Free College Football Picks Week 14 Part 3-11/30/2024
Arizona St vs. Arizona College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Arizona St at Arizona 3:30PM ET—Arizona St improved to 9-2 following their 28-23 home win to BYU. The Sun Devils gained 401 yards with 154 rushing for 3.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 391 yards to the Cougars with 94 rushing for 4.1 yards per run. Sam Leavitt completed 16 of 25 for 247 yards with a touchdown and interception. Arizona sits at 4-7 after their 49-28 road defeat at TCU. The Wildcats put up 321 yards with 38 rushing on 22 carries. Defensively they allowed 450 yards to the Horned Frogs with 303 passing on 29 attempts. Noah Fifita went 29 of 44 for 284 yards with two touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
ASU defensively on the road allows 23.4 points per game with 5.9 yards per pass attempt and 4.4 yards per run. Away from home they average 252 yards passing per game with 8.2 yards per pass attempt. The Wildcats defense in poor form as in their past three games allowing 36 points, 5.1 yards per run and 70% completions for 9.6 yards per pass attempt. ASU has covered nine of eleven games this season. Arizona has failed to cover five of six at home. Play Arizona ST -8.5.
Fresno St vs. UCLA College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Fresno St at UCLA 3:30PM ET—Fresno St improved to 6-5 following their 28-22 home win to Colorado St. The Bulldogs gained 343 yards with 162 rushing for 4.9 yards per run. On defense they allowed 422 yards to the Rams with 302 passing on 50 attempts. Mikey Keene completed 20 of 28 for 181 yards with two touchdowns. UCLA fell to 4-7 after their 19-13 home defeat to USC. The Bruins put up 376 yards with 111 rushing for 4.3 yards per run. On defense they allowed 346 yards to the Trojans with 260 passing on 36 attempts. Ethan Garbers hit 20 of 29 for 265 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Fresno St in their road games have completed 70% of their passes for 256 yards and 8 yards per pass attempt. Their defensive form was good in their past three games. UCLA is putting up only 15.2 points per game at home as they rush for 3.6 yards per run and a -6-turnover margin. Fresno St is 2-0 to the spread on the road against teams that average 120 yards rushing or fewer. UCLA is 0-3 to the spread at home when favored between 7.5 and 14 points. Play Fresno St +9.5.
FAU vs. Tulsa College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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FAU at Tulsa 3:30PM ET—FAU drops to 2-9 following their 39-27 home defeat to Charlotte. The Owls gained 458 yards with 279 rushing for 5.6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 442 yards to the 49ers with 396 passing on 30 attempts. Kasen Weisman missed the game with a foot injury and is questionable here. Tyriq Starks completed 12 of 23 for 179 yards and a touchdown. Tulsa fell to 3-8 with their 63-30 road defeat at USF. The Golden Hurricane put up 478 yards with 223 rushing for 4.7 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 715 yards to the Bulls with 407 passing on 39 attempts. Cooper Legas went 10 of 25 for 113 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
FAU defensive form is poor as in their past three games allowing 35 points with 319 yards passing for 10.3 yards per pass attempt. In this span they have been ineffective and inaccurate at the quarterback position. Tulsa at home puts up 31 points per game with 261 yards passing for 7.5 yards per pass attempt. FAU is 1-4 to the spread on the road this year. Play Tulsa +1.5.
California vs. SMU College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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CAL at SMU 3:30PM ET—California improved to 6-5 following their 24-21 home victory to Stanford. The Golden Bears gained 371 yards with 72 rushing for 2.4 yards per run. On defense they allowed 259 yards to the Cardinal with 118 rushing for 3 yards per run. Fernando Mendoza completed 25 of 36 for 299 yards and three touchdowns. SMU is 10-1 with their 33-7 road win at Virginia. The Mustangs put up 434 yards with 111 rushing for 3.2 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 173 yards to the Cavs with 65 rushing for 1.7 yards per run. Kevin Jennings went 25 of 33 for 323 yards with two touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Cal has covered three of four on the road on a strength of a defense that allows 20 points per game. They held their opponents on the highway to 3.5 yards per run with 43.3% completions. They have moved the football effectively on the road. SMU missed the cover in their prior home game to BC winning by ten. The Golden Bears have a +13-turnover margin. Play California +13.5.
