offense. On defense a linebacker is out with many players on the IR. Buffalo has an injury advantaged based on Dr Chao rating. The Lions defense has the lowest rating at 73.7. Bills offense has the highest rating at 93.1.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Bills at Lions 4:25PM ET—Buffalo drops to 10-3 following their 44-42 road defeat at LA Rams. The Bills gained 445 yards with 103 rushing for 6.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 457 yards to the Rams with 320 passing on 30 attempts. Josh Allen completed 22 of 37 for 342 yards with three touchdowns. Detroit is 12-1 after their 34-31 home win to Green Bay. The Lions put up 391 yards with 111 rushing for 3.3 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 298 yards to the Packers with 199 passing on 20 attempts. Jared Goff went 32 of 41 for 283 yards with three touchdowns and a pick.
The Pick with the Explanation
Back-to-back road games for Buffalo after facing the Rams last week. The Lions offense at home is putting up 35 points per game with 4.9 yards per run and 73% completions for 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Buffalo in this period is putting up 36 points per game with 5 yards per run and 8 yards per pass attempt. Defensively in this period they are allowing 70% completions for 7.2 yards per pass attempt. Detroit’s injuries defensively is a concern against this high powered offense. The Lions offense has been outstanding at home. Detroit is 7-3 to the over at home facing teams that allow 5.65 yards per play or higher. Play Buffalo and Detroit over 54.5.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos NFL Pick Prediction 12/15/2024
Colts at Broncos Injuries
Receiver Downs and tight end Cox are questionable for Indianapolis. Their defensive starters are healthy. Denver starters on offense are healthy with a corner on defense out. Denver has an injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. The Colts offense has the lowest health rating at 83.8.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Colts at Broncos—Indianapolis improved to 6-7 following their 25-24 road win at New England. The Colts gained 253 yards with 144 rushing for 4.2 yards per run. On defense they allowed 422 yards to the Patriots with 200 rushing for 6.5 yards per run. Anthony Richardson completed 12 of 24 for 109 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Denver sits at 8-5 with their 41-32 home victory to Cleveland. The Broncos put up 400 yards with 106 rushing for 4.1 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 552 yards to the Browns with 475 passing on 58 attempts. Bo Nix hit 18 of 35 for 294 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Colts offensive form poor in their past three games by averaging 3.7 yards per run and 52% completion rate. Defensively in this period they are allowing 5.1 yards per rush with 76% completions. The Broncos offense in this span of three games putting up 36 points per game with 7.7 yards per pass attempt. They are limiting foes to 3.3 yards per run with 60% completions in this period. Denver is 3-0 to the spread at home this season facing teams that allow 5.65 yards per play or greater. Play Denver -4.
New England Patriots vs. Arizona Cardinals NFL Pick Prediction 12/15/2024
Patriots at Cardinals Injuries
New England left and right tackle are questionable. On defense and end, safety and corner are questionable. Arizona starters on offense are healthy. On defense both tackles are questionable. The Cardinals have a slight injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. The Cardinals offensive health rating of 93.7 is the highest unit.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Patriots at Cardinals 4:25PM ET—New England fell to 3-10 following their 25-24 home defeat to Indianapolis. The Patriots gained 422 yards with 200 rushing for 6.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 253 yards to the Colts with 109 passing on 24 attempts. Drake Maye hit 24 of 30 for 238 yards with a touchdown and interception. Arizona drops to 6-7 with their 30-18 home defeat to Seattle. The Cardinals put up 356 yards with 121 rushing for 5.3 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 409 yards to the Seahawks with 176 rushing for 5.7 yards per run. Kyler Murray hit 25 of 38 for 259 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
Arizona offense in their past three games is averaging 15.3 points per game with 6.1 yards per pass attempt. Their defense in this period is surrendering 73% completion rate for 7.2 yards per pass attempt. New England over this period is rushing for 5 yards a carry with 70% completions. Arizona is 1-3 to the spread at home facing teams that average 4.5 yards per run or greater. Play New England +6.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. LA Chargers NFL Pick Prediction 12/15/2024
Buccaneers at Chargers Injuries
Tampa Bay receiver Shepard is questionable. On defense a linebacker and both safeties are out with a linebacker questionable. LA tight end Dissly is out with receiver McConkey questionable. On defense a linebacker is questionable. LA has an injury advantage on Dr. Chao ratings. The Buccaneers defense has the lowest health rating of 76.1.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Buccaneers at Chargers 4:25PM ET—Tampa Bay improved to 7-6 following their 28-13 home victory to Las Vegas Raiders. The Buccaneers gained 420 yards with 152 rushing for 5.8 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 284 yards to the Raiders for 91 rushing for 3.6 yards a carry. Baker Mayfield hit 18 of 29 for 295 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. LA fell to 7-5 after their 19-17 road defeat at KC Chiefs. The Chargers gained 288 yards with 94 rushing for 3.9 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 298 yards to the Chiefs with 202 passing on 37 attempts. Justin Herbert went 21 of 30 for 213 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Chargers have covered four of five at home. In their past three games they allowed 4.3 yards per run with 6.3 yards per pass attempt. The Bucs enter in great form on offense and defense. The Chargers defense has been outstanding this season. The Tampa Bay injuries on defense the difference here. Play LA -2.5.
Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Pick Prediction 12/15/2024
Packers at Seahawks Injuries
Green Bay starters on offense are healthy. On defense a corner and nickel back are out. Seattle running back Walker is doubtful and on defense a corner is out. No injury advantage here based on the Chao rating.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Packers at Seahawks 8:20PM ET—Green Bay drops to 9-4 following their 34-31 road defeat to Detroit Lions. The Packers gained 298 yards with 99 rushing for 4.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 391 yards to the Lions with 280 passing on 41 attempts. Jorden Love completed 12 of 20 for 206 yards with a touchdown. Seattle is 8-5 with their 30-18 road win at Arizona. The Seahawks put up 409 yards with 176 rushing for 5.7 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 356 yards to the Cardinals with 121 rushing for 5.3 yards per run. Geno Smith hit 24 of 30 for 233 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Green Bay offense in their past three games is putting up 33 points per game with 8.9 yards per pass attempt. Defensively good at stopping the run in this period but allowing 74% completions for 7 yards per pass attempt. Seattle defense has been outstanding in their past three games allowing 15 points per game with 86 rushing yards and 5.7 yards per pass attempt. Their passing game over this span completing 72% with 6.8 yards per pass attempt. Green Bay is 2-7 to the spread as a road favorite. The Seahawks are 3-0 to the spread at home following back-to-back road games. Four straight wins and covers for the Seahawks. Play Seattle +2.5.