Cincinnati Bengals vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction
On Monday 12/09 the Cincinnati Bengals will take on the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. This game features a match-up of the AFC North vs NFC East. The AFC North is the #5 ranked conference in the NFL with a 48.7% winning percentage while the NFC East, a winning percentage of 50.8%. The 4-8 Bengals are ranked #3 in the AFC North and the 5-7 Cowboys are ranked #3 in the NFC East. Last week the Bengals lost against to the Steelers 38 to 44 in which they allowed the Steelers to gain a total of 520 yards of offense. The Bengals were outscored by 6 while being out gained by the Steelers by 145 yards even while having 2 more turnovers. The Cowboys came out with the victory against the Giants 27 to 20 while allowing the Giants to gain 247 yards of total offense. The Cowboys won by 7 out gaining the Giants by only 70 yards with 2 fewer turnovers than the Giants. The Bengals come into this game having played the #22 easiest strength of schedule in the NFL compared to the Cowboys who have had the #6 toughest SOS in 2024.
Can the Bengals Win Today?
The Bengals will go with Joe Burrow who has a record of 4-8 as starting quarterback this season. Burrow is ranked #1 for QB’s this week and he has completed 302 passes on 446 attempts and has averaged 278.1 yards per game with a completion percentage of 67.7%. Joe has 30 TD’s and only 5 INT’s. His QBR is 26.4% above the league average. The Bengals running back Chase Brown is the #6 ranked RB this week and he is averaging 56.4 yards per game and 4.5 yards per rush attempt while scoring 6 TD’s, and having 2 fumbles. He has an advanced rushing success rate of 52% which is 2.7% more than the league average for this statistic. Wide receiver 1 for the Bengals is Ja’Marr Chase who is ranked #2 for WR\TE’s this week. He averages 6.6 receptions per game with 14.5 yards per catch average to go along with 13 TD’s. When it comes to the advanced receiving stats, he has a catch success rate of 72.5% which is 6.4% above league average and a receiving success rate of 62.4% which is 37.5% more than the league average for wide receivers in this statistical category. The Bengals offense has scored 335 points this season which is 20.7% more than the NFL average and have 13 turnovers which is an average of 1.1 turnovers per game. They are gonna give up a lot of yards but are gonna put them up just the same.
More…
• Ja’Marr Chase has recorded 118+ receiving yards in the Bengals last 3 Monday Night Games
• Joe Burrow has recorded 309+ passing yards in the Bengals last 3 games
• Tee Higgins has recorded 60+ receiving yards in each of his last 6 appearances
• Chase Brown has scored a touchdown in each of the Bengals last 2 road games
• The Bengals have won each of their last 6 road games against NFC opponents
Can the Cowboys Win Today?
The Cowboys will go with Cooper Rush who has a record of 2-2 as starting quarterback this season. Cooper Rush is the 36th ranked QB for this week and he has completed 112 passes on 185 attempts and has averaged 126 yards per game with a completion percentage of 60.5% with 5 TD’s and 2 INT’s. His QBR is 41.3% below the league average. EW! The Cowboys running back Rico Dowdle is the #10 ranked RB this week and he is averaging 54.5 yards per game and 4.5 yards per rush attempt to go along with 1 TD’s and 2 fumbles. He has an advanced rushing success rate of 55.2% which is 9% more than the league average for this statistic. The Cowboys at wide receiver #1 is CeeDee Lamb who is ranked #3 for all WR\TE’s this week in the NFL. He averages 6.6 catches per game and 11.1 yards per reception to go with 4 TD’s and 1 fumble on the season. The advanced receiving stats show he has a receiving success rate of 46% which is 1.3% more than the wide receiver league averages. The defense for Cincinnati has allowed 340 points in 2024 which is 22.5% more than the NFL average for points allowed while causing 12 turnovers which is an average of 1 turnover per game which is 16.7% less than the league average. So, what this means for a struggling Cowboys team is that they have a chance.
More…
• Rico Dowdle has recorded 86+ rushing yards in each of the Cowboys last 2 games
• Osa Odighizuwa has recorded .5+ sacks in the Cowboys last 3 home games
• Brandin Cooks has scored a touchdown in 6 of his last 9 games
• CeeDee Lamb has 68+ receiving yards in his last 4 Monday Night Games
• Jalen Tolbert has 41+ receiving yards in his last 4 games following a win
Bengals (-5.5) vs. Cowboys – O/U 49.5 – Free Prediction for 12/09/24
Neither of these two teams play any defense anymore. Each of the Bengals last 5 games have gone over the total and there doesn’t seem to be any end in sight! Modeling has this game going over and the offenses are 22.7% better than the defenses in all categories. At AT&T Stadium the Average points scored is this year is 50.5 which puts us over the total with little thought process. Get your Same Game Parlays ready to go! Lots o’ points in this one.
Mindy’s Pick: OVER 49.5
Mindy has been in the business of picking winners for over 30 years. Her analytical mind has given her the insight to find the edges over Vegas in all the major sports. This is her 4th year at Tony’s Picks and loves to give out her Data Driven Picks. If you love Mindy’s free picks make sure you check out the link to her profile page here, to get her very best picks every day. Mindy has been crushing the books this NFL season and is 28-4 on her moneyline predictions this year!!! Let’s get some wins!