Arkansas vs. Missouri College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Arkansas vs. Missouri 3:30PM ET—Arkansas improved to 6-5 following their 35-14 home victory to Louisiana Tech. The Razorbacks gained 454 yards with 233 rushing for 5.8 yards per run. On defense they allowed 229 yards to the Bulldogs with 39 rushing on 33 attempts. Taylen Green completed 20 of 37 for 221 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. He rushed for 61 yards and two touchdowns. Missouri improved to 8-3 after their 39-20 road win at Mississippi St. The Tigers put up 472 yards with 204 rushing for 3.6 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 338 yards to the Bulldogs with 147 rushing for 6.7 yards per run. Brady Cook went 15 of 20 for 268 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Arkansas has been able to move the football effectively on the road with 5.8 yards per run with 313 yards passing for 8.7 yards per pass attempt. They have averaged 40 points per game on the road and have defended well by allowing 19.8 points per game. The Tigers defense in their past three games are allowing 64% completions for 8.1 yards per pass attempt. The Razorbacks are 5-0 to the spread on the road. Play Arkansas +3.5.
Auburn vs. Alabama College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Auburn at Alabama 3:30PM ET—Auburn improved to 5-6 following their 43-41 home win to Texas A&M. The Tigers gained 469 yards with 168 rushing for 4.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 464 yards to the Aggies with 297 passing on 35 attempts. Payton Thorne completed 19 of 31 for 301 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He rushed for 38 yards. Alabama fell to 8-3 after their 24-3 road defeat in Oklahoma. The Crimson Tide gained 234 yards with 70 rushing for 2.3 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 325 yards to the Sooners with 257 rushing for 5.1 yards per run. Jalen Milroe hit 11 of 26 for 163 yards and three interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
Auburn offense is in good form in their past three games as they are putting up 33 points per game with 281 passing for 8.7 yards per pass attempt. In this period, they have limited opponents to 2.5 yards per run with 54% completions. Alabama quarterback accuracy poor in their past three games with 57.5% completion rate. Alabama pass defense against the SEC is not elite by allowing 7.2 yards per pass attempt plus they allow 4.1 yards per run. The Tigers are 3-1 to the spread on the road as an underdog of +10.5 to 21 points. Play Auburn +21.5.
Maryland vs. Penn St College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Maryland at Penn St 3:30PM ET—Maryland drops to 4-7 following their 29-13 home defeat to Iowa. The Terrapins gained 227 yards with 98 rushing for 3.8 yards per run. On defense they allowed 344 yards to the Hawkeyes with 268 rushing for 4.6 yards per run. Billy Edwards completed 5 of 8 passes for 26 yards. Penn St is 10-1 after their 26-25 road win at Minnesota. The Nittany Lions put up 361 yards with 117 rushing for 3.5 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 281 yards to the Golden Gophers with 106 rushing for 2.9 yards per run. Drew Allar went 21 of 28 for 244 yards and a touchdown. He had a rushing touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Terrapins defense in their past three games is allowing 166 yards passing with 6.4 yards per pass attempt. The Nittany Lions pass defense in this span allows 170 yards with 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Penn St has failed to cover four of six at home this season. They are 1-4 to the spread as a home favorite of 21.5 to 31 points. Play Maryland +24.5.
