Xavier vs Cincinnati Game Information

Xavier vs Cincinnati Preview

No. 22 Cincinnati (7-1, 5-0 at Home) meets crosstown rivals Xavier (8-2, 0-1 on Road) on Saturday in a Big East-Big 12 conference clash in the Queen City. The Bearcats are 4-1 in their last 5 games, beating Howard (84-67), losing to Villanova (68-60), beating Alabama State (77-59), Georgia Tech (81-58), and Northern Kentucky (76-60). The Musketeers (+275 Moneyline) are 3-2 in their last 5, trouncing Morgan State (119-58), losing to TCU (76-72), beating South Carolina State (71-68), losing to Michigan (78-54), and defeating South Carolina (75-66). Xavier is 110/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Tournament (DraftKings) with Cincinnati currently priced at 45/1.

Xavier Looking to Upset Rivals Cincy on Saturday

Xavier (4-6-0 ATS, 2-7-1 O/U) has been a very strong Under team and the Musketeers have gotten the best of Cincinnati in this rivalry lately, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings. The Musketeers are led by F Zach Freemantle (16.8 ppg, 7.8 rpg), G Ryan Conwell (16.4 ppg), G Dayvlon McKnight (11.1 ppg, 4.3 apg), G Dailyn Swain (8.5 ppg, 5.1 rpg), G Marcus Foster (7.8 ppg, 4.5 rpg), F Jerome Hunter (5.7 rpg, 3.2 rpg), and G Dante Maddox Jr. (5.3 ppg). Xavier failed to make the 2024 NCAA Tournament and were eliminated in the First Round of the 2024 NIT by Georgia (78-76). The Musketeers are averaging 81/1 ppg (#87) and allowing 66.7 ppg with 18.9 Assists Per Game (Tied-#14) and 37.2 Rebounds Per Game (#163).

Xavier Betting Trends

• Xavier is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games overall
• Musketeers last 4 losses came to Power 4 sides (TCU, MICH, GA, UCONN) 
• The Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 Xavier games
• The Musketeers first Road game was on December 5 at TCU (Lost)
• The Under is 7-2-1 in Xavier’s last 10 games overall
• The Over is 7-3-0 in the last 10 games in this rivalry

No. 22 Cincinnati on 6-1 Streak to the Under

Cincinnati (4-4-0 ATS, 2-6-0 O/U) is also a strong Under team so far and the Bearcats had played 6 straight Unders before seeing an Over against Howard. Cincinnati has three players in double-digit scoring in G Simas Lukosius (16.3 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 3.6 apg), G Jizzie James (13.6 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 5.1 apg) and F Dillon Mitchell (11.9 ppg, 7.1 rpg) and some nice support in guys like G Dan Skillings Jr. (9.5 ppg, 7.0 rpg, 3.5 apg) F Aziz Bandaogo (9.1 ppg, 5.4 rpg), F Arrinten Page (7.3 ppg, 3.6 rpg), and G Day Day Thomas (6.8 ppg). When you have guys named Jizzie and Day Day, you know you’re dangerous. The Bearcats (-350 Moneyline) are averaging 82.0 ppg (Tied-#63) while allowing just 58.9 ppg (+23 Point Differential), 17.9 Assists Per Game (#26) and 38.6 Rebounds Per Game (Tied-#92). This lockdown D by Cincinnati is one reason why this team plays in so many Under games.

Cincinnati Betting Trends

• Cincinnati is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games overall
• The Under is 6-1-0 in the Bearcats last 7 games
• The Under is 3-0-0 in Cincy’s last 3 Road games 
• Cincinnati has given 36.5, 28.5, 27.5, 28.5, and 28 points in its last 5 Home games
• The Bearcats fave been Favorites in 9 of their last 10 games

Xavier vs Cincinnati Prediction

The Musketeers have dominated this series. Going 8-2 SU the last 10, 7-3 ATS and winning the last 5 meetings by 5,3, 20, 3, and 7 points. The Musketeers have gone 3-2 as the Road team. The Over has won 5 straight times in this matchup and is 7-3-0 in the last 10 with the Over 3-2 at Cincinnati and cashing in the last 2 times. This is a tricky handicap between two evenly matched teams and this Xavier vs Cincinnati NCAAB pick will look to the Totals market and buck the series Trend in favor of the more recent new season Trends between the two sides playing so many Unders so far (a combined 13-4-1, 76.5%).

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Kevin’s Pick: Xavier-Cincinnati Under 143.5