Texas Longhorns vs Alabama Crimson Tide 9-9-23

Georgia vs Texas Prediction 12/7/2024: College Football Picks

Georgia vs Texas Game Information

What: SEC Championship Game
When: Saturday, December 7, 2024 at 4 EST/1 PST
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (FieldTurf CORE) Atlanta, Georgia 
Georgia vs Texas Line: Texas -2.5
Total: 49.5
TV: ABC

Georgia vs Texas Preview

No. 7-ranked Georgia (10-2, 6-2 in SEC) faces No. 3-ranked Texas (11-1, 7-1 in SEC) in the 2024 Southeastern Conference Championship Game in Atlanta on Saturday afternoon. The Longhorns have won 5 straight, with their last and only loss coming to these Bulldogs on October 19 in Austin, 30-15. Texas has won each of these games by at least 10 points, topping No. 20 Texas A&M (17-7), Kentucky (31-14), Arkansas (20-10), Florida (49-17), and No. 25 Vanderbilt (27-24). Georgia heads in winners of 3 straight, beating Tennessee (31-17), Massachusetts (59-21), and Georgia Tech (44-42) after losing at Mississippi (28-10). This is the first year the Longhorns are playing in the Southeastern Conference (SEC) after leaving the Big 12.

Georgia Looks to Beat Texas For a Second Time

Georgia (3-9-0, 6-6-0 O/U) has one of the worst ATS records in Division I and the Bulldogs are lucky to be in this spot, having survived an 8 OT game vs rivals Georgia Tech in its last outing in one of the classic games of this season. The record for OTs in a game is 9. QB Carson Beck (3,429 passing yards, 28 TD, 12 Interceptions), RBs Nate Frazier (587 rushing yards, 8 TD) and Trevor Etienne (587 rushing yards, 7 TD), and WR Arian Smith (535 receiving yards, 17.9 ypc 4 TD) and the Bulldogs offense (37.1 ppg, Tied #11) have turned it up a notch of late while the Georgia defense (20.5 ppg, Tied #25) isn’t as stingy as in recent dominating seasons, having allowed 40+ twice (ALA, GT) and 30+ one time (MISS ST).

Georgia Betting Trends

  • Georgia is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
  • The Over is 3-0 in the last 3 Georgia games, 4-1 last 5
  • Both series meetings have gone under the Total
  • The Bulldogs finished a perfect 8-0 SU at Home at Sanford Stadium
  • Georgia is 2-11 ATS in the last 13 in the First Half (-10.30 Units, -71% ROI)

Texas Can Earn CFP First Round Bye With Win Here

Texas (7-5-0 ATS, 4-7-1 O/U) has adapted to life in the SEC quite nicely, beating some quality schools and losing only to Georgia. Heading into the new College Football Playoff (CFP) rankings on Tuesday (ESPN, 7 EST/4 PST), the committee had the Longhorns as the No. 3 seed with a First Round Bye so with a win here, Texas (-150 Moneyline, Georgia +125) will automatically make the Final 8. The Longhorns have two solid QBs in starter Quinn Ewers and Arch Manning, three decent RBs in Quintrevion Wisner, Jaydon Blue, and Jerrick Gibson, and three good receiving targets in TE Gunnar Helm (5 TD) and WRs Matthew Gooden (8 TD) and Isaiah Bond (5 TD). But the defense has been the reason this team has had a great season allowing just 11.7 ppg (#2). This game could evolve into a defensive struggle indoors in Atlanta.

Texas Betting Trends

  • Texas is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
  • The Under is 3-0 last 3 Texas games, 6-3-1 last 10 games overall
  • Texas is 23-3 SU in its last 26 games overall
  • The Longhorns last 3 losses have been to GA, WASH, OK
  • Texas went a perfect 4-0 on the Road in the Regular Season

Georgia vs Texas Pick and Prediction

This is the third meeting between these two teams with the second one happening in Austin earlier this season. The first meeting came in the 2019 Sugar Bowl where Texas won, 28-21 in a game that went Under the 59.5 Total and saw the Bulldogs score 14 and the Longhorns tally 8 points in the 4th Quarter after a scoreless 3rd Quarter. The Horns were 12.50-point Underdogs at the Neutral Site. The October meeting this year had a Total of 57 and went under by 12 points with Texas having just 29 yards Rushing. This Georgia vs Texas NCAAF pick looks at the Totals market and sees a defensive struggle with so much at stake.

Kevin’s Pick: Georgia-Texas Under 49.5