Free NFL Picks For Today 12/1/2024
LA Chargers vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Pick Prediction 12/1/2024
Chargers at Falcons Injuries
Running back Dobbins is out for LA on offense. On defense a corner, safety and linebacker are out with a linebacker questionable. Atlanta has an injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. The Chargers defense has the lowest health rating at 80.6.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Chargers at Falcons 1PM ET—LA drops to 7-4 following their 30-27 home defeat on Monday Night to Baltimore. The Chargers gained 285 yards with 83 rushing for 4.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 389 yards to the Ravens with 212 rushing for 5.7 yards per run. Justin Herbert completed 21 of 36 for 218 yards. Atlanta fell to 6-5 with their 38-6 road defeat to Denver. The Falcons produced 226 yards with 50 rushing for 2.4 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 400 yards to the Broncos with 295 passing on 33 attempts. Kirk Cousins went 18 of 27 for 173 yards and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
With Herbert back in good health the Chargers offense in their past three games has averaged 28 points per game with 7.2 yards per pass attempt. The Falcons defense in this period allows 26 points per game with 69% completions for 7.5 yards per pass attempt. They do not pressure opposing quarterback very well. LA defense on the road have held opponents to 13 points per game with 5.3 yards per pass attempt. Play LA -1.
Seattle Seahawks vs. NY Jets NFL Pick Prediction 12/1/2024
Seahawks at Jets Injuries
Seattle starters on offense and defense are healthy. NY running back Breece Hall is questionable with their left tackle out. On defense a linebacker and safety are questionable. Seattle has a slight injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. Each unit on Seattle has a health rating of 91.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Seahawks at Jets 1PM ET—Seattle improved to 6-5 following their 16-6 home win to Arizona. The Seahawks gained 285 yards with 65 rushing for 2.6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 298 yards to the Cardinals with 49 rushing on 14 carries. Geno Smith completed 22 of 31 for 254 yards with a touchdown and interception. NY moves to 308 with their 28-27 home defeat to Indianapolis. The Jets put up 253 yards with 91 rushing for 4.6 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 332 yards to the Colts with 241 passing on 30 attempts. Aaron Rodgers hit 22 of 29 for 184 yards and two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Seahawks on the road have been able to throw the football with 71.4% completions for 282 yards and 7 yards per pass attempt. The Jets offense in the past three games is averaging just 5 yards per pass attempt. On defense they allow 7.5 yards per pass attempt. NY is 4-8 to the spread at home when lined at +3 to -3. Play Seattle at pick.
Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots NFL Pick Prediction 12/1/2024
Colts at Patriots Injuries
Receiver Downs, center and right tackle are out for Indianapolis with receiver Pierce questionable. Their starters are healthy on defense. New England receiver Douglas and left tackle are questionable. On defense two linebackers and two safeties are questionable. The Patriots have a slight injury edge based on the Chao rating. The Patriots offense has the lowest rating at 76.2. The two healthiest units are each defense.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Colts at Patriots 1PM ET—Indianapolis fell to 5-7 following their 24-6 home defeat to Detroit. The Colts gained 268 yards with 96 rushing for 4.6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 390 yards to the Lions with 137 rushing for 4.2 yards per rush. Anthony Ricardson completed 11 of 28 for 172 yards. New England drops to 3-9 with their 34-15 road defeat at Miami. The Patriots posted 269 yards with 86 rushing for 4.1 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 373 yards to the Dolphins with 308 passing on 40 attempts. Drake Maye went 22 of 37 for 222 yards with a touchdown and pick.
The Pick with the Explanation
A dome team, the Colts, will be dealing with near freezing temperatures and light wind here. The Patriots defense in their past three games have held opponents to 3.6 yards per run. Indianapolis quarterback play has not been accurate on the road. The Colts on the road allow 4.6 yards per run with 75% completion rate for 7.4 yards per pass attempt. Indianapolis has been poor on third down on both sides the past three games. Play New England +2.5.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Pick Prediction 12/1/2024
Cardinals at Vikings Injuries
Arizona starters are healthy on offense. On defense a safety is questionable. Minnesota left tackle is questionable and defensive starters are healthy. No significant injury advantage here based on the Chao ratings.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Cardinals at Vikings 1PM ET—Arizona drops to 6-5 following their 16-6 road defeat at Seattle. The Cardinals put up 298 yards with 49 rushing for 3.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 295 yards to the Seahawks with 65 rushing for 2.6 yards per run. Kyler Murray went 24 of 37 for 285 yards with an interception. Minnesota improved to 9-2 with their 30-27 road win at Chicago. The Vikings put up 452 yards with 124 rushing for 4.6 yards per rush. Defensively they allowed 398 yards to the Bears with 320 passing on 48 attempts. Sam Darnold went 22 of 34 for 330 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Arizona defense has been in great form the past three games by allowing 10 points per game with 3.3 yards per run and 4.9 yards per pass attempt. In this period, they are running for 5.1 yards a carry with 8 yards per pass attempt. The Vikings in this period rushed for only 3.6 yards a carry. The Cardinals are 10-4 to the spread as a road underdog of seven points or fewer. The Vikings are 1-8 to the spread at home facing teams that average 130 yards rushing per game or greater. Play Arizona +3.5.
Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Pick Prediction 12/1/2024
Texans at Jaguars Injuries
Houston starters on offense are healthy. Receiver Diggs is on IR. On defense a defensive tackle is out. Jacksonville quarterback Trevor Lawrence is questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. No significant injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Texans at Jaguars 1PM ET—Houton fell to 7-5 after their 32-27 home defeat to Tennessee. The Texans gained 260 yards with 40 rushing for 4.3 yards per run. On defense they allowed 369 yards with 237 passing on 25 attempts. CJ Stroud completed 20 of 33 for 247 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Jacksonville drops to 209 following their 52-6 road defeat at Detroit. The Jaguars put up 170 yards with 41 rushing for 2.4 yards per carry. Defensively they allowed 645 yards to the Lions with 449 passing on 33 attempts. Mac Jones hit 17 of 29 for 138 yards with an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Lawrence is expected to play as he came off a good week of practice. Houston has failed to cover all four divisional games this season as they allow 5.3 yards per run against them. The Texans passing on the road have been inaccurate and inefficient. At home the Jaguars have rushed for 4.7 yards a carry and averaged 8.1 yards per pass attempt with accurate passing. They are 7-3 to the spread as a home underdog. Play Jacksonville +3.5.
Tennessee Titans vs. Washington Commanders NFL Pick Prediction 12/1/2024
Titans at Commanders Injuries
Tennessee right tackle is out, and their defensive starters are healthy. Washington right tackle is out with a corner on defense questionable. Washington has a slight injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Titans at Commanders 1PM ET—Tennessee improved to 3-8 following their 32-27 road win at Houston. The Titans put up 369 yards with 132 rushing for four yards per run. On defense they allowed 260 yards to the Texans with 40 rushing on 17 attempts. Will Levis completed 18 of 24 for 278 yards with two touchdowns and a pick. Washington fell to 7-5 after their 34-26 home defeat to Dallas. The Commanders put up 412 yards with 145 rushing for 5.8 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 332 yards to the Cowboys with 241 passing on 32 attempts. Jayden Daniels went 25 of 38 for 275 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Titans are 5-1 to the over on the road where they have given up 29.3 points per game. Offensively they have been able to rush for 4.5 yards a carry away from home. The Commanders offense is putting up 28 points per game with 5.5 yards per run and 7.3 yards per pass attempt. Their defense is in poor current form by allowing 29 points per game in their past three games with 359 yards per game. The Commanders are 4-0 to the over against the AFC combining for an average of 56.5 points per game. The combine point total average for the Titans in their four NFC games is 46.8 points. Play Tennessee and Washington over 44.5.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Pick Prediction 12/1/2024
Steelers at Bengals Injuries
Pittsburgh starters on offense are healthy. On defense a linebacker is doubtful. Cincinnati left tackle is questionable with a left tackle on defense out and linebacker questionable. Pittsburgh has a slight injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. The Bengals defense has the lowest rating at 83.7.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Steelers at Bengals 1PM ET—Pittsburgh drops to 8-3 following their 24-19 road defeat at Cleveland. The Steelers gained 368 yards with 120 rushing for 3.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 364 yards to the Browns with 219 passing on 27 attempts. Russell Wilson completed 21 of 28 for 270 yards with a touchdown. Cincinnati fell to 4-7 after their 34-27 road defeat to the Chargers. The Bengals posted 352 yards with 110 rushing for 4.4 yards per carry. Defensively they allowed 435 yards to the Chargers with 280 passing on 36 attempts. Joe Burow connected on 28 of 50 for 356 yards with three touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Steelers defense has been in good form the past three games by allowing 22 points with four yards per run and 54% completion rate. The Bengals defense over this period is surrendering 31 points per game with 4.4 yards per run and 277 yards passing for 7.1 yards per pass attempt. The Steelers have a +13-turnover margin. The Bengals have failed to cover four of five at home. Pittsburgh is 9-3 to the spread on the road as an underdog of seven or fewer points. Play Pittsburgh +3.
