Free College Football Picks Week 14 Part 1-11/30/2024
UTSA vs. Army College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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UTSA at Army 12PM ET—UTSA improved to 6-5 following their 51-27 home win to Temple. The Roadrunners gained 529 yards with 309 rushing for 7.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 289 yards to the Owls with 70 rushing for 1.9 yards per run. Owen McCown completed 20 of 27 for 220 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. He rushed for 75 yards and a touchdown. Army moves to 9-1 after their 49-14 neutral site defeat at Notre Dame. The Black Knights put up 233 yards with 207 rushing for 3.6 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 462 yards to the Fighting Irish with 273 rushing for 9.4 yards per run. Bryson Daily hit 4 of 8 for 26 yards. He rushed for 139 yards and two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Roadrunners have struggled defensively in their road games this season allowing 42 points per game and getting outscored by 20 in those games. The Black Knights in AAC action held opponents to 12 points per game with 2.9 yards per run and 6 yards per pass attempt. Army has a +10-turnover margin. UTSA has lost and failed to cover all five games on the road. Play Army -7.5.
South Carolina vs. Clemson College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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South Carolina at Clemson 12PM ET— South Carolina is 8-3 after their 56-12 home win to FCS Wofford. The week prior it was a 34-30 home win to Missouri. The Gamecocks gained 462 yards with 109 rushing for 3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 388 yards to the Tigers with 237 passing on 31 attempts. LaNorris Sellers completed 21 of 30 for 353 yards with five touchdowns and an interception. He rushed for 45 yards. Clemson improved to 9-2 with their 51-14 home win to FCS Citadel. Two weeks ago they defeated Pittsburgh on the road 24-20. The Tigers produced 346 yards with 58 rushing for 2.1 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 438 yards to the Panthers with 350 passing on 54 attempts. Cade Klubnik went 27 of 41 for 288 yards with two touchdowns. He rushed for 41 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Gamecocks have been a good road team winning all four games behind 70% completions for 8.7 yards per run. Their defense in those games have held opponents to 12.3 points per game with only 2.6 yards per run and 53% completions. Clemson in their past three FBS games were held to 24 points or fewer in each game including a 12-point home loss to Louisville. Play South Carolina +3.
North Texas vs. Temple College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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North Texas at Temple 12PM ET—North Texas fell to 5-6 following their 40-28 home defeat to East Carolina. The Mean Green gained 447 yards with 181 rushing for 5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 553 yards to the Pirates with 255 rushing for 4.5 yards per run. Chandler Morris completed 32 of 48 for 266 yards with three touchdowns. Temple drops to 3-8 with their 51-27 road defeat at UTSA. The Owls put up 289 yards with 70 rushing for 1.9 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 529 yards to the Roadrunners with 309 rushing for 7.9 yards per run. Evan Simon went 13 of 32 for 219 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
North Texas in AAC play averaged 5.8 yards per run with 341 yards passing for 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Temple form is poor in their past three games as they average 3.1 yards per run and 50.5% completion rate. On defense in this period, they are allowing 39 points per game with 6.2 yards per run and 7.9 yards per pass attempt. The Owls are 1-5 to the spread at home facing teams that average 31 points per game or higher. UNT is one win away from bowl eligibility. Play North Texas -10.5.
Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Tennessee at Vanderbilt 12PM ET—Tennessee improved to 9-2 following their 56-0 home win to UTEP. The Volunteers gained 460 yards with 241 rushing for 6.2 yards per run. Defensively they held the Miners to 230 yards with 81 rushing for 2.1 yards per run. Nico Iamaleava completed 17 of 23 for 209 yards with four touchdowns. Vanderbilt is 6-5 with their 24-17 road defeat at LSU. The Commodores put up 308 yards with 122 rushing for 5.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 471 yards to the Tigers with 322 passing on 37 attempts. Diego Pavia hit 13 of 24 for 186 yards with a touchdown. He rushed for 43 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Vanderbilt has defended well in their past three games as they allow 19.7 points per game with 4.2 yards per pass attempt. The Commodores have been able to move the football through the air at home. Tennessee in their road games average 26.8 points per game which is nearly 11 points than overall average. They rush for only 4.2 yards per run on the road and are not as efficient in their passing game. Vandy is 6-1 to the spread against the SEC. The Vols are 4-7 to the spread on the road in SEC games. Play Vanderbilt +11.
