Game Time | 7:30 pm EST |
Sacramento Kings Line | -6 |
New Orleans Pelicans Line | +6 |
Total | 231.5 |
TV: | NBA TV |
Two Western conference teams with negative records so far this season are clashing, when the New Orleans Pelicans are hosting the Sacramento Kings. The Pelicans have been one of the worst teams of the NBA this season and the worst team currently in the West. New Orleans has been ravaged by injuries this season, and even though they had some key players returning, they have still won just once in their last ten games. On the other hand, the Kings have been playing better lately, as they have back-to-back wins and have lost just once in their last four games.
Below is a detailed analysis for Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans game.
Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction
New Orleans Pelicans Injury Report: Javonte Green, Karlo Matkovic, Daniel Theis, Jordan Hawkins, Brandon Ingram, Zion Williamson and Jose Alvarado are out
Sacramento Kings Injury Report: Isaac Jones, Trey Lyles and Devin Carter are out
New Orleans Pelicans Form and Trends
The Pelicans have a 5-20 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the West. New Orleans is 9-16 against the spread and 12-12-1 in over/under. The Pelicans have a 4-8 home record, but 6-6 against the spread, with a -5.1-point differential. Pels are 1-11 in their last 12 games. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 games.
The Pelicans are coming off a 116-121 loss in San Antonio, as they shot with just 43% from the field, but saw all of their starters reaching double digits in scoring. Trey Murphy III led New Orleans’ offense with 25 points, adding 6 rebounds and 5 assists.
Zion Williamson leads the Pels in scoring with 22.7 points, adding 8 rebounds and 5.3 assists. Brandon Ingram adds 22.2 points, 5.6 rebounds and 5.2 assists but both are out with injuries.
Sacramento Kings Recent Form and Trends
The Kings have a 12-13 record this season and are sitting on the 12th place of the West. The Kings are 10-14-1 against the spread and 14-11 in over/under. Sacramento has a 6-6 road record, and are 6-6 against the spread, with a +1.3-point differential. The Kings are 3-1 in their last 4 games, and 6-2 to the over in their last 8.
The Kings are coming off a 141-97 blowout win against Utah, as they shot with 57% from the field and 50% from downtown, while holding the Jazz into just 39% from the field. Kevin Huerter led Sacramento’s offense with 26 points with 6 triples, 5 rebounds and 4 assists off the bench.
De’Aaron Fox leads the Kings in scoring with an average of 26.4 points, adding 5 rebounds and 6 assists per game. DeMaz DeRozan adds 22.5 points, 4 rebounds and 4.1 assists.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Pels are dead last in the league, averaging 105 points per game. They shoot 43.8% from the field (28th) and 32.7% from beyond the arc (27th). Defensively, the Pels allow 116.7 points per game, which is just 23rd in the league.
Offensively, the Kings average 116.4 points per game, which ranks 9th in the NBA. They shoot 48.6% from the field, which ranks 7th in the league, and 34.6% from beyond the arc (21st). Defensively, the Kings allow 113.2 points per game, ranking 17th in the league.
The Pelicans are 6-0 in their last 6 meetings against the Kings, and are 6-0 against the spread. The Pelicans are 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 meetings in New Orleans. Under is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.
Prediction
In this Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, the Kings are coming as -6 road favorites. The Kings could only be such a big road favorite against a weak team such as the Pelicans. Sacramento is average on the road, and while they might be able to win, I cannot think they can cover. On the other hand, I also cannot make a case for the Pelicans as home dogs, as they have been absolutely terrible this season. Both teams have been involved in some higher scoring games lately, as they are 10-2 to the over in their last 12 games combined. The Kings are coming off back-to-back games where they scored 140+ points, and I don’t expect them to cool off against a struggling Pelicans defense. Expect a lot of points and take the over 231.5.
Nick’s Pick: Over 231.5