Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets 1-23-23

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 11/26/2024

 

Game Time 8:00 pm EST
Houston Rockets Line +3
Minnesota Timberwolves Line -3
Total 220.5
TV: NBA TV

 

Two Western conference teams looking to bounce back after their latest defeats are clashing tonight, when the Minnesota Timberwolves are hosting the Houston Rockets. The Wolves are currently on a two-game losing streak, as they came back from a short road trip, and are looking to bounce back at home, where they have been very strong this season. The Rockets were rolling prior to their most recent embarrassing home defeat by the Blazers, as they were 7-1 prior to that.

 

Below is a detailed analysis for Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves game.

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report: Mike Conley and Rob Dillingham are day-to-day.

Houston Rockets Injury Report: Quincy Olivari, Bronny James are day-to-day, Jarred Vanderbilt, Jaxon Hayes and Christian Wood are out.

Minnesota Timberwolves Recent Form and Trends

The Timberwolves have an 8-8 record this season and are sitting on the 11th place of the West. The Wolves are 6-10 against the spread and 9-7 in over/under. Minnesota has a 5-2 home record, but just 2-5 against the spread, with a +8-point differential. The Wolves are 2-5 in their last 7 games and 2-0 to the under in their last couple of games, having scored just 105 points per game.

 

The Timberwolves are coming off a 105-107 loss in Boston, as they made a late run in the fourth quarter and almost overcame an 11-point deficit. They shot with just 42% from the field and were led in scoring by Anthony Edwards with 28 points with 6 triples, adding 9 rebounds and 7 assists.

 

Edwards leads the Timberwolves both in scoring with 27.9 points, adding 5.2 rebounds and 3.9 assists. Julius Randle adds 21.8 points, 6.6 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game with his new team.

 

Houston Rockets Recent Form and Trends

The Rockets have a 12-6 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the West. Houston is 12-6 against the spread and 7-11 in over/under. The Rockets have a 4-3 road record, and 4-3 against the spread, with a +3.7-point differential. The Rockets are 7-2 in their last 9 games, and 7-1 against the spread in their last 8. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games.

 

The Rockets are coming off a 98-104 loss by the Blazers, as they struggled mightily with their shooting, making just 36% from the field and 25% from beyond the arc. Alperen Sengun led Houston’s offense with 22 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.

 

Jalen Green leads the Rockets in scoring with an average of 18.7 points, adding 4.8 rebounds. Sengun adds 18.3 points and a team-high 10.6 rebounds.

Statistical Breakdown

Offensively, the Wolves average 112.8 points per game, which is 15th in the league. They shoot 46.9% from the field (10th) and with 37.9% from beyond the arc (6th). Defensively, they allow 110.8 points per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA.

 

Offensively, the Rockets average 113.8 point per game, ranking 14th in the league. Houston does not shoot the ball very well, with just 44% from the field (26th) and 32.5% from beyond the arc (28th). Defensively, they are third-best in the league, allowing 105.1 points per game.

 

The Wolves are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against the Rockets, and they are 7-3 against the spread. They have won their last 5 meetings in Minnesota, and Under is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.

Prediction

In this Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, the Timberwolves are coming as -3 home favorites. While the Wolves have been dominating the Rockets in recent years, they are too unstable to be trusted as home favorites, against the third-best team of the West. Instead, I will take a look at the total, and with the Rockets combining bad shooting percentages with elite defense, I don’t see them scoring a lot today. The Wolves’ offense has also fallen off a cliff, as they have back-to-back games with just 105 points scored. Most of their recent meetings have also been low scoring ones, so I expect more of the same today. Take the under.

 

Nick’s Pick: Under 220.5