Tennessee vs Vanderbilt 11/30/24 Game Information

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Preview

No. 9 Tennessee (9-2, 5-2 in SEC) faces rivals Vanderbilt (6-5, 3-4 in SEC) in Nashville on Saturday in a showdown more important to the visitors than the host Commodores. With the release of Tuesday’s College Football Playoff rankings, the Volunteers were seeded No. 9 and would be on the Road for a First Round game at SEC counterparts Georgia (No.8), but expect that to change after this weekend’s play. The big question in this game for Vanderbilt will be the availability and total health of QB Diego Pavia who injured himself in the Commodores second-to-last game vs South Carolina (L, 28-7). In their last game, Tennessee did a number on UTEP (56-0) in a non-conference mismatch in Knoxville while Vaderbilt fell to LSU (24-27) in Baton Rouge in Week 13. Both teams have qualified for Bowl games but the Volunteers (22/1 to win CFP, DraftKings) want to be a part of the first-ever 12-team CFP tournament next month.

Tennessee Holds in Own Destiny in Its Hands Now

Tennessee (6-5-0 ATS, 6-5-0 O/U) is led by QB Nico Iamaleava (2,255 passing yards, 15 TD, 4 Interceptions), RB Dylan Sampson (1,307 rushing yards, 22 TDs), and WR Dont’e Thornton Jr. (529 receiving yards, 4 TD) and this team is averaging 37.4 ppg (Tied #13) with a very balanced 228.5 passing yards per game (#64) and 228.1 rushing yards per game (#9), But where this team is really shining this 2024 NCAA Football season is on defense where the Vols (-395 Moneyline) are allowing just 13.1 ppg (#4).

Tennessee Betting Trends

• Tennessee is 5-5-0 in its last 10 both ATS and in the Totals market 
• The Over is 3-1 in the Volunteers last 4 games overall, 2-0 the last 2
• The Volunteers are 0-2 SU/ATS in the SEC this season (ARK, GA)
• Tennessee is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games overall
• Tennessee has scored 71 (Kent State), 56 (UTEP), and 51 (NC State)

Vanderbilt in a Volunteer State Spoilers Role Here

Vanderbilt (8-3-0 ATS, 5-5-1 O/U) has proven to be a good team to bet on this campaign, and expect Pavia (2,029 passing yards, 16 TD, 3 Interceptions, 671 rushing yards, 4 TD) to go here. With WR E Stowers (568 receiving yards, 4 TD), Pavia has a nice weapon but the Commodores (+310 Moneyline) don’t have the same caliber skill position players, nor the defense to pull off the upset here as they did earlier this season against Alabama. That notion is romantic, but not very realistic for this spot, as Tennessee won’t want to lose to their in-state rivals in the last Regular Season game of the year and see its CFP hopes go swirling down the drain in the SEC’s smallest stadium.

Vanderbilt Betting Trends

• Vanderbilt is 6-2 ATS in its last games overall
• The Under is 5-0-1 the last 6 after 4 straight Overs
• The Commodores have scored just 31 points in their last 3 games
• The Vols had twice as many Total Yards and Vandy last year (617-306)
• Tennessee leads the all-time series, 78-32-5

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Pick and Prediction

Tennessee has won the last 5 meetings in this fierce rivalry and last year, the Volunteers thumped Vanderbilt, 48-24 at Rocky Top and have scored 191 points the last 4 meetings (47.8 ppg). Tennessee has gone 7-3 SU in the last 10 meetings but just 3-7 ATS with the Over hitting 3 of the last 4 series meetings. Vandy has scored 72 points in the last 5 meetings (14.4 ppg). The Commodores won 3 straight SU from 2016 to 2018.This Tennessee vs Vanderbilt prediction and free NCAAF pick will advise laying the lumber and take the burnt orange team with so much more at stake and the one whose defense is playing like it never has before.

Kevin’s Pick: Tennessee -10.5 (DraftKings)