Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz 4-21-22

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz 11/30/2024: NBA Picks

 

Game Time 9:30 pm EST
Dallas Mavericks Line -6.5
Utah Jazz Line +6.5
Total 233
TV: NBA TV

 

In this all-Western matchup between two teams on completely opposite directions, the Utah Jazz are hosting the Dallas Mavericks. The Jazz are one of the worst teams both in the West and in the whole league, even with the return of their star player Lauri Markkanen in the lineup, as they have won only once in their last seven games. On the other hand, the Mavs are playing without Luka Doncic, but they are performing extremely well, having lost only once in their last seven games.

 

Below is a detailed analysis for Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz game.

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Prediction

Utah Jazz Injury Report: John Collins, Lauri Markkanen, Jordan Clarkson, Kyle Fillipowski and Drew Eubanks are day-to-day, Taylor Hendricks is out.

Dallas Mavericks Injury Report: Daniel Gafford and Klay Thompson are day-to-day, Luka Doncic and Dante Exum are out

Utah Jazz Recent Form and Trends

The Jazz have a 4-14 record this season and are sitting on the second to last place of the West. The Jazz are 8-10 against the spread and 8-10 in over/under. Utah has a 2-7 record, but 3-6 against the spread with an -11.2-point differential. The Jazz are 1-6 in their last 7 games. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 home games.

 

The Jazz are coming off a 103-122 loss by the Nuggets, as they shot with just 42% from the field, while allowing Denver to shoot with 55%. Collin Sexton led Utah’s offense with 26 points and 4 assists.

 

Lauri Markkanen leads the Jazz in scoring with 19.5 points, adding 6.6 rebounds per game. John Collins adds 17.9 points and 8.8 rebounds, but both are questionable for today.

 

Dallas Mavericks Recent Form and Trends

The Mavs have a 11-8 record this season and are sitting on the 8th place of the West. The Mavs are 10-8-1 against the spread and 10-8-1 in over/under. Dallas has a 4-5 road record, and are 4-4-1 against the spread, with a -0.3-point differential. The Mavs are 6-1 in their last 7 games. Over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games.

 

The Mavericks are coming off a 129-114 home victory against the Knicks, as they shot the ball incredibly well, with 56% from the field and 52% from downtown. They had four players with 20+ points, led by Naji Marshall with 24.

 

Luka Doncic leads the Mavs in scoring with 28.1 points, adding 7.6 rebounds and a team-high 7.6 assists per game, but he is out with an injury. Kyrie Irving adds 24.5 points, 4.7 rebounds and 5.4 assists.

 

Statistical Breakdown

Offensively, the Jazz are averaging just 109.4 points per game, which ranks 23rd in the league. Utah shoots with 45% from the field (22nd) and with 34.7% from beyond the arc (21st). Defensively, they rank 27th in the NBA, allowing 119.2 points per game.

 

Offensively, the Mavs average 117.5 points per game, which ranks 7th in the NBA. They shoot 48.4% from the field (5th) and 35.6% from beyond the arc (16th). Defensively, the Mavs allow 111.3 points per game, which is 10th in the league.

 

Both teams are tied 1-1 wins so far this season, with each one winning at home. In their previous meeting in Utah, the Jazz won 115-113. The Mavs are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Jazz, but Utah is 3-0 against the spread in their last 3 meetings in Utah. Under is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.

 

Prediction

In this Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Prediction, the Mavericks are coming as -6.5 road favorites. The Jazz have their three best scorers questionable for this game, and they struggled even with them in the lineup. They are facing a red-hot Mavericks team, who has found a way to win even without Luka Doncic. Dallas is better both offensively, scoring 8.1 points more than Utah, and defensively, allowing 7.9 points less. There is no way I can make a case for this Jazz team, even as home dogs, so pick the Dallas Mavericks and lay the points on the road.

 

Nick’s Pick: Dallas Mavericks -6.5