LA Rams vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Pick Prediction 12/1/2024
Rams at Saints Injuries
LA left tackle is questionable. Their starters are healthy on defense. New Orleans center is questionable but has two key receivers still on IR. On defense their starters are healthy. The Rams have an injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. The lowest rating is the Saints offense at 79.8.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Rams at Saints 4PM ET—LA drops to 5-6 with their 37-20 home defeat to Philadelphia. The Rams gained 290 yards with 92 rushing for 5.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 481 yards to the Eagles with 314 rushing for 7 yards per run. Matthew Stafford completed 24 of 36 for 243 yards with two touchdowns. New Orleans improved to 4-7 with their 35-14 home win to Cleveland. The Saints posted 473 yards with 214 rushing for 7.6 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 473 yards to the Browns with 377 passing on 47 attempts. Derek Carr was 21 of 27 for 248 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
Since getting healthier the Saints offense is in good form in their past three games as they average 26 points per game with 5.3 yards per run and 8.8 yards per pass attempt. On defense they have held opponents to 18 points per game with 4.4 yards per run. LA defense in poor form defensively in this span by allowing 27.3 points per game with 5.2 yards per rush and 72% completion rate. LA is 1-6 to the spread on the road against teams with a .250-to-.400-win percentage. New Orleans is 5-2 to the spread at home facing teams that allow 23 points per game or greater. Play New Orleans +2.5.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Pick Prediction 12/1/2024
Buccaneers at Panthers Injuries
Tampa Bay left tackle is questionable. On defense a linebacker and nickel back are out. Carolina receiver Coker and Sanders are out. On defense a linebacker is questionable. There is no significant injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Buccaneers at Panthers 4PM ET—Tampa Bay is 5-6 following their 30-7 road win at NY Giants. The Buccaneers gained 451 yards with 157 rushing for 4.9 yards per run. On defense they allowed 245 yards to the Giants with 169 passing on 32 attempts. Baker Mayfield hit 24 of 30 for 294 yards. Carolina moves to 3-8 with their 30-27 home defeat to Kansas City. The Panthers put up 334 yards with 85 rushing for 4 yards per run. On defense they allowed 391 yards to the Chiefs with 165 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. Bryce Young went 21 of 35 for 263 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Bucs have covered four of five on the road as they have averaged 31 points per game with 5.6 yards per run and 73% completions for 8 yards per pass attempt. Their defense on the road have limited opponents to 6.3 yards per pass attempt. The Panthers defense at home allows 30 points per game with 5 yards pe run and 7 yards per pass attempt. Their passing game has been inefficient at home. Carolina is 1-5 to the spread at home facing teams that average 350 yards per game or greater. Play Tampa Bay -5.5.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Pick Prediction 12/1/2024
Eagles at Ravens Injuries
Philadelphia receiver Smith is questionable with a cornerback on defense out. Baltimore starters on offense are healthy with a linebacker on defense questionable. Philadelphia has a slight injury edge based on Dr Chao ratings. The lowest rated unit is the Ravens defense at 86.3.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Eagles at Ravens 4:25PM ET—Philadelphia improved to 9-2 following their 37-20 road win at LA Rams. The Eagles gained 581 yards with 314 rushing for 7 yards per run. On defense they allowed 290 yards to the Rams with 198 passing on 36 attempts. Jalen Hurts completed 15 of 22 for 179 yards with a touchdown. Baltimore is 8-4 after their 30-23 road win at LA Chargers. The Ravens put up 389 yards with 212 rushing for 5.7 yards per carry. Defensively they allowed 285 yards to the Chargers with 83 rushing for 4.2 yards per run. Lamar Jackson went 16 of 22 for 177 yards and two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Eagles defense in great form in their past three games by allowing 14.7 points per game with 4 yards per rush and 4.3 yards per pass attempt. Their offense in this period is putting up 32 points per game with 5.9 yards per run and 7.4 yards per pass attempt. In the Ravens three games against the NFC they have allowed an average of 323 yards passing per game with 7.4 yards per pass attempt and 26 points per game. The Eagles are 6-1 to the spread on the road this season. A short week for the Ravens having played the Rams on Monday night. Play Philadelphia +3.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Pick Prediction 12/1/2024
49ers at Bills Injuries
San Francisco quarterback Brock Purdy is questionable with their left tackle and guard out. On defense a tackle, end and nickel back are out with a linebacker questionable. Buffalo tight end Kincaid is out with receiver Coleman questionable. On defense a linebacker is questionable.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
49ers at Bills 8:20PM ET—San Francisco drops to 5-6 after their 38-10 road defeat at Green Bay. The 49ers posted 241 yards with 44 rushing for 2.8 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 324 yards to the Packers with 169 rushing for 4 yards a carry. Brandon Allen completed 17 of 29 for 199 yards with a touchdown and pick. Buffalo sits at 9-2 with their 30-21 home win to Kansas City. The Bills produced 366 yards with 104 rushing for 3.4 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 259 yards to the Chiefs with 181 passing on 33 attempts. Josh Allen went 27 of 40 for 262 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Buffalo has a massive injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. The variance is 14 ratings points overall with wide injury advantages on both sides of the field about equally at 14. The 49ers are 1-4 to the spread on the road this season. The 49ers are allowing 26 points per game on the road this year. Their offense in their past three games is averaging 16.7 points with nearly two turnovers per game. Buffalo is this span is outscoring opponents by nearly 10 points per game with 7.3 yards per pass attempt. Snow with light winds forecasted with temperatures at 26 degrees. Play Buffalo -6.