Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks 09/30/23

Texas vs Texas A&M Saturday 11/30 NCAAF Week 14 Picks

Texas vs Texas A&M 11/30/24 Game Information

When: Saturday, November 30, 2024 at 7:30 EST/4:30 PST
Where: Kyle Field (Grass) College Station, Texas 
Texas vs Texas A&M Line: Texas -5.5
Total: 48.5
TV: ABC, ESPN+

Texas vs Texas A&M Preview

No. 3-ranked Texas (10-1, 6-1 in SEC) locks horns with rivals and No. 20-ranked Texas A&M (8-3, 5-2 in SEC) on Saturday night in College Station in the last Regular Season game for both. The Longhorns will be looking to play four more games if it is in the cards, the 2024 Southeastern Conference Championship Game vs Georgia on Saturday, December 7 (ABC, 4 EST/3 CST/1 PST) if they can beat the Aggies here, and then in the Quarterfinals, Semifinals and Championship Game (January 20) of the inaugural College Football Playoff. If Texas wins here and all higher-seeds win, the Longhorns could face a gauntlet of having to play A&M, Notre Dame, Penn State, and Oregon. The Aggies are the No. 20-seed and won’t be in the CFP, so messing up Texas would make them happy.

Texas Needs Win to Make SEC Championship Game

Texas (6-5-0 ATS, 4-6-1 O/U) has just one loss—in Austin to Georgia whom it may have to face again in the SEC Championship Game next weekend—so losing here may only affect the possibility of a First Round Bye in the Big Pigskin Dance. In their last game the Longhorns (-220 Moneyline) beat Kentucky in their first meeting with Texas in the SEC (31-14) as Texas failed to cover ATS for the 4th time in its last 5 games. In this series vs Texas A&M, the Longhorns have won 3 of the last 4 meetings—all previously played on Thanksgiving Day—and the Longhorns lead the all-time series 76-37-5. Last year it was 27-25 Texas in College Station while two years ago Texas A&M won in Austin (24-17).

Texas Betting Trends

  • Texas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
  • The Under is 5-1-1 in the Longhorns last 7 games overall
  • Texas is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games overall
  • The Longhorns last 3 losses have been to GA, WASH, OK
  • The Under is 4-2 in the last 6 in this rivalry series

Texas A&M Will Prove to be Tough For Texas Here

Texas A&M (3-8-0 ATS, 7-4-0 O/U) has been bad ATS this season but good in the Totals market for Over players. The Aggies were in the thick of the CFP picture with a 7-1 overall record but losses to South Carolina (44-20) and Auburn (43-41, 4 OTs) sent the 12th Man to the local watering hole to drown his sorrows and yell at the TV. The Aggies have a number of quality wins this season (LSU, Mississippi State, Missouri, Arkansas, and Florida) and had a 7-game win streak, but the first loss to Notre Dame in the season opener meant an uphill climb for this team, knowing that their SEC Regular Season schedule, like it always is, would be a walk through a gridiron minefield.

Texas A&M Betting Trends

  • Texas A&M has lost 3 straight ATS (AUB, NMSU, SC)
  • The Over is 7-3-0 in the Aggies last 10 games 
  • Texas A&M is 2-1 ATS in the last 3 series meetings
  • The Over is 4-0 in Texas A&M’s 4 Road games this year
  • Texas A&M has scored 34 or more points in 5 of its last 6 games

Texas vs Texas A&M Pick and Prediction

This Texas vs Texas A&M prediction and free NCAAF pick will look to the Totals market with the Aggies able to put points up on the scoreboard and having nothing to lose and the Longhorns having to score if they get behind just to try to win and make that aforementioned SEC Championship Game and potential rematch vs Georgia. The last 5 meetings between these two have seen 52, 41, 88, 58, and 68 points, so with the Aggies such a strong Over team and the number relatively low, backing the Over is the prescription here in the Lone Star State. Shop around for a 48 if you can find one. The current market at online sportsbooks is in the 48.5 to 49 range. 

Kevin’s Pick: Texas-Texas A&M Over 48.5