Free College Football Picks Week 14 Part 4-11/30/2024
Oklahoma vs. LSU College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Oklahoma at LSU 7PM ET—Oklahoma improved to 6-5 following their 24-3 home win to Alabama. The Sooners gained 325 yards with 257 rushing for 5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 234 yards to the Crimson Tide with 70 rushing for 2.3 yards per run. Jackson Arnold completed 9 of 11 for 68 yards. He rushed for 131 yards. LSU is 7-4 with their 24-17 home win to Vanderbilt. The Tigers posted 471 yards with 139 rushing for 4.3 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 308 yards to the Commodores with 122 rushing for 5.1 yards per run. Garrett Nussmeier hit 28 of 37 for 332 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
With the offensive coordinator changed the Sooners have rebounded offensively. In their past three games they are averaging 35 points per game with 5.5 yards per run and 69% completion rate. The defense remained sound over this period. LSU defensive form poor for their standards as in their past three games allowing 29 points per game with 6.1 yards per rush and 7.7 yards per pass attempt. LSU has failed to cover four of six at home. Play Oklahoma +6.
Purdue vs. Indiana College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Purdue at Indiana 7PM ET—Purdue drops to 10-1 following their 24-17 road defeat to Michigan St. The Boilermakers gained 338 yards with -4 rushing for 19 attempts. On defense they allowed 293 yards to the Spartans with 159 passing on 31 attempts. Hudson Card hit 26 of 47 for 342 yards with a touchdown and interception. Indiana fell to 10-1 after their 38-15 road defeat at Ohio St. The Hoosiers gained 151 yards with 83 rushing for 2 yards per run. On defense they allowed 316 yards to the Buckeyes with 201 passing on 26 attempts. Kurtis Rourke completed 8 of 18 for 68 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
Purdue is very poor form as in their past three games averaging 9 points per game with 2.1 yards per run with 51% completions. In this period, they are allowing 5.1 yards per rush with 8.1 yards per pass attempt. The Hoosiers at home have piled up 44 points per game with 4.9 yards per run and 9.9 yards per pass attempt. Indiana has covered six of eight against the Big Ten with Purdue failed to cover 6 of 8 against the conference. Play Indiana -29.
Texas vs. Texas A&M College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Texas at Texas A&M 7:30PM ET—Texas improved to 10-1 following their 31-14 home victory to Kentucky. The Longhorns gained 441 yards with 250 rushing for 5.3 yards per run. On defense they held the Wildcats with 233 yards with 21 rushing on 30 carries. Quinn Ewers completed 20 of 31 for 191 yards and two touchdowns. Texas A&M fell to 8-3 with their 43-41 road defeat at Auburn. The Aggies gained 464 yards with 167 rushing for 3.2 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 469 yards to the Tigers with 301 passing on 31 attempts. Marcel Reed hit 22 of 35 for 297 yards with three touchdowns and a pick. He rushed for 66 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Longhorns in their road games are allowing 12.3 points per game with 2.9 yards per run and 5.5 yards per pass attempt. The Longhorns average eight points below overall average on the road. Texas A&M has defended better at home where they allow 14.8 points per game with 49% completion rate and 3.7 yards per rush. The Longhorns are 5-1 to the under in their road SEC games. Play Texas and Texas A&M under 49.
Kansas St vs. Iowa St College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Kansas St at Iowa St—Kansas St improved to 9-3 following their 41-15 home win to Cincinnati. The Wildcats gained 428 yards with 281 rushing for 7 yards per run. On defense they allowed 374 yards to the Bearcats with 174 rushing for 6 yards per run. Avery Johnson completed 13 of 23 for 147 yards and two touchdowns. He rushed for 72 yards and a touchdown. Iowa St is 9-2 after their 31-28 road win at Utah. The Cyclones put up 405 yards with 123 rushing for 3.2 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 224 yards to the Utes with 95 rushing for 3.4 yards per run. Rocco Becht went 20 of 38 for 256 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Kansas St on the road has struggled with their pass defense by allowing 71% completions for 8.5 yards per pass attempt. Pass accuracy has been an issue on the road for Kansas St. The Cyclones have defended well at home limiting teams to 17.7 points per game with only 51.4% completions. They have averaged 300 yards passing in their past three games for 8 yards per pass attempt. Play Iowa ST -2.
