New Mexico State vs Texas Game Information
| When: | Thursday, December 12, 2024 at 8:00 EST |
| Where: | Moody Center, Austin, Texas |
| New Mexico State vs Texas Line: | Texas -19.5 |
| Total: | 137.5 |
| TV: | ESPN+, SECN+ |
New Mexico State vs Texas Preview
No. 19 Texas (7-2, 4-1 at Home) welcomes New Mexico State (4-5, 2-2 on Road) to Austin on Thursday night for an SEC-Conference USA clash. The Aggies are 1-4 in their last 5 games, beating rivals New Mexico by 6 in OT in their last game (89-83), but losing to Abilene Christian by 8 (78-70), to Bowling Green by 1 (61-60), to Pepperdine by 12 (82-70), and to UNLV by 7 (72-65). The Longhorns are 4-1 in their last 5 overall, losing to two-time defending national champions Connecticut by 11 (76-65), but defeating NC State by 4 (63-59), Delaware State by 22 (90-68), St, Joseph’s by 9 (67-58), and Syracuse by 9 (67-58). The latest Ken Pomeroy ratings have Texas ranked at No. 40 with New Mexico State at No. 193.
New Mexico State Seeks First Win, Cover vs Texas
New Mexico State (3-5-0 ATS, 4-4-0 O/U) only has five players who provide any relevant scoring in F Robert Carpenter (13.9 ppg, 7.5 rpg), G Christian Cook (13.8 ppg), G Zawdie Jackson (10.6 ppg, 4.3 apg), F Peter Filipovity (10.0 ppg, 7.1 rpg), and G Dionte Bostick (8.9 ppg, 3.4 rpg), so this team lacks the needed scoring and rebounding depth many other bigger schools in the nation enjoy. But this is a hard recruiting sell in Las Cruces with three players from last year’s squad being charged with felony sex crimes. The Aggies come in averaging 42.3 Rebounds Per Game (#14) but rank No. 209 in Points Per Game (74.8) while allowing 73.9 ppg. New Mexico State only averages 11.6 Assists Per Game (#353), so if you can hold the starters down, the Aggies Bench (28.3 ppg) can only help so much.
New Mexico State Betting Trends
- New Mexico State is 3-6-0 ATS in its last 9 overall
- The Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 (NM only ATS cover)
- New Mexico State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games overall
- The Over is 2-0 in the Aggies last 2 games
- NMS has alternated ATS Wins/Losses its last 6 games (WLWLWL)
Texas Seeks Rebound After Loss to NCAA Champs
No. 19 Texas (4-5-0 ATS, 3-5-1 O/U) is led in scoring this season by star G Tre Johnson (21.1 ppg, 2.7 rpg), F Arthur Kaluma (14.3 ppg, 8.1 rpg), F Kadin Shedrick (9.7 ppg, 5.4 rpg), G Tramon Mark (8.2 ppg, 3.6 rpg), G Jordan Pope (7.9 ppg), G Chendall Weaver (6.8 ppg, 5.9 rpg), G Julian Larry (6.7 ppg), and F Jayson Kent (6.5 ppg) and the Longhorns average 79.0 ppg (Tied-#108) while allowing 63.0 ppg and average 35.9 Rebounds Per Game and 13.7 Assists Per Game (Tied-#220). Popular online sportsbook DraftKings has Texas priced at 75/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Championship and Johnson and the Longhorns will look to make another NCAA Tournament appearance.
Texas Betting Trends
- Texas is 7-3 SU in the last 10 games
- The Under is 6-3-1 in the last 10 Texas games
- Texas is 22-11 in the last 33 on the First Half Moneyline (+9.60 Units, 1% ROI)
- The Longhorns were 14-20-0 ATS last 2023-24 NCAAB season (41.2%)
- Texas lost its opener (OHIO ST), won 7 straight, then lost its last game (UCONN)
New Mexico State vs Texas Prediction
The last two times these two teams met, Texas has won SU and covered ATS but these meetings were a long, long time ago back in 2007 when Rihanna and Jay-Z had a hit with “Umbrella” and long before any of us had heard of COVID-19. On March 16, 2007, the Longhorns won by 12 (79-67), but were only laying 8 points at Home in a game that went Under the closing 155 Total by 9 points. And eight months later in the same arena, Texas beat New Mexico State by 15 (102-87), and again covered ATS as an 8.5-Point Home Favorite in a game that soared over the closing Total of 143 by 46 points. This New Mexico State vs Texas NCAAB pick will expect the Longhorns to rebound after the Connecticut loss and win by around 20 or more with their superior depth. If Dayton can beat the Aggies by 21, then Texas should be able to do the same at the Moody Center.