UCLA vs North Carolina Prediction 12/21/2024

UCLA vs Oregon 12/7/2024: College Basketball Picks

 UCLA vs Oregon Game Information

When:  Sunday, December 8, 2024 at 5:00 EST
Where: Matthew Knight Arena, Eugene, Oregon
UCLA vs Oregon Line: Oregon -3.5
Total: 141.5
TV: BTN

UCLA vs Oregon Preview

No. 12 Oregon (9-0, 1-0 in Big Ten) hosts No. 22 UCLA (7-1, 1-0 in Big Ten) in the first Big Ten Conference meeting between these two former Pac-12 Conference schools on Sunday afternoon. Both come in off wins vs former Pac-12 schools with the Ducks defeating USC by 8 (68-60) and UCLA beating Washington by 10 (68-58). Oregon has gone unbeaten to start the season and has knocked off two Top 25 teams in the process in No. 20 Texas A&M (80-70) and No. 9 Alabama (83-81) while UCLA has won 6 consecutive games after losing to New Mexico (72-64). Last season the Ducks went 2-1 against the Bruins, beating them by 5 here in Eugene (64-59) before losing to them by 8 in Lalaland (71-63). In the final Pac-12 Tournament, the Ducks ousted the Bruins by 2 (68-66).

UCLA Off to Nice 7-1 Under Start in Totals Market

UCLA (5-3-0 ATS, 1-7-0 O/U) has been a very strong Under team with the Bruins only Over so far coming in a 84-70 win against Idaho State in a game that soared 23.5 points over the closing Total (130.5). UCLA is led in scoring by F Tyler Bilodeau (14.1 ppg, 6.1 rpg), G Eric Dailey Jr. (11.5 ppg, 5.3 rpg), G Sebastian Mack (10.6 ppg), G Dylan Andrews (8.7 ppg, 3.5 apg), G Kobe Johnson (6.9 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 3.5 apg), G Trent Perry (6.1 ppg), C Aday Mara (6.0 ppg, 4.3 rpg), and G Lazar Stefanovic (5.9 ppg). The Bruins average 78.3 ppg (Tied-#138) and allow only 53.1 ppg—the No. 1 Scoring defense in NCAA DI Basketball giving up only 425 points to their opponents. John Wooden is smiling.

UCLA Betting Trends

  • UCLA is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • The Bruins have been Favorites in their last 7 games
  • UCLA has played 7 straight games at Home or a Neutral Site (Henderson, Nevada)
  • The Bruins have won 7 straight, all by at least 11 points
  • UCLA is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

No. 12 Oregon is Looking to Stay Unbeaten

Like it has in NCAA Football, Oregon (6-3-0 ATS, 4-5-0 O/U) will assimilate nicely into the Big Ten Conference and the Ducks have been a good moneymaker so far this season. Oregon is led by big man C Nate Bittle (13.6 ppg, 9.0 rpg), G TJ Bamba (12.2 ppg, 31. rpg), G Jackson Shelstad (11.3 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 3.6 apg), G Keeshawn Barthelemy (10.8 ppg), F Brandon Angel (9.8 ppg, 3.4 rpg), G Jadrian Tracey (8.4 ppg), and F Supreme Cook (5.8 ppg, 3.2 rpg) and the Ducks went 12-8 in their last year of Pac-12 play in conference and 24-12 overall. This team went 13-3 at Home also, proving Matthew Knight Arena is a tough place for opponents. Oregon is averaging 79.9 ppg (Tied-#79) while allowing 67.7 ppg and are 64th in Assists Per Game (16.6) and Tied for 88th in Rebounds Per Game (39.1).

Oregon Betting Trends

  • Oregon is 9-1 SU in last 10 games overall with its last loss in the NCAA Tournament
  • The Under is 5-3 in the Ducks last 8 games overall
  • Oregon has been an Underdog twice this year and won both outright (A&M, ALA) 
  • The Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games
  • Oregon has played 5 straight Road games

UCLA vs Oregon Prediction

Looking at the series Trends between these two West Coast heavyweights, we see that the Homecourt Advantage has been very strong with Home teams going a powerful 8-2 SU over the last 10 meetings but just 5-5 ATS. The Bruins have gone 4-2 SU in the last 6 and 5-1 ATS with 2 straight Overs after 5 consecutive Unders. With UCLA having the best Scoring Defense in the land and both sides not wanting to suffer their first conference loss, look for a tight, possession-oriented game in Eugene with thoughts of backing the host Ducks on the Moneyline (-180) seeming much safer with UCLA (+150) likely to keep this low-scoring and close. This UCLA vs Oregon NCAAB pick will look to the Totals market and call for the Bruins to play a 4th straight Under (Under 3-1 last 4 in Eugene). These two teams will meet again on January 30 at Westwood (FS1, 10:30 EST/7:30 PST).

Kevin’s Pick: UCLA-Oregon Under 141.5