Washington vs. Oregon College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Washington at Oregon 7:30PM ET—Washington improved to 6-5 following their 31-19 home victory to UCLA. The Huskies gained 305 yards with 123 rushing for 4.1 yards per run. On defense the Huskies allowed 319 yards to the Bruins with 52 rushing on 33 attempts. Will Rogers completed 13 of 21 for 115 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Oregon is 11-0 with their 16-13 road win at Wisconsin. The Ducks put up 334 yards with 136 rushing for 3.4 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 226 yards to the Badgers with 96 passing on 28 attempts. Dillon Gabriel hit 22 of 31 for 218 yards and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Huskies at 0-5 to the spread on the road. Washington is putting up 15 points per game on the road. Oregon in their past three games is holding opponents to 3.4 yards per run with 4.8 yards per pass attempt. In this span and are rushing for 4.6 yards a carry with 7 yards per pass attempt. Play Oregon -18.
Virginia vs. Virginia Tech College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Virginia at Virginia Tech 8PM ET—Virginia is 5-6 with their 33-7 home defeat to SMU. The Cavaliers gained 173 yards with 65 rushing on 39 carries. On defense they allowed 434 the Mustangs with 323 passing on 33 attempts. Anthony Colandrea completed 18 of 27 for 108 yards and a touchdown. Virginia Tech drops to 5-6 following their 31-28 road defeat at Duke. The Hokies produced 403 yards with 190 rushing for 3.6 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 296 yards to the Blue Devils with 332 passing on 35 attempts. Kyron Drones is questionable with an injury and was limited in practice. With Schlee injured it could be third string Williams Watson at quarterback. Watson in relief last week hit 12 of 25 for 146 yards with an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Hokies have lost three straight with struggles on the ground game and 50% completion rate. The defense over this period is allowing 274 yards per game with 7.8 yards per pass attempt. The Cavaliers against the ACC is throwing for 245 yards per game with 7 yards per pass attempt. The Hokies quarterback situation is a concern. The Cavs are 3-0 to the spread on the road. Play Virginia +3.
Marshall vs. James Madison College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Marshall at James Madison—Marshall improved to 8-3 following their 42-35 road win at Old Dominion. The Thundering Herd gained 469 yards with 259 rushing for 6.2 yards per run. On defense they allowed 513 yards to the Monarchs with 286 rushing for 6.2 yards per run. Braylon Braxton went 13 of 24 for 210 yards and three touchdowns. He rushed for 140 yards. James Madison is 8-3 with their 34-20 road defeat at Appalachian St. The Dukes posted 390 yards with 168 rushing for 4.4 yards per rush. Defensively they allowed 361 yards to the Mountaineers with 216 passing on 23 attempts. Alonza Barnett went 21 of 26 for 232 yards with two touchdowns and a pick.
The Pick with the Explanation
JMU at home has pounded teams as they average 37 points per game with 5.4 yards per run and 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Their defense at home limits opponents to 8.4 points per game with 2.7 yards per rush and 5 yards per pass attempt. The Thundering Herd on the road allows 4.9 yards per run with 7.6 yards per pass attempt. Play James Madison -3.5.
