Game Time | 10:00 pm EST |
Oklahoma City Thunder Line | -2.5 |
Golden State Warriors Line | +2.5 |
Total | 231 |
TV: | NBA TV |
In this high caliber duel between the two best teams currently in the West, the Golden State Warriors are hosting the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Warriors recently lost the top place of the conference by losing back-to-back games, and are now looking to bounce back. On the other hand, the Thunder have been doing great even without their starting center Chet Holmgren out of the lineup, as they have lost only twice in their last seven games, and have risen on the top of the West.
Below is a detailed analysis for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors game.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
Golden State Warriors Injury Report: Jonathan Kuminga is day-to-day, De’Anthony Melton is out.
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report: Alex Caruso, Osmani Dieng, Cason Wallace are day-to-day, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams and Nikola Topic are out for the Thunder
Golden State Warriors Recent Form and Trends
The Warriors have a 12-5 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the West. They are 10-7 against the spread and 10-7 in over/under. Golden State has a 5-2 home record, but 4-3 against the spread, with a +6.9-point differential. The Warriors are coming off back-to-back losses but are 5-3 in their last 8 games. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 games.
The Warriors are coming off a 120-128 home defeat by the Brooklyn Nets, as they once again failed to keep a big lead, and fell apart in the fourth quarter. Steph Curry led Golden State’s offense with 28 points with 8 triples, adding 4 rebounds and 7 assists.
Curry leads the Warriors in scoring with 22.4 points, adding 5.4 rebounds and a team-high 6.5 assists per game. Andrew Wiggins adds 17.5 points and 4.4 rebounds per game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Recent Form and Trends
The Oklahoma City Thunder has 13-4 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the West. The Thunder are 10-6-1 against the spread and 8-9 in over/under. OKC has a 5-2 road record and 5-2 against the spread, with a +11.9-point differential. Oklahoma City is 5-2 in their last 7 games, and 4-2 to the under in their last 6.
The Thunder are coming off a 130-109 win on the road against the Sacramento Kings, shooting the ball very well, with 56% from the field. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led OKC’s offense with a game-high 37 points, adding 4 rebounds and a team-high 11 assists.
Shai leads the Thunder both in scoring with 29.2 points, and in assists made with 6.5, adding 5.1 rebounds per game. Jalen Williams adds 22.1 points, 6.5 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Warriors are 5th-best in the league with 117.7 points per game. The Dubs are 12th in field goal percentage with 46.6% and 7th-best in 3-point percentage with 38.1%. Defensively, they rank 5th in the NBA, allowing 109.9 points per game.
Offensively, the Thunder are scoring 115.2 points per game, ranking 11th in the league. They shoot 46.2% from the field (15th) and 34.9% from beyond the arc (18th). Defensively, they are the second-best team in the NBA, allowing 103.9 points per game.
In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Warriors won in OKC, 127-116. The Thunder are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Warriors, and have won two straight meetings in Golden State. Over is 9-0 in their last 9 meetings.
Prediction
In this Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, the Thunder are coming as -2.5 road favorites. Warriors have the upper hand at home, but I cannot pick them against this red-hot Thunder team, especially how they played in their last two games, blowing big leads against the Spurs and the Nets. Both teams are 8-3 to the under in their last 11 games combined. They have been two of the top-5 defensive teams in the NBA this season, holding opponents into just 213.8 points per game combined. This will be like a playoff-type game so expect the elite defenses to step up. Take the under.
Nick’s Pick: Under 231