| Game Time | 4:30 pm EST |
| Atlanta Hawks Line | +4 |
| Milwaukee Bucks Line | -4 |
| Total | 227.5 |
| TV: | NBA TV |
In this Eastern Conference NBA Cup Final in Las Vegas, the Milwaukee Bucks are facing the Atlanta Hawks. The Bucks eliminated the Magic in the quarterfinals of the Cup and have now back-to-back wins, following a two-game losing streak, and they have been playing on an elite level lately, following a very slow start to the season. The Hawks eliminated the New York Knicks in Madison Square Garden in the Cup quarterfinals, and have been surprisingly hot lately, as they have lost just once in their last eight games. The winner of this matchup will face the winner of the Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder for the NBA Cup Final on Tuesday.
Below is a detailed analysis for Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks game.
Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction
Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report:G. Antetokounmpo, K. Middleton, M. Beauchamp, C. Livingston are day-to-day
Atlanta Hawks Injury Report: T. Young, B. Bogdanovi?, D. Hunter, J. Johnson are day-to-day, Cody Zeller is out
Milwaukee Bucks Form and Trends
The Bucks have a 13-11 record this season and are sitting on the 6th place of the West. Milwaukee is 9-14-1 against the spread and 11-13 in over/under. The Bucks have a 4-7 road record, but are 5-6 against the spread, with a -3.1-point differential. The Bucks are 9-2 in their last 11 games but just 1-3 against the spread in their last 4. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 games.
The Bucks are coming off a 114-109 win over Orlando, as they shot with 55% from the field and led once again by the duo of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard with 37 and 28 points respectively.
Giannis leads the Bucks both in scoring with league-best 32.7 points and in rebounding with 11.4 per game, adding 6 assists per game. Damian Lillard adds 25.8 points, 4.4 rebounds and a team-high 7.6 assists.
Atlanta Hawks Recent Form and Trends
The Atlanta Hawks have a 14-12 record this season and are sitting on the 7th place of the East. The Hawks are 11-15 against the spread and 17-9 in over/under. Atlanta has a 7-6 road record, and are 7-6 against the spread, with a -1.9-point differential. The Hawks are 7-1 in their last 8 games, and 5-3 against the spread.
The Hawks are coming off a 108-100 win in New York, even though they shot with just 41% from the field. They had three players with 21+ points, led by De’Andre Hunter with 24 off the bench.
Trae Young leads the Hawks both in scoring with 21 points, and in assists made with 12.2 per game, which is the best in the league. Jalen Johnson adds 19.8 points, 5.6 assists and a team-high 10.1 rebounds.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Bucks average 113.4 points per game, which is 14th in the league. Milwaukee shoots with 48.5% from the field (8th) and 39.3% from beyond the arc, which is the third-best in the NBA. Defensively, they allow 112.3 points per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA.
Offensively, the Hawks average 116.7 points per game, which ranks 8th in the NBA. They shoot with 46.1% from the field (18th), and with 33.9% from beyond the arc (24th). Defensively, they are the third-worst team in the NBA, allowing 119.1 points per game.
In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Hawks won 119-104 on the road. Both teams are 5-5 in their last 10 meetings, and also a balanced 5-5 against the spread. The over/under in this matchup is also balanced, with 5-5 in their last 10 meetings.
Prediction
In this Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, the Bucks are coming as -4 favorites. Both teams are coming in this game hot, and while the Bucks are rightfully favored, you cannot count the Hawks out in this matchup, not after eliminating the Knicks in New York. The Hawks have already won the Bucks once this season in a game with 223 total points, which went 13.5 points under the total. The Hawks have been more consistent defensively lately, as they have held their opponents into 112 points or less in five of their last seven games. In a game with such high stakes, I don’t expect fireworks offensively, so take the under 229.5 points.
Nick’s Pick: Under 227.5