| Game Time | 10:00 pm EST |
| Golden State Warriors Line | +2.5 |
| Denver Nuggets Line | -2.5 |
| Total | 234.5 |
| TV: | NBA TV |
Two Western conference squads that have been underperforming lately are clashing tonight, as the Denver Nuggets are hosting the Golden State Warriors. The Nuggets have been unstable as of late, alternating wins and losses for the past couple of weeks, and return home after a short two-game road trip. The Warriors are on their worst losing streak of the season, as they have lost four consecutive games, and are looking to stop the bleeding tonight.
Below is a detailed analysis for Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets game.
Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
Denver Nuggets Injury Report: Daron Holmes and Vlatko Cancar are out
Golden State Warriors Injury Report: De’Anthony Melton is out.
Denver Nuggets Recent Form and Trends
The Nuggets have a 10-8 record this season and are sitting on the 9th place of the West. Denver is 7-10-1 against the spread and 12-6 in over/under. The Nuggets have a 5-4 home record and are 3-5-1 against the spread with a -0.6-point differential. They have back-to-back home losses and are 3-5-1 against the spread in their last 9 games. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 games.
Denver is coming off a 122-126 loss by the Clippers in LA, even though they shot with 58% from the field. All of their starters scored double digits, led by Nikola Jokic with 28 points, 14 rebounds and 11 assists for another triple double.
Jokic leads Denver in scoring with an average of 29.6 points, in rebounding with 13.2 and in assists made with 10.7. Michael Porter Jr adds 18.6 points and 7.2 rebounds.
Golden State Warriors Recent Form and Trends
The Warriors have a 12-7 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the West. They are 10-8-1 against the spread and 10-9 in over/under. Golden State has a 7-4 road record, but 6-5 against the spread, with a +7-point differential. The Warriors have four consecutive losses and are 1-6-1 against the spread in their last 8 games. Under is 6-1 in their last 7 games.
The Warriors are coming off a 105-113 loss in Phoenix, as they shot with just 41% from the field. They had six players in double digit scoring, led by Steph Curry with 23 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists.
Curry leads the Warriors in scoring with 22.5 points, adding 5.5 rebounds and a team-high 6.3 assists per game. Andrew Wiggins adds 17.4 points and 4.4 rebounds per game.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Nuggets are averaging 118 points per game, which is the 5th-best in the NBA. Denver shoots with 48.5% from the field (6th), and with 39% from beyond the arc, which is the third-best in the league. Defensively, they are allowing 116.4 points per game, which ranks 24th in the NBA.
Offensively, the Warriors are 8th-best in the league with 116.2 points per game. Golden State shoots with 45.7% from the field (21st), and with 37.6% from beyond the arc (10th). Defensively, they rank 5th in the NBA, allowing 109.8 points per game.
The Nuggets won all four meetings against the Warriors last season, winning both games in Denver by 120-114 and 108-105. Denver is 7-0 in their last 7 meetings against Golden State, but the Warriors are 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 meetings. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
Prediction
In this Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, the Nuggets are coming as -2.5 home favorites. I cannot back the Warriors amidst their biggest slump of the season, especially on the road, but I cannot back the Nuggets, as they have been too unstable lately. Both teams have been effective offensively this season, as they both are on the top-8 of the NBA with 234.2 points per game combined. They are also shooting the ball well from beyond the arc, being on the top-10 in the league in 3-point percentage, and the Nuggets have been terrible defensively, sitting on the 24th place of the league. I expect a sloppy game from both sides, so I’m taking the over the total.
Nick’s Pick: Over 234.5