Louisville Cardinals vs Arkansas Razorbacks 11-21-22

Mississippi vs Louisville Prediction 12/3/2024: NCAAB Picks

Mississippi vs Louisville Game Information

When:  Tuesday, December 3, 2024 at 9 EST/6 PST
Where: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, Kentucky
Mississippi vs Louisville Line: Louisville -4.5
Total: 149
TV: ACC Network

Mississippi vs Louisville Preview

No. 23 Mississippi (6-1, 0-0 on Road) heads to the Bluegrass State to play Louisville (5-2, 3-1 at Home) in the SEC/ACC Men’s Challenge on Tuesday night. Both teams come in after suffering losses in their last outings, with the Rebels losing vs Purdue (80-78) and the Cardinals falling to Oklahoma (69-64), both on Friday. Before that, each won their last 4 games with Ole Miss beating BYU in OT (96-85), Oral Roberts (100-68), Colorado State (84-69), and South Alabama (54-54) while Louiville topped West Virginia in OT (78-70), a ranked Indiana side (89-61), Winthrop (76-61), and Bellarmine (100-68).

No. 23 Ole Miss Facing a Tough Test at Louisville

Mississippi (5-2-0 ATS, 5-2-0 O/U) is led by G Jaylen Murray (14.6 ppg), G Matthew Murell (13.3 ppg), G Sean Pedulla (13.0 ppg, 4.0 rpg), F Jaemyn Brakefield (11.1 ppg, 5.9 rpg), G Dre Davis (11.0 ppg, 5.0 rpg), and F Malik Dia (6.9 ppg, 5.9 rpg). This may be a shock to the system to the Rebels who have yet to play a real Road game and coming in off a tough loss to the Boilermakers. Ole Miss hasn’t made it to the NCAA Tournament since 2019 (lost to Oklahoma in First Round) and the farthest they have advanced in the Big Dance is to the Sweet Sixteen (2001). The Rebels are 5-9 in the Tournament.

Mississippi Betting Trends

  • Mississippi is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games
  • The Over is 7-3-0 in Ole Miss’s last 10 games overall
  • The Rebels have been Underdogs in their last 2 games (BYU, PUR)
  • The Over is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 Rebels games
  • Mississippi started last season with a 13-game win streak

Louisville Looks to Get Back to Hoops Glory Days 

Louisville (4-3-0 ATS, 1-6-0 O/U) has started off as a very strong Under team and the Cardinals have some nice depth in G Chucky Hepburn (14.6 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 4.6 apg), G Reyne Smith (13.1 ppg, 3.3 rpg), F Kasean Pryor (12.0 ppg, 6.1 rpg), G Terrence Edwards (11.1 ppg, 3.6 rpg), G J’Vonne Hadley (9.4 ppg, 7.3 rpg), F Noah Waterman (7.1 ppg, 2.8 rpg), and F James Scott (6.9 ppg, 4.3 rpg). In their last game, the Cardinals were beaten by Oklahoma, 69-63 in the Championship Game of the Battle 4 Atlantis in Nassau, Bahamas. One thing that really stands out when studying the Louisville (79.4 ppg) roster and the current stats is the shooting of Forward Scott (84.6%) who has three perfect (100%) shooting games already and who was 79.2% from the floor in the 2023-24 NCAA Basketball season. Dude can’t miss.

Louisville Betting Trends

  • Louisville lost its last 3 games in the ACC last season (VT, BC, NC ST)
  • The Under is 8-2-0 in Louisville’s last 10 games overall 
  • James Scott is 21-for-25 on his Field Goal attempts this season
  • The Under is 6-1-0 in Louisville’s last 7 Home games
  • Louisville won last meeting 77-68 (2008) but failed to cover ATS (-15.5)

Mississippi vs Louisville Prediction

There is a Trend serious sports bettors in College Basketball and College Football which says to follow and bet on Unranked Home Favorites (UHF) in the Point Spread market. Here we find visitors Ole Miss ranked and Lousiville not ranked but the oddsmakers Favorites at Home. It would seem to the casual observer that this is a silly Trend, but this one has stood the test of time in both collegiate sports. Rankings can be very deceiving, especially early on in the NCAAB and NCAAF seasons with so many non-conference mismatches. Remember that the Rebels started 13-0 last season and didn’t even make the Big Dance. This Mississippi vs Louisville NCAAB pick will be to back the UHF Cardinals and lay the smallish amount of points.

Kevin’s Pick: Louisville -4.5