Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Texas Prediction 12/15/2024: College Basketball Picks

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Texas Game Information

When: Sunday, December 15, 2024 at 3:00 EST/12:00 PST
Where Moody Center, Austin, Texas
Arkansas Pine Bluff vs Texas Line: Texas -41.5
Total: 156.5
TV: ESPN+, SECN+

Arkansas Pine Bluff vs Texas Preview

Texas (8-2, 5-1 at Home) welcomes Arkansas-Pine Bluff (2-9, 0-9 on Road) to Austin on Sunday afternoon for the SEC-Southwestern Athletic Conference conference mismatch. The Golden Lions come in as losers of 9 straight on the Road and have been outscored by an average of 21.1 ppg. In its last 5 games Arkansas-Pine Bluff has gone 1-4, getting annihilated at Missouri by 49 (112-63), losing at Pacific by 12 (83-71), getting pureed at Kansas State by 47 (120-73), beating Central Arkansas (84-78), and then losing to Louisiana Monroe by 16 in its last game (89-73). The Longhorns are 4-1 in their last 5 outings, beating St. Joseph’s by 9 (67-58) Delaware State by 22 (90-68), NC State by 4 (63-59), losing to two-time defending national champions Connecticut in Austin by 11 (76-65), and beating New Mexico State by 24 (91-67) in their last game. In the NCAA Basketball Futures market, Texas is currently priced at 75/1 (DraftKings).

UAPB Destined for 10th Straight Road Loss Sunday

Arkansas-Pine Bluff (4-6-0 ATS, 7-3-0 O/U) has been a good Over team but a bad team on the Road to say the least. The Golden Lions have just two scorers averaging double-digits in G Dante Sawyer (12.1 ppg, 3.1 rpg) and G Christian Moore (11.0 ppg) with six guys averaging between 5.8 ppg to 9.3 ppg in F Kiemen Vuga (9.3 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 4.4 apg), G Raphael Dumont (8.4 ppg, 2.7 rpg), G Quentin Bolton (7.5 ppg, 2,2 rpg), F Robert Lewis (7.2 ppg, 6.3 rpg), G Caleb Jones (6.7 ppg), and F Kyle Brown (5.8 ppg). Arkansas-Pine Bluff averages 72.2 ppg (#268) and allows a gaudy 93.3 ppg (-21.1 PD), 13.4 apg (Tied-#250) and only 31.4 rpg (#388).

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Betting Trends

  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 2-8 SU in its last 18 games (Won vs CARK, TULSA)
  • The Over is 3-0-0 in the last 3 Golden Lions games
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff has been Underdogs in its last 9 lined games
  • The Over is 6-3-0 in the Golden Lions last 9 games overall
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 0-4 vs Power 4 conference opponents this season
  • It has lost those 4 games by 55, 34, 48, and 47 points

Texas Looking to Get Back in the Top 25 Rankings

Texas (5-5-0 ATS, 4-5-1 O/U) has outscored opponents by 16.8 ppg and was in the Top 25 before UConn came to town and hooked the Longhorns horns. Texas is led in scoring this season by G Tre Johnson (19.9 ppg, 2.6 rpg), F Arthur Kaluma (14.7 ppg, 8.0 rpg), F Kadin Shedrick (9.6 ppg, 5.4 rpg), G Tramon Mark (9.2 ppg, 4.2 rpg), G Jordan Pope (8.1 ppg), G Chendall Weaver (6.8 ppg, 5.9 rpg), G Julian Larry (6.2 ppg), and F Jayson Kent (6.5 ppg) and all should pad these stats against the Golden Lions. The Longhorns average 80.2 ppg (Tied-#97) while allowing 63.4 ppg and average 35.9 Rebounds Per Game (Tied-#233) and 14.2 Assists Per Game (#188).

Texas Betting Trends

  • Texas is 8-2 SU in the last 10 games
  • The Under is 3-2-1 in the last 6 Texas games
  • Texas is 24-11 in the last 34 on the First Half Moneyline (+10.60 Units, 1% ROI)
  • The Over is 2-0-1 in the Longhorns last 3 games at Home
  • The Over is 20-15 in the Longhorns last 35 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Texas Prediction

Looking at the last 2 meetings in this series, it is nothing but carnage, but because the Point Spreads in mismatches like this can be so high, the Golden Lions actually covered ATS in the meeting on December 14, 2021, getting 35 points and only losing by 32 (63-31) here in Austin (Under, 134.5). In the last meeting between these two, the Longhorns won by 55 on December 10, 2022 (88-43) in a game that went under the 140 Total by 13 points. So there have been 2 Unders and 94 and 131 points scored in the two previous meetings, But even with the number here at 156.6, this NCAAB pick will look to the Total and the Over as there have been 154, 156, 152, 185, 154, 193, 162, and 162 points scored in the Golden Lions (3-0-0 Over last 3) last 9 games and with the way they score the Longhorns are sure to get 100 here so let’s look for another high-scoring game even if it is lopsided. A 105-51 game even gets to that end.

Kevin’s Pick: Arkansas-Pine Bluff-Texas Over 156.5