Penn State vs Oregon Game Information
| What: | Big Ten Championship Game |
| When: | Saturday, December 7, 2024 at 8 EST/5 PST |
| Where: | Lucas Oil Stadium (Hellas Matrix Turf) Indianapolis, Indiana |
| Penn State vs Oregon Line: | Oregon -3 |
| Total: | 49.5 |
| TV: | CBS |
Penn State vs Oregon Preview
No. 3-seeded Penn State (11-1, 8-1 in Big Ten) will meet No. 1-seeded Oregon (12-0, 9-0 in Big Ten) in the 2024 Big Ten Conference Championship Game in Indianapolis on Saturday evening. The Nittany Lions come in winners of 4 straight, beating last year’s national runners-up Washington (35-6), Purdue (49-10), Minnesota (26-25), and Maryland (44-7) after losing to Ohio State at State College in a thriller (20-13). QB Dillon Gabriel and the Ducks haven’t lost a game since falling to rivals Washington in the Pac-12 Championship Game over a year ago (Dec. 1, 2023) and both of their losses last year came at the hands of Micheal Penix Jr. and the Cougars.
Penn State Can Earn CFP Bye With an Upset Here
Penn State (6-6-0 ATS, 5-7-0 O/U) doesn’t get the same level of respect from many talking heads or handicappers as Oregon and Ohio State do, but this team just goes about its business and wins games when it has to. But like some others, the Nittany Lions do seem to fall in the bigger spots on their schedule like they did vs Ohio State earlier this season and last year against the Buckeyes and defending national champions Michigan. PSU (9/1 to win CFP, DraftKings) is led by QB Drew Allar (2,668 passing yards, 18 TD, 5 Interceptions), RBs Nicholas Singleton (733 rushing yards, 7 TD) and Kaytron Allen (698 rushing yards, 5 TD), and TE Tyler Warren (978 receiving yards, 6 TD) and can steal an opening round CFP Bye with a win over the top-ranked and seeded team in the country. The latest CFP ranking Brackets would have the Nittany Lions at Tempe to play Arizona State in a First Round game so a win here would be huge.
Penn State Betting Trends
- Penn State is 3-1 SU lifetime vs Oregon but they haven’t played since 1995
- The Over is 3-0-0 in the Nittany Lions last 3 games
- The Nittany Lions were 4-0 on the Road in the Regular Season
- The Over is 3-0-0 in Penn State’s last 3 games overall
- Penn State has the 6th best FBS Scoring Defense (14.0 ppg)
Oregon Looking to Avoid Upset, Keep First Round Bye
Oregon (6-6-0 ATS, 5-7-0 O/U) has survived two really hard games, vs Boise State early on and against No. 6 Ohio State, so here Gabriel (3,275 passing yards, 24 TD, 6 Interceptions) and the Ducks (-173 Moneyline, Penn State +146) will look to avoid a late-season fate which could send them to a CFP First Round game with a loss. RB Jordan James (1,166 rushing yards) and WR Taz Johnson (685 receiving yards) and the Oregon offense will be tested here against a strong Penn State defense, and the underrated Ducks defense (16.3 ppg, #9) will have to have a strong game as the Nittany Lions will be focused on the big upset and the implications. The fresh College Football Playoff (CFP) rankings that came out on Tuesday night saw Oregon remain at No. 1 and Penn State moving up to No. 3, so this will be the conference game between the two highest-ranked teams and with No. 6 Ohio State and No. 9 Indiana not making it, this shows how strong this conference has become in football as defending champions Michigan found out this sobering season.
Oregon Betting Trends
- Oregon is 24-2 SU in its last 26 games overall
- The Ducks are Favorites to win the National Championship (+350)
- Oregon has never lost a game in the Big Ten Conference (9-0)
- The Ducks last 5 losses have been to WASH 3x, ORE ST, GEORGIA
- Oregon is 34-5 SU in its last 39 games overall
- The Ducks are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 overall
Penn State vs Oregon Pick and Prediction
When Oregon faced its two toughest opponents this Regular Season—Boise State and Ohio State—both teams it beat put up their fair share of Points with Ashton Jeanty and the Broncos getting 34 and Will Howards and the Buckeyes scoring 31 in games that saw 70 and 63 points respectively. So to expect 25+ from these two in this serious spot and it’s hard to imagine a scoreless 1st Quarter with Gabriel and the Ducks involved. If they get down, the Nittany Lions will be more aggressive and that will quicken the pace and open them up for TOs. This Penn State vs Oregon NCAAF pick looks to the Totals market and back the Over with two teams able to score with smart QBs and this being in the friendly indoor confines at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Kevin’s Pick: Penn State-Oregon Over 49.5