Baltimore Ravens vs New York Giants Prediction

On Sunday 12/15 the Baltimore Ravens will take on the N.Y. Giants at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The forecast for Sunday is a temp of 44.5 °F with 9.4 mph wind and 23 % chance of rain. This game features a match-up of the AFC North vs NFC East. The 8-5 Ravens are ranked #2 in the AFC North and the 2-11 Giants are ranked #4 in the NFC East. Last week the Ravens had a Bye which will give them some advantages when it comes to being well-rested and having additional time to game plan for the Giants. Last week the Giants lost against the Saints 11 to 14 while allowing the Saints to gain 292 yards of total offense. The Ravens come into this game having played the #9 toughest strength of schedule in the NFL compared to the Giants who have had the #21 easiest SOS in 2024.

Can the Ravens Win Today?

The Ravens will go with Lamar Jackson who has a record of 8-5 as starting quarterback this season. Lamar Jackson is ranked #7 for QB’s this week and he has completed 254 passes on 379 attempts and has averaged 253.1 yards per game. Lamar has a completion percentage of 67% with 29 TD’s and 3 INT’s. His QBR is 24.7% above the league average and he has 2 fourth quarter comebacks. The Ravens running back Derrick Henry is the #13 ranked RB this week and he is averaging 108.2 yards per game and 5.9 yards per rush attempt while scoring 13 TD’s and having 3 fumbles. He has an advanced rushing success rate of 57.1% which is 13.7% more than the league average for this statistic. Wide receiver #1 for the Ravens is Zay Flowers who is ranked #23 for WR\TE’s this week. He averages 4.6 receptions per game with a 14.4 yards per catch average to go along with 4 TD’s. When it comes to the advanced receiving stats, he has a catch success rate of 63.8% which is 2.4% above league average and a receiving success rate of 52.1% which is 1.7% more than the league average for wide receivers in this statistical category. The Ravens can get the win today if they continue to excel on offense. The Ravens offense has scored 383 points this season which is 29.1% more than the NFL average and have 9 turnovers which is an average of 0.7 turnovers per game. The Giants offense is 34.6% less than the NFL average and they have 18 turnovers so it might be a long day for the Giants.

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Derrick Henry has recorded 157+ rushing yards in each of his last 2 previous appearances at MetLife Stadium
Lamar Jackson has recorded 237+ passing yards in 7 of the ravens last 9 games
Mark Andrews has recorded 40+ receiving yards in 8 of his last 9 appearances vs the NFC
Lamar Jackson has recorded 40+ rushing yards in each of the ravens last 7 games against the NFC
Derrick Henry has scored at least 1 touchdown in each of his last 12 appearances when his team is a road favorite

Can the Giants Win Today?

The Giants will go with Tommy DeVito who has a record of 0-1 as starting quarterback this season. Tommy DeVito is the ranked #49 on the QB Rankings for this week and he has completed 21 passes on 31 attempts and has averaged 94.5 yards per game with a completion percentage of 67.7% with 0 TD’s and 0 INT’s. His QBR is 73% below league average. I repeat 73% below league average. I realize its a small sample size…but still!!! The Giants running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. is the #8 ranked RB this week and he is averaging 51.1 yards per game and 4.7 yards per rush attempt to go along with 5 TD’s and 4 fumbles. The Giants wide receiver #1 is Malik Nabers who is ranked #8 for all WR\TE’s this week in the NFL. He averages 7.3 catches per game and 10.2 yards per reception to go with 3 TD’s and 1 fumble on the season. The advanced receiving stats show he has a catch success rate of 63.5% which is 1.9% above league average combined with a receiving success rate of 51.6% which is 0.7% more than the wide receiver league averages. At wide receiver 2 the Giants have Darius Slayton. He is ranked at #93 on the WR\TE’s ranks this week and averages 3 receptions per game and 14 yards per reception with season totals for TD’s of 1 with 1 fumble. Maybe the Giants can win…maybe?! If they want to have any chance they must play sound defense. The N.Y. Giants defense has allowed 293 points so far this year which is 1.2% less than the league average for points allowed while creating 10 turnovers for an average of 0.8 turnovers per game which is 33.3% less than the rest of the league. Overall defensive stat comparison shows that the Giants have the advantage in 12 of 25 defensive categories compared to the Ravens defense. So, there is that.

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Grahm Gano has recorded 6 or more kicking points in each of his last 3 appearances vs the Ravens
Malik Nabers has recorded 64+ receiving yards in each of the Giants last 3 games
Tommy DeVito has not thrown an interception in his last 6 appearances.
Tyrone Tracy has scored a touchdown in three of the Giants last 4 games
Darius Slayton has recorded 23+ receiving yards in his last 5 Week 15 games

Ravens (-16) vs. Giants – O/U 42.5 – Free Prediction for 12/15/24

The Ravens are 10-3-0 on Over\Under in 2024 overall and the over has come in 76.9% of their games with a +/- of 5.7 points. The Giants are of course an under team, but the best bet pick for this match-up is on the total and is the Over 42.5 points. My score projection for the total of this game is 45.03. We all know the importance of Red Zone efficiency and the Ravens have scored 39 red zone TD’s on 52 red zone opportunities which is 60.8% higher and 21.5% higher than league averages respectively. Lots of turnovers and big efficiencies equals big totals!

Mindy’s Pick: OVER 42.5

Mindy has been in the business of picking winners for over 30 years. Her analytical mind has given her the insight to find the edges over Vegas in all the major sports. This is her 4th year at Tony’s Picks and loves to give out her Data Driven Picks. If you love Mindy’s free picks make sure you check out the link to her profile page here, to get her very best picks every day. Mindy has been crushing the books this NFL season and is 26-3 on her moneyline predictions this year!!! Let’s get some wins!