Notre Dame vs. USC College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Notre Dame at USC 3:30PM ET—Notre Dame improves to 10-1 after their 49-14 victory to Army in Yankee Stadium. The Fighting Irish gained 462 yards with 273 rushing for 9.4 yards per run. On defense they allowed 233 yards to the Black Knights with 207 rushing for 3.6 yards per run. Riley Leonard hit 10 of 13 for 148 yards and two touchdowns. USC is 6-5 with their 19-13 road win at UCLA. The Trojans put up346 yards with 86 rushing for 3 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 276 yards to the Bruins with 265 passing on 29 attempts. Jayden Maiva completed 19 of 35 for 221 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Trojans have played their best football at home. The road is a different story. They rush for 6.1 yards per run at home and complete 68% of their passes for 7.6 yards per pass attempt. The defense holds opponents to 16.8 points per game at home with only 3.8 yards per run. Notre Dame’s last one possession game was a seven-point win to Louisville. They pounded two service academies and some down ACC schools. The Trojans are 12-7 to the spread at home. Play USC +7.5.
Jacksonville St vs. Western Kentucky College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Jacksonville St at Western Kentucky 4PM ET—Jacksonville St improved to 8-3 following their 21-11 home win to Sam Houston St. The Gamecocks put up 332 yards with 278 rushing for 4.8 yards per run. On defense they held the Bearkats to 259 yards with 84 passing on 27 attempts. Tyler Huff completed 9 of 12 for 54 yards. He rushed for 177 yards and three touchdowns. Western Kentucky drops to 7-4 with their 38-21 road defeat at Liberty. The Hilltoppers put up 368 yards with 106 rushing for 3.9 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 556 yards to the Flames with 419 rushing for 6.7 yards per run. Caden Veltkamp went 20 of 34 for 262 yards with two touchdowns and three picks.
The Pick with the Explanation
Jacksonville St on the road is allowing 34 points per game and surrenders 8.5 yards per pass attempt. WKU has passed the football well at home with 69% completion rate with 8.9 yards per pass attempt. The Hilltoppers hold opponents to 12.8 points per game at home with 5.2 yards per pass attempt. WKU is 2-0 to the spread at home when lined at +3 to -3. Play Western Kentucky -1.5.
UTEP vs. New Mexico St College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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UTEP at New Mexico St 4PM ET—UTEP drops to 2-9 following their 56-0 road defeat to Tennessee. The Miners gained 230 yards with 81 rushing for 2.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 460 yards to the Volunteers with 241 rushing for 6.2 yards per run. Skyler Locklear completed 10 of 19 for 50 yards and an interception. New Mexico St is 3-8 with their 36-21 road win at Middle Tennessee St. The Aggies posted 382 yards with 145 rushing for 4 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 447 yards to the Blue Raiders with 170 rushing for 6.1 yards per run. Parker Awad hit 12 of 16 for 221 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
In their past three games the Aggies have rushed for 4.6 yards per carry and averaged 7.3 yards per pass attempt. The Miners offense in this period is poor with 2.9 yards per run with 6 yards per pass attempt. UTEP has averaged 10 points per game on the road. The Aggies are 7-0 to the spread at home against the conference. Play New Mexico St -3.
Kennesaw St vs. Louisiana Tech College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Kennesaw St at Louisiana Tech 4PM ET—Kennesaw St improved to 2-9 after their 27-26 home win to FIU. The Bearkats gained 358 yards with 172 rushing for 4.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 400 yards to the Panthers with 204 passing on 22 attempts. Davis Bryson hit 17 of 29 for 185 yards. He rushed for 45 yards and two touchdowns. Louisiana Tech drops to 4-7 with their 35-14 road defeat to Arkansas. The Bulldogs produced 229 yards with 39 rushing on 33 carries. Defensively they allowed 454 yards to the Razorbacks with 233 rushing for 5.8 yards per run. Evan Bullock hit 26 of 43 for 190 yards and two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
Louisiana Tech is a poor running team even at home. They have thrown well at home with 263 yards passing per game with 9.2 yards per pass attempt. Kennesaw St in their past three games average averaging 26 points per game. In this period, they are allowing 72% completion rate for 8.1 yards per pass attempt. Louisiana Tech is 10-5 to the over at home. Play Kennesaw St and Louisiana Tech over 42.