Connecticut vs. Massachusetts College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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UCONN at UMASS 12PM ET—UCONN is fell to 7-4 following their 31-24 road defeat to Syracuse. The Huskies gained 352 yards with 124 rushing for 7.3 yards per run. On defense they allowed 538 yards to the Orange with 470 passing on 47 attempts. Nick Evers is questionable with a leg injury that forced him to exit the game two weeks ago and missed last week. Joe Fagnano hit 27 of 48 for 228 yards and two touchdowns. UMASS drops to 2-9 with their 59-21 road defeat to Georgia. The Minutemen put up 351 yards with 226 rushing for 5.7 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 550 yards to the Bulldogs with 342 passing on 35 attempts. True freshman AJ Hairston hit 7 of 16 for 121 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
UMASS defense has struggled the past three games by allowing 46 points per game with 6.6 yards per run and 8.9 yards per pass attempt. In this period, they have been inefficient in the passing game with their true freshman quarterback. The Huskies run game has been effective in their past three games as they have averaged 5.8 yards per run. UCONN has covered three of four on the road. They are 3-0 to the spread as a road favorite. Play UCONN -10.
Duke vs. Wake Forest College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Duke vs. Wake Forest 12PM ET—Duke improved to 8-3 following their 31-28 home win to Virginia Tech. The Blue Devils gained 396 yards with 64 rushing for 2.9 yards per run. On defense they allowed 403 yards to the Hokies with 190 rushing for 3.6 yards per run. Maalik Murphy completed 17 of 35 passes for 332 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions. Wake Forest is 4-7 after their 42-14 road defeat at Miami. The Demon Deacons put up 193 yards with 94 rushing for 2.4 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 508 yards to the Hurricanes with 280 passing on 38 attempts. Hank Bachmeier went 8 of 14 for 86 yards with a touchdown and pick.
The Pick with the Explanation
Duke on the road has struggled with their run game averaging 2.9 yards per run. They have struggled with quarterback accuracy in conference play with 55.7% completion rate. The Demon Deacons at home is putting up 28 points per game behind 277 yards passing for 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Duke is 0-2 to the spread on the road as a favorite of 7 or fewer points. Play Wake Forest +4.
Michigan vs. Ohio St College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Michigan at Ohio St 12PM ET—Michigan improved to 6-5 following their 50-6 home win to Northwestern. The Wolverines gained 396 yards with 201 rushing for 5.7 yards per run. On defense they allowed 127 yards to the Wildcats with 10 rushing on 25 attempts. Davis Warren completed 26 of 35 for 195 yards with a touchdown and interception. Ohio St is 10-1 with their 38-15 home win to Indiana. The Buckeyes put up 316 yards with 115 rushing for 4 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 131 yards to the Hoosiers with 68 passing on 18 attempts. Will Howard went 22 of 26 for 201 yards with two touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Buckeyes form is outstanding as in their past three games are allowing 7.3 points per game with 2.1 yards per run and 5 yards per pass attempt. The offense in this period is putting up 38 points with 72% completions for 8.7 yards per pass attempt. The Michigan offense has struggled on the road this year as they put up 13 points with weak running game and ineffective quarterback play. The Buckeyes are 10-2 to the spread at home against the Big Ten. Play Ohio St -20.5.
Illinois vs. Northwestern College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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Illinois at Northwestern 12PM ET—Illinois improved to 8-3 after their 38-31 road win at Rutgers. The Fighting Illini put up 431 yards with 182 rushing for 5.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 387 yards to the Scarlet Knights with 214 rushing for 4.7 yards per run. Luke Altmyer completed12 of 26 for 249 yards with two touchdowns. He rushed for 74 yards and a touchdown. Northwestern fell to 4-7 with their 50-6 road defeat at Michigan. The Wildcats posted 127 yards with 10 rushing on 25 carries. Defensively they allowed 396 yards to the Wolverines with 201 rushing for 5.7 yards per run. Jack Lausch hit 10 of 21 for 106 yards with two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
Illinois offense on the road has struggled on offense with 3.7 yards per run with inaccurate quarterback play. They allow 29 points per game on the road with 7.5 yards per pass attempt. The Wildcats have rushed for 4.5 yards per run at home. They defended the run well at home. Play Northwestern +7.5.
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech College Football Pick Prediction 11/30/2024
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West Virginia at Texas Tech 12PM ET—West Virginia improved to 6-5 following their 31-21 home win to UCF. The Mountaineers gained 318 yards with 200 rushing for 3.7 yards per run. On defense they allowed 348 yards with 176 rushing for 5.2 yards per run. Garrett Greene completed 13 of 21 for 118 yards with a touchdown. He rushed for 49 yards. Texas Tech is 7-4 after their 56-48 road win at Oklahoma St. The Red Raiders put up 544 yards with 139 rushing for 3.6 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 508 yards to the Cowboys with 353 passing on 37 attempts. Behren Morton went 35 of 50 for 366 yards with four touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Mountaineers on the road have held opponents to three yards per run. They are a high-volume running team that rushes over two thirds of the time. In their past three games they have struggled with quarterback accuracy. WVU is 5-1 to the under on the road facing a team that has a .600-to-.700-win percentage. Play West Virginia and Texas Tech under 64.5.