Nevada vs. UNLV College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Nevada at UNLV 8PM ET—Nevada fell to 3-9 following their 22-19 home defeat to Air Force. The Wolf Pack gained 362 yards with 94 rushing for 3.8 yards per run. On defense they allowed 318 yards to the Falcons with no passing yards and 4.7 yards per run. Brendon Lewis completed 22 of 35 for 268 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He rushed for 53 yards. UNLV improved to 9-2 with their 27-16 road win at San Jose St. The Rebels put up 338 yards with 207 rushing for 3.2 yards per run. On defense they held the Spartans to 112 yards to the Spartans in heavy rain with 31 rushing on 25 attempts. Hajj Malik Williams hit 11 of 20 for 131 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Nevada on the road has struggled defending the run by allowing 203 yards rushing per game for 5.6 yards per run. UNLV has been a good home team this year averaging 41 points per game with 5.6 yards per rush and 9 yards per pass attempt. They have held opponents at home to 3.3 yards per run with 6.4 yards per pass attempt. Five straight losses for the Wolf Pack. Play UNLV -17.5.
Houston vs. BYU College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Houston at BYU—Houston fell to 4-7 following their 20-10 home defeat to Baylor. The Cougars gained 239 yards with 92 rushing for 3.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 325 yards to the Bears with 204 passing on 23 attempts. Zeon Chriss completed 13 of 24 for 126 yards and three interceptions. BYU sits at 9-2 after their 28-23 road defeat at Arizona St. The Cougars posted 391 yards with 94 rushing for 4.1 yards per run. Defensively they surrender 401 yards to the Sun Devils with 237 passing on 25 attempts. Jake Retzlaff hit 22 of 38 for 297 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
Houston Cougars have struggled offensively in their road games this season as they average 11.8 points per game with 3.6 yards per run. Turnovers and third down conversions have been a major issue. Defensively away from home they surrender 7.6 yards per pass attempt. BYU has been able to move the football effectively at home with 4.9 yards per run and 8.2 yards per pass attempt and putting up 34 points per game. Play BYU -13.
Air Force vs. San Diego St College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Air Force at San Diego St 10:30PM ET—Air Force improved to 4-7 after their 22-19 road win at Nevada. The Falcons put up 318 yards with no passing yards. They rushed for 4.7 yards per run. On defense they allowed 362 yards to the Wolf Pack with 268 passing on 35 attempts. Quentin Hayes completed 0 of 3 passes but rushed for 68 yards and a touchdown. San Diego St is 3-8 with their 41-20 road defeat to Utah St. The Aztecs gained 412 yards with 188 rushing for 4.9 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 488 yards to the Aggies with 322 rushing for 6.4 yards per run. Danny O’Neil hit 23 of 31 for 199 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
Air Force has show improvement offensively with their change at quarterback. In their past three games they have averaged 29 points per game with 311 yards rushing per game and 10.2 yards per pass attempt. The Aztecs in MWC play is putting up 22 points per game with 63% completions. But in their past three games they are allowing 34 points per game with 292 yards rushing with 6.6 yards per run. Play Air Force and San Diego St over 43.5.
New Mexico vs. Hawaii College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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New Mexico at Hawaii 11PM ET—New Mexico is 5-6 following their 38-35 home win to Washington St. The Lobos gained 534 yards with 360 rushing for 7.3 yards per run. On defense they allowed 547 yards to the Cougars with 375 passing on 36 attempts. Devon Dampier completed 11 of 25 for 174 yards and a touchdown. He rushed for 193 yards and three touchdowns. Hawaii drops to 4-7 with their 55-10 road defeat at Utah St. The Warriors gained 309 yards with 47 rushing on 31 attempts. Defensively they allowed 580 yards to the Aggies with 321 rushing for 7.6 yards per run. Brayden Schager hit 11 of 19 for 124 yards and three interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
New Mexico is one win away from bowl eligibility. But the Lobos defensively on the road are surrendering 37 points per game with 5.7 yards per run and 7.9 yards per pass attempt. Hawaii has defended well at home but limiting foes to 17.8 points per game with 58% completion rate. The Lobos have a -6-turnover margin on the road. The Warriors have covered four of five at home this year. They were competitive in their last home game to UNLV dropping a two-point decision. Play Hawaii +3.5.