UNLV vs Creighton 12/7/2024: College Basketball Picks

UNLV vs Creighton Game Information

When:  Saturday, December 7, 2024 at 4 EST/1 PST
Where: CHI Health Center, Omaha, Nebraska
UNLV vs Creighton Line: Creighton -11.5
Total: 143.5
TV: FS1

UNLV vs Creighton Preview

UNLV (4-3, 0-0 on Road) heads east to Omaha on Saturday afternoon to play Creighton (6-3, 5-1 at Home) in a nice non-conference meeting. The Rebels have lost 2 straight, vs. Northwestern (66-61) and Mississippi State (80-58) while the Bluejays come in after knocking off the No. 1 team in the nation, Kansas (76-63). Creighton defeated Notre Dame the previous game (80-76) after losing three consecutive games, to No. 20 Texas A&M (77-73), San Diego State (71-53), and state rivals Nebraska (74-63). The Bluejays started the season off with 4 straight wins (URTG, FD, HOU CHRISTIAN, KC). When these two teams last met in Sin City last year, UNLV won outright 79-64, in a game that saw the Rebels getting 13.5 Points (Under, 149.0).

UNLV Has Been a Great Early Season ATS Fade 

UNLV (1-5-1 ATS, 2-5-0 O/U) has rewarded its betting backers just one time so far this season—beating Pepperdine by 21 points as 14-Point Favorites—so betting against this team for the time being might be a good idea. The Runnin’ Rebels are led by F Dedan Thomas Jr. (16.6 ppg, 3.9 apg), F Jeremiah Cherry (12.9 ppg, 6.7 rpg), G Jailen Bedford (9.5 ppg, 6.7 rpg), F Jalen Hill (9.4 ppg, 5.0 rpg), G Julian Rishwain (8.7 ppg), and G Jaden Henley (8.7 ppg, 3.0 rpg). At practice, Head Coach Kevin Krueger must yell “Jailen, Jalen, Julian, and Jaden,” so he will surely be asking for a raise next year. UNLV averages 74.0 ppg (Tied #222) and allows 71.1 and hasn’t been that great Rebounding (22.6 rpg, #326).

UNLV Betting Trends

  • UNLV is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 overall
  • The Runnin’ Rebels have yet to cover ATS on the Road (0-1-0)
  • Kentucky is 6-4 SU in its last 10 games
  • UNLV is 22-11 in its last 33 on the Moneyline (+19.35 Units, 19% ROI)
  • The Under is 4-0-0 in the Runnin’ Rebels last 4 games

Creighton Coming in Off Huge Upset of #1 Kansas

Creighton (2-6-1 ATS, 3-6-0 O/U) has also been poor ATS this season with the Kansas upset in its last game its first win on the betting boards since November 16 (Kansas City). The Bluejays are led by C Ryan Kalkbrenner (18.0 ppg, 8.8 rpg), G Pop Isaacs (16.3 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 3.9 apg), G Steven Ashworth (15.8, 3.9 rpg, 5,6 apg), G Jamlya Neal (9.6 ppg, 6.0 rpg), and F Jackson McAndrew (8.0 ppg, 5.1 rpg). What stands out in these statistics is how good these 5 are in Rebounding (41.4 rpg, #28). Creighton averages 77.4 ppg but the biggest thing about this team is that they beat Notre Dame and Kansas back to back. The upset over the Jayhawks was Creighton’s 2nd-consecutive upset against an AP No. 1 team (Connecticut, last year) and the Bluejays never trailed in the game, marking the first time an unranked team has led wire-to-wire since 2015 when Iowa shocked No. 1 Michigan State in a Big Ten Conference game.

Creighton Betting Trends

  • Creighton is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games this season
  • The Under is 6-2 in the Bluejays last 8 games
  • Creighton went 0-3-0 ATS in its first 3 games this year
  • The Bluejays are 18-4 on the Moneyline in their last 22 (+10.10 Units, 1% ROI)
  • Creighton went 19-16-0 ATS last season (54.3%)

UNLV vs Creighton Prediction

Despite the fact that UNLV won outright as huge Underdogs last year, this year’s Creighton side seems better and by beating Kansas in the Big East/Big 12 Battle by such a large margin shows this is a team that can beat anyone, anywhere. Creighton (+4) limited Kansas star C Hunter Dickinson to just 6 points. The Bluejays are the kind of disciplined team that doesn’t beat themselves, and many will remember losing to the Rebels last year. With this one being played at the CHI Health Center in Omaha, Nebraska, this UNLV vs Creighton NCAAB pick will suggest laying the lumber and expecting a double-digit victory by the Big East Conference side.

Kevin’s Pick: Creighton -11.5