San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns 11-2-23

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns 12/03/2024: NBA Picks

 

Game Time 9:00 pm EST
San Antonio Spurs Line +7.5
Phoenix Suns Line -7.5
Total 226.5
TV: NBA TV

 

Two Western Conference squads with surprisingly similar records are clashing tonight, as the Phoenix Suns are hosting the San Antonio Spurs. The Suns saw Kevin Durant return to the lineup, but they are struggling to find balance, as they haven’t won a second straight game for almost a month now. On the other hand, the Spurs are playing excellent basketball, as they have lost only once in their last six games, but they are playing their second straight road game.

 

Below is a detailed analysis for San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns game.

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

Phoenix Suns Injury Report: Jusuf Nurkic, Bradley Beal are day-to-day, Collin Gillespie is out

San Antonio Spurs Injury Report: Jeremy Sochan is out

Phoenix Suns Recent Form and Trends

The Suns have a 11-8 record this season and are sitting on the 8th place of the West. The Suns 7-12 against the spread and 11-8 in over/under. Phoenix has a 7-4 home record, but just 3-8 against the spread with a +1.5-point differential. The Suns are 2-6 in their last 8 games and 3-5 against the spread.

 

The Suns are coming off a 113-105 win over Golden State, as they held the Warriors into just 41% shooting from the field. Devin Booker led Phoenix’s offense with 27 points and 9 assists.

 

Kevin Durant leads the Suns in scoring with 26.8 points, adding 6.9 rebounds and 3.2 assists. Devin Booker adds 24.7 points, 3.5 rebounds and 6.6 assists.

 

San Antonio Spurs Recent Form and Trends

The Spurs have a 11-9 record this season and are sitting on the 10th place of the West. The Spurs are 11-9 against the spread and 10-10 in over/under. San Antonio has 3-5 road record, but 4-4 against the spread with a -5.4-point differential. The Spurs are 5-1 in their last 6 games.

 

The Spurs are coming off a 127-125 win in Sacramento, as they shot with 51% from the field and 50% from beyond the arc, and they were propelled by a monstrous triple double by Victor Wembanyama with 34 points on 11-17 shooting from the field with 5 triples, 14 rebounds and 11 assists.

 

Wembanyama leads the Spurs both in scoring with 24 points, and in rebounding with 10.2 per game. Wemby also leads the NBA in blocks per game with 3.5, and he has improved his shot as of late, and now sits at 48.4% field goal percentage. Devin Vassell adds 16.7 points and 3 assists per game.

 

Statistical Breakdown

Offensively, the Suns average 113.2 points per game, which ranks 16th in the NBA. Phoenix shoots with 46.6% from the field (11th), and with 37.6% from beyond the arc (9th). Defensively, the Suns allow 113.9 points per game, which is 21st in the league.

 

Offensively, the Spurs average 111.1 points per game, which ranks 21st in the NBA. They shoot 46.1% from the field (20th) and 35.8% from beyond the arc (19th). Defensively, they are the 7th-best team in the NBA, allowing 110.8 points per game.

 

The Spurs led the Suns 3-1 wins last season, winning both meetings in Phoenix by 132-121 and 115-114. The Suns are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Spurs, but the Spurs are 4-0 against the Spread in their last 4 meetings in Phoenix. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

 

Prediction

In this San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, the Suns are coming as big -7.5 home favorites. The Suns are not to be trusted at this point, especially as such big favorites. Phoenix has won only twice in their last eight games and have been terrible at covering at home. On the other hand, the Spurs are coming in this game red-hot and have no trouble winning in Phoenix, as they did twice last season. I think that the spread is too big, so the value here lies with the road team. I fully expect the Spurs to keep it somewhat close, so take the San Antonio Spurs by +7.5 points.

 

Nick’s Pick: San Antonio Spurs +7