TCU vs. Cincinnati College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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TCU at Cincinnati 6PM ET—TCU improved to 7-4 following their 49-28 home win to Arizona. The Horned Frogs gained 450 yards with 147 rushing for 3.9 yards per run. On defense they allowed 320 yards to the Wildcats with 38 rushing on 22 carries. Josh Hoover completed 19 of 26 for 252 yards with a touchdown and interception. Cincinnati drops to 5-6 after their 41-15 road defeat to Kansas St. The Bearcats put up 374 yards with 174 rushing for 6 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 428 yards to the Wildcats with 281 rushing for 7 yards per rush. Brendan Sorsby hit 21 of 39 for 200 yards with two touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Horned Frogs on the road are allowing 33 points per game with 4.7 yards per run. The Bearcat’s defense has been strong in their home games but allowing 18.6 points per game and 57% completion rate. TCU carries a -10 turnover margin and has been poor defensively against the conference on third down. The Bearcats are one win away from bowl eligibility. Play Cincinnati +3.5.
Appalachian St vs. Georgia Southern College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Appalachian St at Georgia Southern 6PM ET—Appalachian St improved to 5-5 following their 34-20 home win to James Madison. The Mountaineers gained 361 yards with 145 rushing for 3.8 yards per run. On defense they allowed 400 yards to the Dukes with 168 rushing for 4.4 yards per run. Joey Aguilar completed 12 of 23 for 216 yards with two touchdowns. Georgia Southern is 7-4 with their 26-6 road win at Coastal Carolina. The Eagles posted 384 yards with 90 rushing for 2.3 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 290 yards to the Chanticleers with 117 passing on 32 attempts. JC French hit 25 of 38 for 294 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Mountaineers on the road allowed 42 points per game with 5.3 yards per run with 9.5 yards per pass attempt. They have struggled with quarterback accuracy on the road. The Eagles passing game at home throws for 250 yards per game with 7.1 yards per pass attempt. App St is 3-8 to the spread on the road following a home game. The Eagles are 11-5 to the spread at home. Play Georgia Southern -2.5.
Wyoming vs. Washington St College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Wyoming at Washington St 6:30PM ET—Wyoming drops to 2-9 with their 17-13 home defeat to Boise St. The Cowboys gained 319 yards with 116 rushing for 3.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 352 yards to the Broncos with 185 rushing for 6.2 yards per run. Kaden Anderson is questionable with an injury. Evan Svoboda completed 6 of 13 for 87 yards. Washington St is 8-3 with their 41-38 road defeat at Oregon St. The Cougars put up 384 yards with 134 rushing for 4.8 yards per run. On defense they allowed 485 yards to the Beavers with 314 passing on 36 attempts. John Mateer hit 17 of 23 for 250 yards and two touchdowns. He rushed for 75 yards and two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
Washington St at home is averaging 50 points per game with 5.8 yards per run and 10 yards per pass attempt. Wyoming on the road is running for 3 yards per run with 52% completion rate. Defensively on the road the Cowboys allow 7.3 yards per rush with 8.2 yards per pass attempt. The Cougars have covered four of five at home. Play Washington St -17.
Florida vs. Florida St College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Florida at Florida ST 7PM ET—Florida improved to 6-5 following their 24-17 home win to Ole Miss. The Gators gained 344 yards with 164 rushing for 3.6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 464 yards to the Rebels with 323 passing on 42 attempts. DJ Lagway completed 10 of 17 for 180 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Florida St is 2-9 after their 41-7 home win to FCS Charleston Southern. Three weeks ago, it was a 52-3 road defeat to Notre Dame. The Seminoles put up 208 yards with 120 rushing for 2.8 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 453 yards to the Fighting Irish with 252 passing on 30 attempts. Luke Kromenhoek hit 5 of 8 for 37 yards. He rushed for 20 yards. He got the bulk of the work against Charleston Southern.
The Pick with the Explanation
Florida away from home is allowing 34 points per game with 268 passing for 8 yards per pass attempt. Their offense in this period is putting up 22.7 points per game with only 51% completion rate. The Seminoles hold opponents to 21 points per game at home with 4.3 yards per run. Play Florida St +15.