Duke Blue Devils vs 4 Tennessee Volunteers 3-18-2023

Auburn vs Duke Prediction 12/4/2024: College Basketball Picks

Auburn vs Duke Game Information

When:  Wednesday, December 4, 2024 at 9:15 EST/6:15 PST
Where: Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, North Carolina
Auburn vs Duke State Line: Duke -1.5
Total: 146.5
TV: ESPN

Auburn vs Duke Preview

No. 2 Auburn (7-0, 0-0 on Road) heads to Tobacco Road to bang the boards with No. 9 Duke (5-2, 4-0 at Home) in the ACC/SEC Men’s Challenge Presented by Continental Tires on Wednesday night. In their last 3 games, the Tigers defeated some really impressive opponents in Iowa State (83-81), North Carolina (85-72), and Memphis (90-76) to stay unbeaten and climb to their current spot on the polls behind No. 1 Kansas. After losing to Kentucky (77-72), the Blue Devils have won 3 of 4, annihilating Wofford (86-35), winning at new Big 12 member Arizona (69-55), and vs Seattle (70-48) while losing to those top-seeded Jayhawkws (75-72). In the 2024-25 NCAA Basketball Futures market at DraftKings now, Auburn is priced at +950 while Duke is at 10/1 the two highest teams in the March Madness market with Kansas priced at 15/1.

No. 2 Auburn Off to a Really Tremendous Start

Auburn (6-1-0 ATS, 4-3-0 O/U) has been great ATS but even better SU, racing off to a perfect start and beating some really good basketball teams in the process including No. 2 Houston in the Tigers second game of the new season. Auburn (+105 Moneyline, Duke -126) has been led is scoring by star F Jonhi Broome (20.7 ppg, 12.9 rpg, 3.3 apg), G Chad Baker-Maraza (12.6 ppg, 3.1 rpg), G Denver Jones (11.1 ppg, 3.3 apg), F Chaney Johnson (10.6 ppg, 6.0 rpg), G Miles Kelly (10.0 ppg), and G Tahaad Petiford (9.6 ppg). The Tigers only ATS loss so far came to Iowa State giving 3.5 points and winning by 2 (83-81) at Ames. Being favored at that Site speaks volumes about how good Auburn is this season and maybe it can make a run at a national championship in the Spring.

Auburn Betting Trends

  • Auburn is 6-1-0 ATS in its last 7 games overall, 7-3-0 the last 10
  • The Over is 3-1-0 in the Tigers last 4 games 
  • Auburn went 21-14-0 ATS last season (60%)
  • Tigers are 26-10 on the First Half Moneyline last 36 games (+13.75 Units, 4% ROI)
  • Auburn is 23-13 ATS in its last 36 games (+9.80 Units, 25% ROI)

Duke Faces Really Tough Test Against Upstart Auburn 

No. 11 Duke (4-3-0 ATS, 2-5-0 O/U) saw some talented players leave for the NBA with Jared McCain (76ers) and Kyle Filipowski (Jazz) now gone. But with three Freshmen ballers in 6-foot-9 Cooper Flagg (15.9 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 4.1 apg), 6-foot-7 G Kon Knueppel (13.4 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 3.3 apg), and 7-foot-2 Khaman Maluach (8.4 ppg, 5.0 rpg) and a nice returning cast including G Tyrese Proctor (12.4 ppg, 4.3 rpg), G Caleb Foster (8.6 rpg), and G Sion James (7.7 ppg, 3.7 rpg), Head Coach John Scheyer has the needed pieces to rebuild and compete in the ACC and give the Cameron Crazies hope for another deep run in the NCAA Tournament. Last year, the Blue Devils made it all the way to the Elite 8 as a No. 4 seed, beating No. 13-seed Vermont in their opener (64-47), topping No. 12-seed James Madison (93-55), and knocking off No. 1-seed Houston in the Sweet 16 (54-51) before falling to No. 4-seed and ACC rivals North Carolina State in the South Regional Final (75-64).

Duke Betting Trends

  • Duke is 0-2 ATS in its last 2 games (KANSAS, SEATTLE)
  • The Under is 5-0-0 in the Blue Devils last 5 games
  • The Blue Devils are 7-3 SU in their last 10 overall
  • The Under is 7-2-1 in Duke’s last 10 games
  • Duke went 21-14-1 ATS last 2023-24 NCAAB season (60%)

Auburn vs Duke Prediction

The last time these two schools played in Durham, Duke won 78-72 on November 18, 2018 but failed to cover as big 11-Point Home chalks in a game that went way Under the 170.5 Total by 20.5 points. With the Blue Devils being such a strong Under team and the number in this game set at 146.5, it’s tempting to suggest blindly betting the Under but the oddsmakers have the number too low to find a perceived edge (150.5 and up would have been better). So this Auburn vs Duke NCAAB pick will buck the magic of the Homecourt and take the team that has already beaten No. 2 Houston, No. 5 Iowa State, No. 10 North Carolina, and a very underrated Memphis squad. Meow.

Kevin’s Pick: Auburn +1.5