Alabama State vs Cincinnati Game Information

Alabama State vs Cincinnati Preview

Alabama State (3-3, 0-3 on Road) heads to Skyline Chili-ville to face undefeated Cincinnati (5-0, 3-0 at Home) in a SWAC-Big 12 Conference matchup on Thanksgiving Eve. In their last game, the Hornets lost at Akron (97-78) after winning 3 in a row, albeit against weaker opponents (UVAL, OMA, LAM). The Bearcats have rolled through their first 5 opponents, winning by 23 vs Georgia Tech (81-58), by 16 vs Northern Kentucky (76-60), by 37 to Nicholls State (86-49), by 27 to Morehead State (83-56), and by 55 to University of Arkansas Pine Bluff (109-54). The Point Spread in this game will obviously be high, but there are many good reasons why.

Alabama State Will be Stuffing in Cincinnati’s Turkey 

Alabama State (2-1-2 ATS, 4-1-0 O/U) is a Guard-heavy side and all five of its top scorers are Guards: CJ Hines (15.7 ppg), TJ Madlock (14.5 ppg), Amarr Knox (13.8 ppg), Micah Octave (8.0 ppg), and Micah Simpson (7.5 ppg), but those numbers were carved from some mediocre to below average teams, so the Hornets will truly be tested in this one. There two teams have played twice, with the Bearcats winning 83-51 on November 27, 2017, but failing to cover the monster 42.5-Point Spread (by 10.5 points) and rolling to a 65-40 victory on November 13, 2011 in a non-lined game. So Cincinnati has won by 32 and 25 but has never gotten the money against Alabama State. Yet.

Alabama State Betting Trends

• Alabama State was 14-15 ATS last season
• The Over is 3-0 in the Hornets last 3 games
• Alabama State has 2 Pushes in its last 5 lined games (2-1-2) 
• The Over is 4-1 in the Hornets last 5 Road games 
• Alabama State won by 51 points vs Lynchburg (115-64)

No. 16 Cincinnati Should Win By 30 or More

Cincinnati (4-1-0 ATS, 1-4-0 O/U) has been good to Favorites bettors and Under bettors so far this season. Leading the charge for the Bearcats are stud G Dan Skillings Jr. (17.0 ppg, 11.0 rpg), G Simas Lukosius (16.6 ppg, 4.5 apg), G Jizzie James (14.0 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 4.0 apg), F Dillon Mitchell (12.4 ppg, 8.6 rpg), F Arrinten Page (9.0 ppg, 3.4 rpg), F Aziz Bandaogo (8.6 ppg, 4.6 rpg), G Connor Kickman (8.6 ppg, 3.0 rpg), and F Tyler Betsey (6.6 ppg, 3.0), What really stands out about these players statistics is how many Bearcats (19-18 ATS in 2023-24) are averaging 3 or more Rebounds a game (8). Cincinnati is averaging 87.0 ppg (Tied #29) and allowing 55.4 ppg and are tied for the 16th best Assists per game mark in Division I (19.6).

Cincinnati Betting Trends

• Cincinnati is 7-3-0 ATS in its last 10 overall
• The Under is 4-0-0 in the last 4 Bearcats games
• The Bearcats last 2 losses were at Baylor and at Indiana State last season
• The Under is 7-3-0 in the last 10 Bearcats games
• Cincinnati is 8-2 SU in its last 10 overall

Alabama State vs Cincinnati Prediction

With Skillings Jr. and Cincinnati blowing out so many teams, undefeated, ranked, and at Home, this Alabama State vs Cincinnati prediction and free NCAAB pick pick is for a 30-point blowout at Fifth Third Arena in the 90-60 to 100-70 range with the hosts leading by about 20 points after the first 20 minutes.The Bearcats have been up by 16, 4, 20, 18, and 23 at Halftime in their first 5 games, and against a SWAC opponent, we can expect this one to get ugly early on with the possibility Alabama State never has the lead in this game. If we see a Point Spread higher than 30, this is only a lean, but anything from 24 to 28 means it is wiser to take Cincy for a quarter of a unit and maybe put twice as much on them on the Halftime line if you are a serious Hoops bettor. The Bearcats could be up so much at Half, that winning by 35 to 40 would just be meaningless against a SWAC side.

Kevin’s Pick: Cincinnati -27.5