Steelers vs Bengals Prediction
On Sunday 12/01 the Pittsburgh Steelers will take on the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. The forecast for Sunday is for a chilly temp of 28.1 °F with 8.1 mph wind and 8 % chance of rain. This game features a match-up of two AFC North teams. The AFC North is the #3 ranked conference in the NFL with a 50.8% Win-Loss percentage. The 8-3 Steelers are ranked #1 in the AFC North and the 4-7 Bengals are ranked #3. Last week the Steelers lost against the Browns 19 to 24, allowing the Browns 304 yards of total offense. The Steelers were outscored by 5 while out gaining the Browns by 64 yards from scrimmage and having 2 less turnovers. Last week the Bengals won a moral victory while resting on their Bye Week.
Can the Steelers Win Today?
The Steelers will go with Russell Wilson who has a record of 4-1 as starting quarterback this season. Russell Wilson is ranked 31 on the QB Ranking for this week and he has completed 94 passes on 149 attempts. Wilson has averaged 242.4 yards per game with a completion percentage of 63.1% with 7 TD’s and 2 INT’s. His QBR is 14.5% below the league average this season. Russell Wilson is 8 years older than the Bengals Quarterback Joe Burrow and is 8.1 years older than the NFL average. The Steelers running back, Najee Harris, is the # 11 ranked RB this week and he is averaging 68.1 yards per game with 3 TD’s and 0 fumbles. Harris’ rushing success rate is 42.9% which is 14.5% less than the league average for this statistic. Wide receiver 1 for the Steelers is George Pickens who is ranked # 22 for WR\TE’s this week. He averages 4.7 receptions per game with 14.9 yards per catch average to go along with 2 TD’s. When it comes to the advanced receiving stats, he has a catch success rate of 61.9% which is 2.9% below league average and a receiving success rate of 48.8% which is 5.1% less than the league average for wide receivers in this statistical category. Russell Wilson just needs to be Russell Wilson the game manager. He needs to play smart and play field position. Kicker Boswell has been exceptional so just let him do his thing and get the low scoring victory.
More…
• Najee Harris has recorded 78+ rushing yards in his last 3 vs the Bengals
• Russell Wilson has recorded 21+ completions in 4 of his last 5 games
• George Pickens has recorded 85+ receiving yards in each of the Steelers last 4 as underdogs
• George Pickens has scored a touchdown in each of the last 3 games when the Steelers are underdogs
• Najee Harris has scored at least 1 touchdown in his last 4 games vs the Bengals
Can the Bengals Win Today?
The Bengals will go with Joe Burrow who has a record of 4-7 as starting quarterback this season. Joe Burrow is ranked 3 on the QB Ranking for this week and he has completed 274 passes on 408 attempts. Joe averages 275.3 yards per game with a completion percentage of 67.2%. He has 27 TD’s and 4 INT’s this season. His QBR is 29.1% above the league average. It’s easy to be above average with his surrounding cast. The Bengals running back Chase Brown is the 5th ranked RB this week and is averaging 55.2 yards per game, with 5 TD’s and 2 fumbles. His yards per attempt are 4.3 and he has an advanced rushing success rate of 52.1% which is 3.8% more than the league average for this statistic. The Bengals wide receiver #1 is Ja’Marr Chase who is ranked #3 overall for all WR\TE’s this week in the NFL. He averages 6.6 catches per game and 14.5 yards per reception with 12 TD’s. The advanced receiving stats show he has a catch success rate of 73% which is 14.5% above league average combined with a receiving success rate of 63% which is 22.6% more than the wide receiver 1 league averages. Pretty darn good. The gameplan for the Bengals is Simple. Score more than your opponent or in their case, more than your defense allows. The Bengals defense is just horrible, so Burrow just needs to air it out to get the victory.
More…
• Joe Burrow has thrown 2 or more touchdowns in each of the Bengals last 6 games
• Tee Higgins has recorded 77+ receiving yards in his last 4 appearances
• Ja’Marr Chase has recorded 7 or more receptions in the last 4 games
• Joe Burrow has recorded 26+ completions in each of the Bengals last 4 games
• Chase Brown has scored a touchdown in each of the Bengals last 3 home games
Steelers vs. Bengals (-3) – O/U 47 – Free Prediction for 12/01/24
The Bengals are due for an exciting home victory. Help a Bengals fan out! They are just so much better than their record indicates. Too much talent for a non-explosive team like the Steelers to keep up with. Based on net efficiency numbers, my modeling has the Bengals winning 28-22. The Bengals are 26.5% better offensively and we know the Bengals also play better later in the season. I’ll still play it safe and go with a moneyline play in this one.
Mindy’s Pick: Bengals ML
Mindy has been in the business of picking winners for over 30 years. Her analytical mind has given her the insight to find the edges over Vegas in all the major sports. This is her 4th year at Tony’s Picks and loves to give out her Data Driven Picks. If you love Mindy’s free picks make sure you check out the link to her profile page here, to get her very best picks every day. Mindy has been crushing the books this NFL season and is 26-1 on her moneyline predictions this year!!! Let’s get some wins!