| Game Time | 7:30 pm EST |
| Toronto Raptors Line | +10 |
| Miami Heat Line | -10 |
| Total | 224.5 |
| TV: | NBA TV |
Two Eastern Conference teams on opposite trajectories are clashing in this matchup, when the Miami Heat, are hosting the Toronto Raptors. The Heat are currently on a three-game winning streak, and are playing their four straight home game, where they are playing their best basketball this season. On the other hand, the Raptors are on a three-game losing streak and are back on the road, where they have been terrible this season, having won only once in their 12 road games.
Below is a detailed analysis for Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat game.
Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction
Miami Heat Injury Report: Pelle Larson, Jimmy Butler are day-to-day, Josh Richardson is out
Toronto Raptors Injury Report: Bruce Brown, Scottie Barnes are day-to-day, Immanuel Quickley is out.
Miami Heat Form and Trends
The Heat have a 12-10 record this season and are sitting on the 5th place of the East. Miami is 11-11 against the spread and 13-9 in over/under. The Heat have a 7-4 home record, but are 6-5 against the spread, with a +6.2-point differential. The Heat are 6-1 in their last 7 home games and are 5-1 to the over in their last 6 games.
Miami is coming off a 122-113 win over Cleveland, as they saw four of their five starters scoring 16+ points, led by Tyler Herro with 34 points, 6 rebounds and a team-high 7 assists.
Herro leads Miami in scoring with an average of 24.2 points, adding 5.4 rebounds and 5 assists. Jimmy Butler adds 19 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.8 assists.
Toronto Raptors Recent Form and Trends
The Raptors have a 7-18 record this season and are sitting on the second to last place of the East. Toronto is 17-8 against the spread and 12-13 in over/under. The Raptors have a 1-11 road record but 7-5 against the spread, with a -6-point differential. The Raptors are 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games. Under is 7-3 in their last 10 games.
The Raptors are coming off a 108-113 loss by New York, as they allowed the Knicks to shoot with 51% from the field. RJ Barrett led Toronto’s offense with 30 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists.
Barrett leads the Raptors in scoring, with an average of 23.6 points, adding 6.6 rebounds and 5.8 assists. Scottie Barnes adds 20.6 points, 8.4 rebounds and a team-high 7.4 assists, but he got injured again in their last game and his status is uncertain.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Heat are averaging 112.2 points per game, which is 17th in the league. Miami shoots with 45.2% from the field (24th), and with 38.3% from beyond the arc (6th). Defensively, they allow 109.3 points per game, which ranks 7th in the NBA.
Offensively, the Raptors are averaging 112.3 points per game, which ranks 16th in the NBA. They shoot 46.4% from the field (14th) and 34.1% from beyond the arc (24th). Defensively, they rank just 25th in the league, allowing 117.2 points per game.
Both teams are tied 1-1 wins in their two meetings this season, with each team winning at home. In their previous meeting in Miami, the Heat won by 121-111. The Raptors are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 meetings against the Heat. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings.
Prediction
In this Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction, the Heat are coming as big -10 home favorites. The Heat are just above average against the spread at home, winning by just 6.2 points, while the Raptors are one of the best covering teams in the NBA this season, and they have been losing by 6 points on the road, so the 10-point spread feels too high for this matchup. Toronto might not have Scottie Barnes available, but they are having key players returning and they are perfectly capable of keeping this game closer than 11 points. Take the Heat and lay the points at home.
Nick’s Pick: Toronto Raptors +10