Auburn vs Alabama 11/30/24 Game Information

Auburn vs Alabama Preview

Auburn (5-6, 2-5 in SEC) locks horns with rivals Alabama (8-3, 4-3 in SEC) in the Iron Bowl on Saturday afternoon in Tuscaloosa in the last Regular Season game of the season and a chance for the Tigers to qualify for a Bowl game with a victory. The Moneyline market shows the Crimson Tide big Favorites (+450) with Auburn solid Underdogs (+350). Tuesday’s College Football Playoff rankings came out and showed Alabama as the No. 13 seed and not even making the Bracket, so that third loss (Oklahoma last weekend) killed this team and the Crimson TIde will have to win here and hope for some big upsets in Week 14 and the Conference Championship games in Week 15 and Week 16. For now, the SEC has three teams in the Big Pigskin Dance in No. 2 Texas, No. 8 Georgia, and No. 9 Tennessee. 

Auburn Can Become Bowl Eligible With a Win Here

Auburn (6-5-0 ATS, 5-6-0 O/U) is led on offense by QB Payton Thorne (2,412 passing yards), RB Jarquez Hunter (1,145 rushing yards), and WR Keandre Lambert-Smith (865 receiving yards) and the War Eagles rank 34th in Passing Yards (260.5 pg), 53rd in Rushing Yards (171.8 pg), and are tied for 52nd in Points Per Game (31.0). On defense is where Auburn will have to excel to win this game and they rank tied for No. 29, allowing just 20.7 ppg. In last year’s Iron Bowl Alabama won 27-24 for its 4th straight win in the series which the Crimson Tide now lead, 50-37-1.

Auburn Betting Trends

• Auburn lost 4 straight this season (ARK, OK, GA, OLE MISS)
• Auburn has been outscored by Bama by 56 in the last 4 (86 PF-142 PA)
• The Tigers have scored 91 points in their last 2 games (48, 43)
• One of these two have been ranked in every series meeting since 2005
• Auburn and the Over are 2-0-0 the last 2 games overall

No. 12 Alabama Pretty Much Playing For Nothing Now

Alabama (6-5-0 ATS, 6-5-0 O/U) is driven by team heartbeat and QB Jalen Milroe, who leads the Crimson Tide in Passing (2,396 yards) and Rushing (615 yards) with star Freshman WR Ryan Williams (804 receiving yards) one of his prime speedy targets. The early season loss to Vanderbilt woke Bama up, but the loss at then-No. 11 Tennessee put them in a win-or-forget-about-the-CFP position with that aforementioned Week 13 loss to Oklahoma putting the car in the shop. A win here is necessary but it’s hard to see any scenario where the committee will put a 3-loss team in the 12-team tournament, even an esteemed and iconic program like Alabama.

Alabama Betting Trends

• Alabama went 1-3 SU on the Road in SEC play this season 
• The Under is 4-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last 5 games overall
• The Crimson TIde have been Favorites in 10 of 11 games this year (GA -2)
• The Under went 3-0-0 in Alabama’s last 3 Road games
• Alabama had 0 TO’s in last year’s meeting to Auburn’s 3
• Both teams scored in every Quarter in last year’s Iron Bowl

Auburn vs Alabama Pick and Prediction

The big problem here is pegging the Home team to cover the Point Spread is motivation. Sure, Alabama wants to beat its fierce rivals Auburn here, and sure, they have to win right? But for what? To play in a better Bowl game? Come on man. The wind was taken out of this team’s sails with the loss to the Sooners and whether they have 3 or 4 losses when they wake up Sunday morning, it still won’t matter. Winning by 1 to 11 will suit this team just fine and even if they lose, they really haven’t lost anything but a little more pride. This Auburn vs Alabama prediction and free NCAAF pick will say take the points and shop for a 12 with the Tigers if you can find it. This one opened at 15.5 so all of the Sharp money has been put on the visitors.

Kevin’s Pick: Auburn +11.5