Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers 12-16-2023 NBA Game Preview, Tips and Predictions

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction 11/29/2024

 

Game Time 2:30 pm EST
Cleveland Cavaliers Line -4.5
Atlanta Hawks Line +4.5
Total 247
TV: NBA TV

 

In a rematch of Wednesday’s game, where shockingly the Hawks won outright inside Cleveland, they are now hosting the Cleveland Cavaliers back in Atlanta. The Cavs are having one of their best starts of their history, but on Wednesday their suffered their second loss against a team with half of their wins. The Cavs will be looking to avoid their first losing streak of the season, while the Hawks ended their previous 3-game losing streak and are looking to continue on the winning ways.

 

Below is a detailed analysis for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks game.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

Atlanta Hawks Injury Report: Cody Zeller is out

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury Report: Caris LeVert, Dean Wade are day-to-day, Emoni Bates and Max Strus are out

Atlanta Hawks Recent Form and Trends

The Atlanta Hawks have an 8-11 record this season and are sitting on the 11th place of the East. The Hawks are 7-12 against the spread and 14-5 in over/under. Atlanta has a 4-5 home record, but 2-7 against the spread, with a -4-point differential. The Hawks are 1-3 in their last 4 games, and 3-0 to the over in their last 3.

 

The Hawks are coming off a 135-124 road win in Cleveland, as they caught fire from deep with 20 made threes on a 48% shooting. They had seven players in double digit scoring, and three with 20+ points. De’Andre Hunter led Atlanta’s offense with 26 points with 5 triples and 5 rebounds.

 

Trae Young leads the Knicks both in scoring with 21.8 points, and in assists made with 12.5 per game. Jalen Johnson adds 20.1 points and a team-high 10.3 rebounds.

 

Cleveland Cavaliers Recent Form and Trends

The Cavaliers have a 17-2 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the East. They are 14-5 against the spread and 13-6 in over/under. Cleveland has a 7-1 road record, and 6-2 against the spread with a +9.5-point differential. The Cavaliers are 2-2 in their last four games and 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games. Over is 6-1 in their last 7 games.

 

The Cavaliers are coming off a 124-135 home loss by the Hawks, as they shot with 46% from the field but just 31% from deep.  Donovan Mitchell led Cleveland’s offense with 30 points, adding 4 rebounds and 7 assists.

 

Mitchell leads the Cavaliers in scoring with 24.7 points, adding 4.4 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game. Darius Garland adds 20.2 points and a team-high 6.9 assists per game.

 

Statistical Breakdown

Offensively, the Hawks average 116.6 points per game, which ranks 9th in the NBA. They shoot with 46% from the field (19th), and with 34.8% from beyond the arc (22nd). Defensively, they are the third-worse team in the NBA, allowing 121.2 points per game.

 

Offensively, the Cavaliers lead the league with 123.5 points per game. The Cavs boast the best percentages both in field goals, with 51.7%, and in 3-pointers, with 40.8%. Defensively, they rank 10th in the NBA, allowing 112.3 points per game.

 

 

The Hawks are 4-1 in their last 5 home meetings against the Cavs. The Cavaliers are 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 meetings. Under is 6-3 in their last 9 meetings.

Prediction

In this Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, the Cavs are coming as -4.5 road favorites, and even though they are the favorites for a bounce-back win, I’m taking a look at the huge 247-point total. This is an overreaction to Wednesday’s 259-point game, but I expect this to get under the total. The Hawks, even though they have the third-worse defense, they have 237.9 average total points this season, mainly because of their below average shooting percentages. I also expect the Cavs to perform better defensively, so I will take the under 247 points with confidence.

 

Nick’s Pick: Under 247