Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes 12/10/23

Michigan vs Wisconsin Prediction 12/3/2024: College Basketball Picks

Michigan vs Wisconsin Game Information

When:  Tuesday, December 3, 2024 at 9 EST/6 PST
Where: Kohl Center, Madison, Wisconsin
Michigan vs Wisconsin Line: Wisconsin -3.5
Total: 150.5
TV: Peacock

Michigan vs Wisconsin Preview

Big Ten Conference early play tips off here with Michigan (6-1, 0-0 in Big Ten) heading to America’s Dairyland to face unbeaten and No. 15 ranked Wisconsin (8-0, 0-0 in Big Ten) in Madison. Both teams are playing very good basketball right now with the Wolverines coming in after capturing the Fort Myers Tip-Off championship while the upstart Badgers continue to climb in the rankings. Michigan has been very good against Wisconsin of late, so this will be a real test for the Home side. In their last game, the Badgers defeated Chicago State but failed to cover the massive 34.5-Point Spread in a 74-53 win in Madison. Michigan humbled No. 22 Xavier, 78-53 to win its first holiday tournament in 5 years.

Michigan Looks to Keep the Momentum Going

Michigan (5-2-0 ATS, 2-5-0 O/U) is proving to be a good team to back at the betting window as well as one which may crack the Top 25 rankings the way it is playing. The Wolverines are on a 5-game winning streak and are getting some superb play from guys like Danny Wolf (Fort Myers Tip-Off Tournament MVP), Roddy Gayle (All-Tournament Team), Tre Donaldson, and Vladislav Goldin. The win over the Musketeers was the first vs a ranked opponent for new Head Coach Dusty May at Ann Arbor. The Wolverines (+134 Moneyline) lone loss this still young season came at Wake Forest (72-70) on November 10.

Michigan Betting Trends

  • Michigan is 4-2 SU the last 6 meetings with Wisconsin
  • The Under is 3-0 the last 3 Wolverines games, 5-1 the last 6 
  • The Wolverines are 1-3 SU in their last 4 visits to Madison
  • The Under/Over has alternated the last 5 Michigan games (UOUOU)
  • Michigan won outright as 8.5-Point Underdogs the last meeting

No. 15 Wisconsin Facing Toughest Test So Far

Wisconsin (4-3-1 ATS, 7-1-0 O/U) played 7 straight Overs before Chicago State slowed the pace down in the Badgers last game but we find conflicting Trends in the Totals market with Wisconsin suddenly evolving into an Over team and Michigan playing so many Unders. The Under 3-1 the last 4 series meetings. The Badgers are averaging 85.3 ppg (#34) and allowing only 69.3 ppg heading to this showdown. Before facing the Cougars, the Badgers defeated RGV (87-84), UCF (86-70), Pitt (81-75), Appalachian State (87-58), and Arizona (103-88). Wisconsin (-162 Moneyline) is led by John Tonje (22.9 ppg), John Blackwell (14.9 ppg, 4.4 rpg), Max Kiesmit (11.5 ppg), Nolan Winter (9.8 ppg, 5.6 rpg), and Steven Crowl (8.5 ppg, 5.3 rpg).

Wisconsin Betting Trends

  • Wisconsin’s last Home loss to Michigan came in 2021
  • The Under is 3-1-0 in the last 4 series meetings at the Kohl Center
  • The Badgers are 2-0 SU in the last 2 Home meetings vs Michigan
  • The Over is 6-1 in Wisconsin’s last 7 Home games
  • Wisconsin is 48-36 SU lifetime vs Michigan in Madison
  • The Badgers are 75-99 SU all-time vs Wisconsin

Michigan vs Wisconsin Prediction

This Michigan vs Wisconsin prediction and NCAAB pick pick leans to the visitors who played a very good team in its last game (Xavier) compared to Wisconsin, which played one of the worst teams in the land (Chicago State). The Wolverines have also fared pretty well in this series of late and with Wolf (10.9 ppg, 9.9 rpg), Gayle (12.0 ppg), Donaldson (13.0 ppg), Goldin (9.1 ppg, 4.7 rpg), and Nimari Burnett (10.0 ppg), will match up pretty well with Wisconsin. Winning their first holiday tournament in a while will also be a big confidence boost for Michigan and they won’t care that the Badgers are ranked, undefeated, or at Home. This one will be fun to watch (if you have Peacock).

Kevin’s Pick: Michigan +3.5