Game Time | 8:30 pm EST |
Los Angeles Lakers Line | -2.5 |
San Antonio Spurs Line | +2.5 |
Total | 226.5 |
TV: | NBA TV |
Both teams playing their second leg of a back-to-back, as the San Antonio Spurs are hosting the Los Angeles Lakers. The Spurs had to travel back from Utah for this game, while the Lakers are playing their second straight road game. San Antonio has been on a three-game winning streak, and are looking to extend it, as the team is rolling with Wemby back on the lineup. On the other hand, the Lakers have back-to-back losses following a six-game losing streak and are looking to stop the bleeding.
Below is a detailed analysis for Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs game.
Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
San Antonio Spurs Injury Report: Jeremy Sochan is out
Los Angeles Lakers Injury Report: Quincy Olivari, Bronny James are day-to-day, Jarred Vanderbilt, Jaxon Hayes and Christian Wood are out.
San Antonio Spurs Recent Form and Trends
The Spurs have a 9-8 record this season and are sitting on the 10th place of the West. The Spurs are 9-8 against the spread and 8-9 in over/under. San Antonio has an 8-3 home record, and 7-4 against the spread with a +6.2-point differential. The Spurs have three consecutive wins and are 3-1 to the under in their last 4 games.
The Spurs are coming off a 104-94 win at home against the Golden State Warriors, with a huge comeback in the fourth quarter, overcoming a 17-point deficit. The Spurs held their opponents into just 38% from the field and were led in scoring by Victor Wembanyama with 25 points, 7 rebounds and a team-high 9 assists, but he shot just 4-13 from beyond the arc.
Wembanyama leads the Spurs both in scoring with 22.9 points, and in rebounding with 10.2 per game. Wemby also leads the NBA in blocks per game with 3.6, and he has improved his shot as of late, and now sits at 46.8% field goal percentage.
Los Angeles Lakers Recent Form and Trends
The Lakers have a 10-6 record this season and are sitting on the fourth place of the West. LA is 7-9 against the spread and 9-7 in over/under. The Lakers have a 3-4 road record, but 2-5 against the spread, with a -5.9-point differential. The Lakers are 6-2 in their last 8 games, but just 1-5 against the spread in their last 6. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 games.
The Lakers are coming off a 102-127 loss by the Denver Nuggets, as they played dreadful defense, allowing their opponents to shoot with 61% from the field and 50% from beyond the arc. The Lakers shot with just 44% from the field and were led in scoring by Austin Reeves with 19 points and 6 assists.
Anthony Davis leads the Lakers both in scoring with 30.1 points and in rebounding with 11.1 per game, as he is having one of the best seasons of his career so far. LeBron James adds 23.6 points, 8.1 rebounds and a team-high 9.1 assists.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Spurs average 109.8 points per game, which ranks 23rd in the NBA. They shoot 45.8% from the field (16th) and 34.8% from beyond the arc (18th). Defensively, they are the 6th-best team in the NBA, allowing 109.2 points per game.
Offensively, the Lakers average 116.4 point per game, ranking 7th in the league. LA boasts strong shooting percentages, with 48.2% from the field (4th) and 37.5% from beyond the arc (8th). Defensively, they have been less effective, allowing 116.9 points per game, which ranks 24th in the NBA.
In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Lakers won in San Antonio, 120-115. The Lakers are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against the Spurs, but the Spurs are 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 meetings. Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 meetings.
Prediction
In this Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, the Lakers are coming as -2.5 road favorites. I have no interest in backing this Lakers team on the road, where they have been losing by an average of 6 points this season. On the other hand, the Spurs have been very good at home and have a strong +6.2-point differential. This is a classic spot where the public favorite Lakers will get minus points on the road, even though they don’t deserve it. The value here lies totally on the home team, so take as much plus points you can with the Spurs in this one. Take the San Antonio Spurs to cover at home in this one.
Nick’s Pick: San Antonio Spurs +2.5