| Game Time | 6:00 pm EST |
| Dallas Mavericks Line | +3 |
| Miami Heat Line | -3 |
| Total | 222 |
| TV: | NBA TV |
The Dallas Mavericks continue to cruise, even without their star player Luka Doncic in the lineup. They are coming off a massive road win against the Nuggets, who had Nikola Jokic in their lineup, and are now travelling East to visit the Miami Heat. The Heat saw Jimmy Butler return to the lineup and it was combined with an easy win over the 76ers.
Below is a detailed analysis for Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat game.
Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction
Miami Heat Injury Report: Terry Rozier and Jimmy Butler are day-to-day
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report: Daniel Gafford is day-to-day, Luka Doncic and Dante Exum are out
Miami Heat Recent Form and Trends
The Heat have a 6-7 record this season and are sitting on the 5th place of the East. Miami is 6-7 against the spread and 7-6 in over/under. The Heat have a 2-3 home record, but 1-4 against the spread, with a -0.8-point differential. The Heat are 3-5 in their last 8 games and 5-2 to the over in their last 7.
Miami is coming off a 106-89 win over Philadelphia, but did not shoot the ball very well, with just 41.4% from the field and 29.5% from beyond the arc. Jimmy Butler returned to the lineup and led Miami’s offense with 30 points, 10 rebounds and 5 assists.
Tyler Herro leads Miami in scoring with an average of 24.2 points, adding 4.9 rebounds and a team-high 5.2 assists. Jimmy Butler adds 17.7 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists.
Dallas Mavericks Recent Form and Trends
The Mavs have a 9-7 record this season and are tied with the Kings on the 10th place of the West. The Mavs are 8-7-1 against the spread and 7-8-1 in over/under. Dallas is 3-4 on the road, and 3-3-1 against the spread, with a -1.1-point differential. The Mavs have four consecutive wins. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
The Mavericks are coming off a 123-120 road win in Denver, as they shot with a very efficient 50.5% from the field and had valuable help from their bench, as three bench players had double digits in scoring. Naji Marshall led Dallas’ offense with 26 points on 11-15 shooting off the bench.
Luka Doncic leads the Mavs in scoring with 28.1 points, adding 7.6 rebounds and a team-high 7.6 assists per game, but he is out with an injury. Kyrie Irving adds 23.9 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5.3 assists.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Heat are averaging 110.9 points per game, which is 19th in the league. Miami shoots with 44.4% from the field (25th), and with 38.2% from beyond the arc (5th). Defensively, they allow 110.1 points per game, which ranks 7th in the NBA.
Offensively, the Mavs average 116.1 points per game, which ranks 9th in the NBA. They shoot 48.3% from the field (6th) and 34.6% from beyond the arc (19th). Defensively, the Mavs allow 109.9 points per game, which is 6th in the league.
The Mavericks are 6-2 in their last 8 overall meetings against the Heat, and they are 3-1 in their last 4 in Miami. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
Prediction
In this Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction, the Heat are coming as -2 home favorites. Dallas might be hot, but the Heat with Butler in the lineup are another beast. I don’t trust any side in this game, as the Heat are not covering at home and the Mavericks are mediocre on the road and I cannot trust them without Doncic. Instead, we are going to take a look at the total, as both teams are top-7 in the NBA defensively, allowing 220 points per game combined. Also, four of their last five meetings were low scoring ones. On top of that, the Heat are just 25th in pace in the NBA, and playing at home will try and force their slow tempo upon their opponents. Thus, I expect a low scoring game and taking the under the total in this one.
Nick’s Pick: Under 222